Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2/6/1)-(4/1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/1/5/2)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/2)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/2)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/8/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(2/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(2/8/10)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/10)-(2/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/10)-(2/8/10)-(2/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/10)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/10)-(6/1/4)-(6/5/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/5/4/8)-(9/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-9   WIN (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/8)-(9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-10   WIN (9/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/7)-(9/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/7)-(9/2/7)-(9/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSIEONTHERIVER Mar02 Feb07 Dec27 Oct31 Aug31 (gonzalez cl)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 17% 5.10    
2  QUANTUM BURST Jan10 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05   (kenneally eddi)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 60% 0.70    
3  KRISSI N Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Nov10 Sep11 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
4  LUMINOUS SECRET Feb20 Jan25 Dec29 Nov29   (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
5  NICK'S NOTION Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Dec01 Nov16 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAERDAMA Feb05 Jun11 Mar16     (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by GIRVIN out of ROSE OF CAIRO by CAIRO PRINCE)
2  DIVINE WORKS Feb22 Oct12 Aug30     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SALTWORKS by BULLSBAY)
3  CONTRA         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UBU by SILVER TRAIN)
4  GOLD DART Feb22 Dec14 Nov16 Jul27   (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
5  ANN'S GIRL         (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALLWEWANTFORXMAS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  CYNTHIA GAIL Feb01         (meyers ma)CARRASCO R 118 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CNL-3   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCRAPPY T LEE Feb21 Jan09 Nov20 Oct15   (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
2  BEN'S HERO Feb19 Dec29 Dec05 Nov10 Oct04 (klesaris steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.00    
3  NOLA BOSS Feb16 Jan24 Dec01 Oct06 Sep04 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  MEDAGOOCH Feb21 May11 Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.50    
5  MUCHO TIGGER Apr05 Mar10 Nov17 Oct25 Oct07 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  EASTBOSTONBENNY Feb15 Jan19 Dec19 Oct20 Sep21 (klesaris stev)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
7  BISHOP MEADE Oct24 Sep13 Sep04 Aug02   (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 118 30.00    
 
CNL-4   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO ARGENTO         (eurton peter)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SILVER ADVENTURE by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  KEEPSAKE Jan30 Nov24 Oct12     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 58% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TOP QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  RINA IS FIRE Feb22         (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 4.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of RAGING BLAZE by FRIESAN FIRE)
4  FROSTED DREAMS         (alvarado diane)MENA E 122 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DREAM SPINNER by HARD SPUN)
5  OLD FASHION CANDY         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of FASHION RUNAWAY by OLD FASHIONED)
6  BELLE OFTHE WOOD         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WYCHWOOD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CNL-5   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LION OF JUSTICE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 16% 5.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  FROSTED BULL         (alvarado diane)MENA E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CYPRIANA by BODEMEISTER)
3  CHRISTMAS SPIRIT Feb14         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  DETTORI Jan26 Dec28 Nov17     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HIT IT RICH by SMART STRIKE)
5  HASTEN Dec20 Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Aug17 (simms mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ON MY TOES by MORE THAN READY)
6  ANNIHILATE 'EM Feb23 Feb02       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SNOWMASS by KINGMAMBO)
7  RICHARD FEYNMAN         (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FAUFILER by GALILEO)
 
CNL-6   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACH TWO BLUE Feb23         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of QUEEN OF MAY by BERNARDINI)
2  HITCHCOCK Sep12         (eurton peter)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  MANSEEYASWAY         (mancilla os)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
4  VERIFIRE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of RUBY TRUST by SMART STRIKE)
5  ARTIST MARK Feb02 Aug25       (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MONTANA PRETTY by FROSTED (GB))
6  BUILT BY KHOZAN Feb23 Jan25 Dec15 Oct06 Aug25 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
7  SUREMEANTTOOBE Feb23 Feb02       (trombetta mich)TORREALBA JG 122 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SUREMEANTTO by CANDY RIDE)
8  VENIK         (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
 
CNL-7   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELOQUIST Mar03 Jan29 Jan13 Nov27 Nov05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
2  JUST CALL RAY Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Dec06 Oct13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF Feb13 Jan27 Jan04 Nov21 Sep26 (amoss thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  HAY CHIEF Dec15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep28 Aug31 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
5  LURE HIM IN Jan11 Dec20 Nov22 Aug01 Jul05 (wilensky sam)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET Nov18 Oct17 Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
SCR  CAP COM Feb22 Feb02 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 124 15.00    
8  TWO EAGLES RIVER Jan31 Jan05 Dec07 Nov15 Nov06 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR Mar06 Feb02 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00    
10  SHARP TONES Jan08 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Jun24 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
CNL-8   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Virginia Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICONA MAMA Feb22 Nov27 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 (stites flint )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CLASSE SIGNORA by BERNSTEIN)
2  LOW KEY Feb23 Aug26 Aug03     (amoss thoma)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  GOWELLS DELIGHT Feb15 Jan25 Dec26     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELLO CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  ANONIMA Feb23 Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 Nov02 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ROYAL STARLIGHT by POINT GIVEN)
5  EARLY ON Feb05 Dec29 Aug30 Aug04   (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SALLY O'BRIEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  YOU'LL BE BACK Feb24 Dec29 Nov30 Jun21   (amoss thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ADVANCE PARTY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GIRL MATH Feb21 Jan02 Nov23 Oct27 Sep22 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
8  FONDLY Feb14         (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
  (by UPSTART out of LIFETIME MEMORY by ISTAN)
 
CNL-9   03/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Virginia Derby Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALLING CARD Mar01 Jan18 Dec13 Nov17 Oct19 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
SCR  JOHN HANCOCK Feb08 Jan08       (cox h)SMITH E 123 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SCRIBBLING SARAH by FREUD)
3  AMERICAN PROMISE Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 Nov30 Oct27 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 123 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
4  OMAHA OMAHA Feb01 Jan04 Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 10.00 5% 18.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENGLAND SWINGS by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  STUDLYDORIGHT Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Sep28 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00 28% 2.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of PEACH OF A GAL by CURLIN)
6  GETAWAY CAR Feb16 Dec14 Nov01 Oct05 Sep08 (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by CURLIN out of SURRENDER NOW by MORNING LINE)
7  RAPTURE Jan25 Dec14       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of POSITIVELY ROYAL by BERNARDINI)
8  AUTHENTIC GALLOP Feb07 Jan20 Dec13 Nov03 Oct05 (amoss thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of GALLOPING AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
9  RENDER JUDGMENT Feb15 Dec21 Nov30 Oct27 Oct06 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of BARBARA GORDON by COMMISSIONER)
SCR  GEORGIA MAGIC Feb14 Jan04 Nov29     (handal raym)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NIGHTLIFE BABY by FLATTER)
 
CNL-10   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIKEALICIOUS Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
2  PASSING GAME Jan25 Dec21 Nov13     (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SMART MO Feb08 Jan01 Aug03 Jun16 May27 (eurton peter)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 10.00    
4  VIRGINIA CITY Feb22 Jan31 Dec14 Oct17 Sep22 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 124 30.00    
SCR  PROTEGE Feb22 Jan19 Nov27 Oct31 Sep18 (wilensky sam)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
6  SUPREME LAW Feb01 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 1.20    
7  DEADPAN Jan03 Dec07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr13 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHITE SERIES Feb13 Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 Sep20 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 30.00    
9  MO REWARDS Feb24 Feb10 Jan24 Jan08 Nov14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.