Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-3   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-4   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-5   Win (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-6   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-7   Win (2/1/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-8   Win (6/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-9   Win (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-10   Win (9/5/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIEONTHERIVER Mar02 Feb07 Dec27 Oct31 Aug31 (gonzalez clau)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 17% 5.10    
QUANTUM BURST Jan10 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05   (kenneally eddie)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 60% 0.70    
KRISSI N Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Nov10 Sep11 (mancilla carl)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
LUMINOUS SECRET Feb20 Jan25 Dec29 Nov29   (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
NICK'S NOTION Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Dec01 Nov16 (bailes robert)TORREALBA JG 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAERDAMA Feb05 Jun11 Mar16     (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 0.80 44% 1.30    
DIVINE WORKS Feb22 Oct12 Aug30     (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
CONTRA         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD DART Feb22 Dec14 Nov16 Jul27   (keller c)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 30.00    
ANN'S GIRL         (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
CYNTHIA GAIL Feb01         (meyers madi)CARRASCO R 118 30.00    
 
CNL-3   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRAPPY T LEE Feb21 Jan09 Nov20 Oct15   (mcmahon h)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
BEN'S HERO Feb19 Dec29 Dec05 Nov10 Oct04 (klesaris steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.00    
NOLA BOSS Feb16 Jan24 Dec01 Oct06 Sep04 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
MEDAGOOCH Feb21 May11 Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 (bailes w )BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.50    
MUCHO TIGGER Apr05 Mar10 Nov17 Oct25 Oct07 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
EASTBOSTONBENNY Feb15 Jan19 Dec19 Oct20 Sep21 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
BISHOP MEADE Oct24 Sep13 Sep04 Aug02   (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 118 30.00    
 
CNL-4   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO ARGENTO         (eurton peter)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KEEPSAKE Jan30 Nov24 Oct12     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 48% 1.10    
RINA IS FIRE Feb22         (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 4.00    
FROSTED DREAMS         (alvarado diane)MENA E 122 12.00    
OLD FASHION CANDY         (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
BELLE OFTHE WOOD         (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
CNL-5   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LION OF JUSTICE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 16% 5.20    
FROSTED BULL         (alvarado diane)MENA E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTMAS SPIRIT Feb14         (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
DETTORI Jan26 Dec28 Nov17     (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
HASTEN Dec20 Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Aug17 (simms j)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANNIHILATE 'EM Feb23 Feb02       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 30.00    
RICHARD FEYNMAN         (motion gr)CARRASCO R 122 10.00    
 
CNL-6   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACH TWO BLUE Feb23         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
HITCHCOCK Sep12         (eurton peter)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
MANSEEYASWAY         (mancilla osca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
VERIFIRE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
ARTIST MARK Feb02 Aug25       (smith hamilto)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
BUILT BY KHOZAN Feb23 Jan25 Dec15 Oct06 Aug25 (mcmahon hugh )HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUREMEANTTOOBE Feb23 Feb02       (trombetta michae)TORREALBA JG 122 6.00    
VENIK         (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
 
CNL-7   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUIST Mar03 Jan29 Jan13 Nov27 Nov05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
JUST CALL RAY Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Dec06 Oct13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
WINSTON WOLF Feb13 Jan27 Jan04 Nov21 Sep26 (amoss m)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
HAY CHIEF Dec15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep28 Aug31 (mcmahon hugh )HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
LURE HIM IN Jan11 Dec20 Nov22 Aug01 Jul05 (wilensky sam)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 10% 9.30    
O'CONNER SUNSET Nov18 Oct17 Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAP COM Feb22 Feb02 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 124 15.00    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Jan31 Jan05 Dec07 Nov15 Nov06 (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
WINE COLLECTOR Mar06 Feb02 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 (sanchez-salomon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00    
10  SHARP TONES Jan08 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Jun24 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00 8% 10.80    
 
CNL-8   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 Virginia Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONA MAMA Feb22 Nov27 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 (stites w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
LOW KEY Feb23 Aug26 Aug03     (amoss thomas )RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOWELLS DELIGHT Feb15 Jan25 Dec26     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
ANONIMA Feb23 Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 Nov02 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
EARLY ON Feb05 Dec29 Aug30 Aug04   (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
YOU'LL BE BACK Feb24 Dec29 Nov30 Jun21   (amoss m)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 31% 2.30    
GIRL MATH Feb21 Jan02 Nov23 Oct27 Sep22 (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
FONDLY Feb14         (motion graham)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
CNL-9   03/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 Virginia Derby Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLING CARD Mar01 Jan18 Dec13 Nov17 Oct19 (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
JOHN HANCOCK Feb08 Jan08       (cox h)SMITH E 123 3.00 73% 0.40    
AMERICAN PROMISE Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 Nov30 Oct27 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 123 12.00    
OMAHA OMAHA Feb01 Jan04 Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 (gorham e)MENA E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
STUDLYDORIGHT Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Sep28 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
GETAWAY CAR Feb16 Dec14 Nov01 Oct05 Sep08 (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 5% 19.00    
RAPTURE Jan25 Dec14       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00    
AUTHENTIC GALLOP Feb07 Jan20 Dec13 Nov03 Oct05 (amoss m)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
RENDER JUDGMENT Feb15 Dec21 Nov30 Oct27 Oct06 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00    
10  GEORGIA MAGIC Feb14 Jan04 Nov29     (handal raymon)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 30.00    
 
CNL-10   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKEALICIOUS Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
PASSING GAME Jan25 Dec21 Nov13     (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50    
SMART MO Feb08 Jan01 Aug03 Jun16 May27 (eurton peter)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 10.00 6% 16.80    
VIRGINIA CITY Feb22 Jan31 Dec14 Oct17 Sep22 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 124 30.00    
PROTEGE Feb22 Jan19 Nov27 Oct31 Sep18 (wilensky sam)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
SUPREME LAW Feb01 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 1.20    
DEADPAN Jan03 Dec07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr13 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHITE SERIES Feb13 Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 Sep20 (sanchez-sa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 30.00    
MO REWARDS Feb24 Feb10 Jan24 Jan08 Nov14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.