Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2)-(1/3/8/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(1/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(7/5/3/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(7/5/3/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(7/5/3/9/1)-(4/10/6/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/3/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1)-(7/5/3/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/9/1)-(4/10/6/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/9/1)-(4/10/6/3/2)-(8/2/10/3/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-5   WIN (4/10/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/3/2)-(4/10/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/3/2)-(4/10/6/3/2)-(4/10/6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/6/3/2)-(8/2/10/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6/3/2)-(8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-6   WIN (8/2/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/3/5)-(8/2/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/3/5)-(8/2/10/3/5)-(8/2/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/3/5)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/9/4/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/11/1)-(3/9/4/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/11/1)-(3/9/4/11/1)-(3/9/4/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/4/11/1)-(8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/3)-(3/6/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/6/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/9/5)-(3/6/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/9/5)-(3/6/2/9/5)-(3/6/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY TIME FOR ME         (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 28% 2.50    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
KYOTO KAT Aug01 Apr28       (figgins oll)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of GRACEADIEU by CAPTAIN RED)
THE GODMOTHER Nov13 Oct04 Sep21     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of DREAMS OF FREEDOM by DENIS OF CORK)
COUNT THE FLOWERS Nov23 Nov02 Oct24 Oct11 Aug23 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
I'M FLYING UP Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of ATHENA IN FLIGHT by BERNSTEIN)
DANCESWITHGREATNES Sep21         (racanelli ma)LEWIS M 122 50.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of FEEL LIKE DANCING by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
MEDALLION OF ASH         (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by MEDALLIST out of KICK ASH by ALPHABET SOUP)
GHOSTLY ANNA Nov23 Oct24 Sep27 Sep02 Aug01 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 3.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
CT-2   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL CAPS Nov08 Oct18 Sep28 Dec14 Sep29 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 0.60 58% 0.70    
POUR ME A DRINK Dec04 Nov14 Nov08 Oct30 Oct05 (ramos a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
FUNNY ROAD Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 Jul26 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
JUST HAVE FAITH Dec04 Nov14 Oct05 Aug24 Jun14 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
K'S LANEE Nov08 Oct17 Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 15.00    
CREME DE LA QUEEN Nov14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Nov08 Oct15 Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 (caison l)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 Aug16 Jun27 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
LIME STAR Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 Jun08 (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE SPIRIT Nov16 Oct25       (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 65% 0.60    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
GOLD DART Nov16 Jul27       (keller )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
SCR  SISTER STARDUST Dec07 Nov16 Oct25     (carson laura)HO WESLEY 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TOPAZIO by MORE THAN READY)
BUSTIER Nov16 Oct25       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FASHIONABLYAWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
INFERNO Nov28 Nov09 Aug25 Aug01   (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HEAVENLY SONG by SEPTIEME CIEL)
BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Nov21 Nov14 Aug17 Jul20 Jun17 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DARK STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
SHERUNSTHISTOWN Nov16         (sterling michael )LARROSA G 122 3.00 6% 14.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of WHO'S COZY by COZZENE)
MISS NINE ONE O Nov14         (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 50.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
MAKING MISCHIEF Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug14 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOUNT NEVIS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CT-4   12/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOO DEVIL Nov15 Oct30 Sep19 Jun26 Apr16 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Nov21 Nov08 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
ALLIED ATTACK Nov26 Oct02 Aug16 Jul14 Jun22 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 15.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov09 Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 Jul04 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 99.00    
VALHALLA'S PALACE Nov27 Nov08 Nov01 Oct19 Oct11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.00 23% 3.30    
MISSIONARY Nov23 Nov16 Oct25 Oct12 Sep01 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 124 4.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Nov30 Nov09 Nov01 Aug17 Jul19 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
SCR  GRAND AGAIN Dec01 Nov17 Aug09 Apr18 Mar21 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
REVEREND JACK Nov25 Nov04 Oct08 Sep26 Sep11 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
10  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
11  COLONIAL ROAD Nov27 Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 Sep13 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 99.00    
SCR  DOCTOR PARDO Nov29 Nov06 Oct17 Sep20 Aug17 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50    
 
CT-5   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY TOURIST Oct24 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
BARAPHA Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23   (conn linda )CESPEDES JHORMA 112 12.00 6% 15.40    
MY SOFIA ROSE Nov30 Nov07 Sep26 Sep01 Aug12 (mcclure d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 10% 9.30    
DICE ARM Nov23 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jun15 (keller chris)LEWIS M 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
ALI'S HANNAH Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 Sep02 Jul27 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
IN RETROSPECT Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Oct03 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 10% 8.60    
PRINCESS BRANDY Nov23 Nov08       (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
TAPWRIT WARRIOR Nov23 Oct05 Sep25 Jul22 Jun27 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
DAWN'S CREED Dec07 Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
10  DEE DEE SIX Nov22 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May24 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CT-6   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY THE KID Nov13 Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 Jul06 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Sep11 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 3.50 16% 5.20    
BUDDY BUDDY Dec04 Nov21 Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
INSIDE RISK Dec05 Sep12 Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 (caison jody)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 10.00    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Nov22 Oct18 Sep19 Aug03 Jul04 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Dec07 Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 May27 (grullon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
SUPER JORDAN Nov27 Oct17 Mar27 Mar13 Jan31 (carson )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Dec05 Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 Oct17 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
MY FRIENDS BEER Oct12 Sep28 Sep08 Aug18 Apr26 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
10  FU MAN SUE Sep21 Apr21 Mar16 Feb08 Jan06 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABURO'S VOW Mar27 Feb29       (dollinger-sthr l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SABURO out of SPECIFIC PROMISE by SQUARE EDDIE)
RITZY RED Nov23         (keller eddie)MARRERO CARLOS 124 30.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of CORI ELLA by WELL NOTED)
SENZA FINE Nov12 Oct06 Sep10 Aug07 Jun21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
MUDSLIDE Oct10 Aug28       (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SAN GREGORIA by FAIRBANKS)
AUTUMN IN VERMONT Nov30 Aug22 Jul26     (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of UNTAKEN by NOONMARK)
KIMSFAVORITESTORM Nov16 May24 Apr13 Mar23 Dec15 (hunt d)HO WESLEY 124 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
SWAN Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 Jul17 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SCR  FUL OF SHENANIGANS Sep14 Aug10       (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 122 3.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNBRIDLED ESCAPE by UNBRIDLED MATE)
CARIBBEAN COMEDY         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of SATIRE by WILDCAT HEIR)
10  MISS SHACK ATTACK Nov30 Nov22 Aug16 Jul06 Mar02 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
11  MAJESTIC WINNER         (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHIMMER by PULPIT)
 
CT-8   12/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN'S GOT FIRE Mar09 Feb23 Jun30 Jun17 May20 (rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 120 2.50    
BELLA MELA Oct12 Sep26 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
LITTLE ROO ROO Nov27 Nov07 Oct12 Sep25 Aug23 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BREAK THE CHAINS Jul20 Apr13 Feb16 Jan28 Jan11 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
WOODLINE Nov07 Sep27 May24 Mar27 Feb29 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
FIBER STRONG Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 May24 Feb29 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Jun16 May24 May04 Apr05 Feb28 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
IRISH HERO Sep02 Aug23 Aug07 Jul27 Jul14 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 1.60 59% 0.70    
EL LUCERITO Nov29 Nov02 Sep27 Aug17 Jun15 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
 
CT-9   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINXZLUCKYSTARFYRE Nov22 Nov01 Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
IMPERIAL KING Nov23 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
JOSHY JAK Dec03 Nov03 Oct16 Sep23 Aug11 (joy kev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
MONTAUK DADDY Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Aug17 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
BONNIE BILL Nov23 Nov02 Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
YOU MUST CHILL Nov22 Oct11 Sep10 Aug26 Jul01 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
CHROME HEIR Nov02 Oct11 Sep04 Jun12 May22 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 50.00    
BODYSLAM Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
SILVER MOON ROAD Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep20 Jun11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
10  MON GATEAU Nov27 Nov02 Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
SCR  SHARP SHOT Dec07 Nov22 Nov02 Sep20 Jul10 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 120 8.00    
SCR  STARSTREET Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 Jun19 May30 (rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 122 15.00    
SCR  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep25 Aug15 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.