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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Charles Town
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick												Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers												Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CT-1			WIN	(7/1/4)												3	$2.00	$6.00	7		$7.20			$1.20				20%
			EXA	(7/1/4)-(7/1/8/4)												9	$1.00	$9.00	7-8		$10.00			$1.00				11%
			TRI	(7/1/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)												18	$1.00	$18.00	7-8-4		$40.70			$22.70				126%
			SFT	(7/1/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)												18	$1.00	$18.00	7-8-4-1		$258.00			$240.00				1333%
CT-2			SFT	(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2)												96	$1.00	$96.00	1-3-8-4		$179.90			$83.90				87%
CT-3			EXA	(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)												12	$1.00	$12.00	7-4		$13.00			$1.00				8%
			TRI	(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)												24	$1.00	$24.00	7-4-1		$25.30			$1.30				5%
CT-4			EXA	(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)												20	$1.00	$20.00	5-3		$77.80			$57.80				289%
			TRI	(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)												60	$1.00	$60.00	5-3-7		$204.30			$144.30				241%
			SFT	(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)												120	$1.00	$120	5-3-7-9		$761.40			$641.40				535%
			DD	(1/4/7/2)-(7/5/3/9/1)												20	$2.00	$40.00	7-5		$54.00			$14.00				35%
CT-6			WIN	(8/2/10/3/5)												5	$2.00	$10.00	10		$65.00			$55.00				550%
CT-7			TRI	(3/9/4/11/1)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(3/9/4/11/1)												60	$1.00	$60.00	9-4-1		$67.00			$7.00				12%
			DD	(8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1)												25	$2.00	$50.00	10-9		$300.20			$250.20				500%
CT-8			WIN	(8/2/6/3)												4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$18.60			$10.60				133%
			EXA	(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)												12	$1.00	$12.00	3-8		$34.10			$22.10				184%
			DD	(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)												20	$2.00	$40.00	9-3		$78.20			$38.20				96%
			PK3	(8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)												100	$1.00	$100	10-9-3		$1379			$1279				1279%
CT-9			WIN	(3/6/2/9/5)												5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$21.80			$11.80				118%
			EXA	(3/6/2/9/5)-(3/6/2/9/5)												20	$1.00	$20.00	6-2		$69.50			$49.50				248%
			DD	(8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5)												20	$2.00	$40.00	3-6		$158.20			$118.20				296%
			PK3	(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5)												100	$1.00	$100	9-3-6		$708.00			$608.00				608%
			PK4	(8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5)												500	$1.00	$500	10-8/9-3-6		$24345			$23845				4769%
			PK6	(7/5/3/9/1)-(4/10/6/3/2)-(8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5)												12500	$1.00	$12500	5-8-10-8/9-3-6		$26047			$13547				108%

Simulator Race results


CT-1			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC5		FAST			Maiden Sp Wt						Purse ($26.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:23¹	:47²				:53⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	MEDALLION OF ASH						7	3		2^nk			1¹		1^nk	(cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122						2.50		44%		1.30		2.60	W
		(by MEDALLIST out of KICK ASH by ALPHABET SOUP)
8	GHOSTLY ANNA						8	1		1^nk			2¹		2^nk	(atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122						3.00		★				2.00	P
		(by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4	COUNT THE FLOWERS						4	2		3^.2			3²		3^3¼	(atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 124						8.00		5%		19.00		10.10	S
		(by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
1	PARTY TIME FOR ME						1	7		6^5¼			5^6½		4^6¼	(grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						10.00		28%		2.50		16.20
		(by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5	I'M FLYING UP						5	8		8^10¼			6^6½		5^7¾	(dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122						3.50						2.00
		(by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of ATHENA IN FLIGHT by BERNSTEIN)
2	KYOTO KAT						2	5		4^3¼			4⁴		6¹¹	(figgins oll)CESPEDES JHORMA 114						30.00						70.00
		(by GATTOPARDO out of GRACEADIEU by CAPTAIN RED)
3	THE GODMOTHER						3	6		5^3¼			7⁷		7^15¼	(carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122						4.00						8.90
		(by JUBA out of DREAMS OF FREEDOM by DENIS OF CORK)
6	DANCESWITHGREATNES						6	4		7^8¼			8⁸		8^19¼	(racanelli ma)LEWIS M 122						50.00						78.00
		(by LORD OF GREATNESS out of FEEL LIKE DANCING by DANCE WITH RAVENS)

CT-2			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC7		FAST			Claiming ($5K)						Purse ($11.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:23	:47				:53³		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ALL CAPS						1	7		1¹			1^½		1^1¾	(walters l)PELTROCHE F 122						0.60		58%		0.70		0.40	W
3	FUNNY ROAD						3	8		3¹			3^2½		2^1¾	(shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122						8.00		19%		4.20		8.40	P
8	ANOTHER FINE JUBA						8	1		2¹			2^½		3^1¾	(sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120						6.00		★				6.10	S
4	JUST HAVE FAITH						4	6		5^2½			5^4½		4^4½	(boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122						15.00		5%		19.00		18.50
2	POUR ME A DRINK						2	9		7^3¼			7⁶		5^5¾	(ramos a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115						10.00		5%		19.00		14.70
5	K'S LANEE						5	4		4^1½			4^4½		6¹⁰	(obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122						15.00						37.30
6	CREME DE LA QUEEN						6	5		8^4¼			8⁸		7¹¹	(brown kel)BOCACHICA J 122						10.00						12.80
7	ESSENTIAL MAGIC						7	3		6^2¾			6⁵		8¹³	(caison l)LARROSA G 122						12.00						23.40
9	LIME STAR						9	2		9^11¼			9¹¹		9¹⁴	(conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122						30.00						48.30

CT-3			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC5		FAST			Maiden Sp Wt						Purse ($26.5K)			2		F		PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:22⁴	:47⁴				:54¹		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SHERUNSTHISTOWN						6	8		5^5½			3¹		1^3½	(sterling michael )LARROSA G 122						3.00		6%		14.60		2.10	W
		(by GOLDEN LAD out of WHO'S COZY by COZZENE)
4	BUSTIER						3	5		2³			2¹		2^3½	(brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122						2.50		8%		10.80		5.80	P
		(by UNION RAGS out of FASHIONABLYAWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
1	DOUBLE SPIRIT						1	6		3³			4²		3⁴	(keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122						1.80		65%		0.60		1.40	S
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
9	MAKING MISCHIEF						8	1		1³			1¹		4^7½	(jones michae)LEWIS M 122						15.00						33.50
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNT NEVIS by EMPIRE MAKER)
2	GOLD DART						2	7		8¹²			8^9¼		5^8¾	(keller )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						20.00		5%		19.00		50.20
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
5	INFERNO						4	4		4^4½			5⁶		6^13¼	(jones e)ACOSTA D 122						30.00						35.30
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of HEAVENLY SONG by SEPTIEME CIEL)
8	MISS NINE ONE O						7	3		7⁹			6⁷		7^13½	(locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122						50.00						48.30
		(by REDIRECT out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
6	BAYTOWN SHINJUKU						5	2		6⁷			7^7¼		8^13¾	(mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122						4.00						3.20
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of DARK STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR	SISTER STARDUST															(carson laura)HO WESLEY 122						30.00
		(by GOLDEN LAD out of TOPAZIO by MORE THAN READY)

CT-4			12/14/2024		4290ft	DIRT			RC7		FAST			Claiming ($10K)						Purse ($15.7K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:23¹	:47¹	1:14⁴			1:21⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	VALHALLA'S PALACE						4	2		3⁷	4^7¼		1¹		1²	(brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113						3.00		23%		3.30		4.10	W
3	ALLIED ATTACK						3	7		5^11½	5^9¼		4^1½		2²	(joy j)STANLEY O 120						15.00		20%		4.00		12.60	P
7	SUMMONING DENIS						6	6		7^12¾	7^10¾		7^2¾		3^2¾	(shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124						1.40		28%		2.60		1.80	S
9	REVEREND JACK						7	5		4^7½	3⁷		5²		4⁴	(cuttino l)WHITACRE B 124						8.00		6%		16.90		5.30
2	HOT FUDGE SONDE						2	4		6^12½	6^10¾		8^3¼		5⁵	(rideout m)HO WESLEY 122						10.00						24.00
10	STROLLINGINTHEWIND						8	8		8^15¾	8^14¾		6^2¼		6^6½	(jones e)ACOSTA D 122						20.00						52.30
1	VOODOO DEVIL						1	3		2^nk	1^nk		2¹		7^7¼	(knudsen kent)MAWING A 120						15.00		5%		19.00		3.80
6	MISSIONARY						5	1		1^nk	2^nk		3¹		8¹¹	(knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 124						4.00						5.50
11	COLONIAL ROAD						9	9		9^16¼	9^23¾		9^10¼		9^16¾	(campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122						99.00						75.40
SCR	DOCTOR PARDO															(brown w)BOCACHICA O 120						3.50
SCR	GRAND AGAIN															(hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122						20.00
SCR	WOODSONG'S CASTLE															(shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114						99.00

CT-5			12/14/2024		4620ft	DIRT			RC4		FAST			Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)						Purse ($16.6K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:23⁴	:48⁴	1:16²			1:30⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	TAPWRIT WARRIOR						8	6		5⁶	5^2¾		2^½		1^1¼	(hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122						3.00						5.80
5	ALI'S HANNAH						5	7		6⁷	6^7¾		4²		2^1¼	(deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122						8.00						13.30
6	IN RETROSPECT						6	8		7^8½	8^8¾		6³		3^1¾	(jones e)ACOSTA D 120						2.50		10%		8.60		1.90	S
4	DICE ARM						4	4		4³	4^1¼		1^½		4^2¾	(keller chris)LEWIS M 124						6.00		24%		3.20		7.50
10	DEE DEE SIX						10	10		9^9½	9^9¼		8^5¼		5^3½	(cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 122						4.00		23%		3.40		1.80
7	PRINCESS BRANDY						7	9		8^8½	7^7¾		5²		6^4½	(caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122						20.00						54.60
1	LADY TOURIST						1	3		10^10½	10^12¼		9^6¼		7^6¾	(locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124						30.00						42.30
9	DAWN'S CREED						9	5		3^1½	1^nk		3^1½		8^12½	(brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115						20.00						59.40
2	BARAPHA						2	1		1^½	2^nk		7⁵		9^16½	(conn linda )CESPEDES JHORMA 112						12.00		6%		15.40		19.80
3	MY SOFIA ROSE						3	2		2^½	3^.2		10^9¼		10^31¾	(mcclure d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115						10.00		10%		9.30		12.50

CT-6			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC7		FAST			Claiming ($5K)						Purse ($12.7K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:22²	:46³				:53		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	FU MAN SUE						9	1		1^½			1¹		1^2¾	(sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 122						20.00		5%		19.00		31.50	W
1	JIMMY THE KID						1	8		2^½			2¹		2^2¾	(martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122						30.00						88.60
3	BUDDY BUDDY						3	5		5⁴			4^2½		3^3½	(collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120						12.00		5%		19.00		9.30	S
8	PRIZE FIGHTER						7	4		4⁴			5^2¾		4^4½	(shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122						1.40		58%		0.70		1.70
2	EMPEROROFTHEDARK						2	9		6^4½			6^3¾		5⁵	(shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117						3.50		16%		5.20		1.80
7	SUPER JORDAN						6	3		3^2½			3¹		6^5½	(carson )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						15.00						23.90
4	INSIDE RISK						4	7		7⁵			7^6¾		7^5¾	(caison jody)CESPEDES JHORMA 114						10.00						27.80
5	BUFFALO SHUFFLE						5	6		8^5½			8^7¼		8⁸	(dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122						12.00		5%		19.00		8.50
9	MY FRIENDS BEER						8	2		9^5¾			9^8¼		9⁹	(mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122						4.00						4.90
SCR	SHANGHAI WARRIOR															(grullon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122						20.00

CT-7			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC5		FAST			Maiden Sp Wt						Purse ($26.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT-10:02
See original race card.
:22²	:46²				:52³		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	CARIBBEAN COMEDY						8	3		1^nk			1¹		1^3¼	(brown w)BOCACHICA O 122						4.50		23%		3.30		2.50	W
		(by BARBADOS (IRE) out of SATIRE by WILDCAT HEIR)
4	MUDSLIDE						4	6		2^nk			2¹		2^3¼	(deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122						2.50		15%		5.50		2.80	P
		(by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SAN GREGORIA by FAIRBANKS)
1	SABURO'S VOW						1	7		6^6¼			5^6½		3^9¾	(dollinger-sthr l)ACOSTA D 124						12.00		5%		19.00		3.50	S
		(by SABURO out of SPECIFIC PROMISE by SQUARE EDDIE)
10	MISS SHACK ATTACK						9	1		4^3¼			4^5½		4^11¼	(campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124						12.00						23.10
		(by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
3	SENZA FINE						3	8		7^6½			7⁷		5^14¾	(runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122						6.00		33%		2.00		8.90
		(by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
7	SWAN						7	4		5^6¼			6^6½		6¹⁵	(gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122						5.00						3.90
		(by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5	AUTUMN IN VERMONT						5	9		10^10½			8¹⁰		7^17¾	(locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122						20.00						######
		(by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of UNTAKEN by NOONMARK)
2	RITZY RED						2	10		9^9½			9^10½		8^19½	(keller eddie)MARRERO CARLOS 124						30.00						######
		(by TU BRUTUS out of CORI ELLA by WELL NOTED)
11	MAJESTIC WINNER						10	2		3^.2			3^2½		9²⁰	(knudsen kent)MAWING A 122						8.00		5%		19.00		14.00
		(by STREET SENSE out of SHIMMER by PULPIT)
6	KIMSFAVORITESTORM						6	5		8^9½			10^12½		10²⁵	(hunt d)HO WESLEY 124						30.00						39.90
		(by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
SCR	FUL OF SHENANIGANS															(deiter kelly)LEWIS M 122						3.00
		(by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNBRIDLED ESCAPE by UNBRIDLED MATE)

CT-8			12/14/2024		2970ft	DIRT			RC10		FAST			Allowance						Purse ($28.4K)			3UP		ALL		PT-10:32
See original race card.
:22	:45⁴				:52¹		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LITTLE ROO ROO						3	5		2^nk			2^1½		1^¾	(jones e)ACOSTA D 124						8.00		5%		19.00		8.30	W
8	IRISH HERO						7	2		1^nk			1^1½		2^¾	(robb j)HO WESLEY 118						1.60		59%		0.70		0.90	P
5	WOODLINE						4	4		5^5¼			5^3½		3^3¼	(grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120						6.00						9.40
2	BELLA MELA						2	6		3^.2			3²		4^3¼	(contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121						8.00		17%		4.90		3.00
6	FIBER STRONG						5	8		8^7¼			6^5½		5⁵	(runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 115						15.00		5%		19.00		30.60
1	HEAVEN'S GOT FIRE						1	7		4^3¼			4³		6^5¼	(rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 120						2.50						6.00
7	BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX						6	3		7^6¼			8⁸		7^8¼	(mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118						15.00						28.20
9	EL LUCERITO						8	1		6^5¾			7⁶		8^9¾	(campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124						30.00						20.20
SCR	BREAK THE CHAINS															(mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122						10.00

CT-9			12/14/2024		4620ft	DIRT			RC7		FAST			Claiming ($5K)						Purse ($13.7K)			3UP		ALL		PT-11:02
See original race card.
:23¹	:48	1:14³			1:28²		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	YOU MUST CHILL						6	6		8^6¼	6⁴		1¹		1^2½	(jones e)ACOSTA D 122						8.00		18%		4.60		9.90	W
2	IMPERIAL KING						2	3		6^2¾	5³		2¹		2^2½	(mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122						4.50		14%		6.00		4.30	P
8	BODYSLAM						8	9		9^7¼	9^6¾		3²		3^3½	(brown w)BOCACHICA O 124						12.00						18.10
3	JOSHY JAK						3	2		1¹	1^½		5^2¼		4^3¾	(joy kev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117						3.00		29%		2.50		5.20
7	CHROME HEIR						7	10		10^12¼	10^13¾		9^5¾		5^7¼	(pickett g)HO WESLEY 120						50.00						61.70
5	BONNIE BILL						5	7		5^2¾	3²		6^2¾		6^8¼	(shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117						30.00		5%		19.00		62.80
1	MINXZLUCKYSTARFYRE						1	5		7^4¾	8^4¾		8^4¾		7¹¹	(magee kieron)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122						4.00						2.60
4	MONTAUK DADDY						4	1		2¹	7^4¼		7^3¾		8¹³	(spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122						6.00						9.30
10	MON GATEAU						10	8		3¹	2^½		4²		9^15¼	(brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122						8.00						10.10
9	SILVER MOON ROAD						9	4		4^1¼	4³		10^6¾		10^21½	(farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122						5.00		11%		7.70		3.30
SCR	SHARP SHOT															(farrior anth)LEWIS M 120						8.00
SCR	STARSTREET															(rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 122						15.00
SCR	YO NESSROUNDONKERN															(jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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