Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (8/7/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/1/4)-(10/3/5/4/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/1/4)-(10/3/5/4/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-2   WIN (10/3/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/4/1)-(10/3/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/4/1)-(10/3/5/4/1)-(10/3/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/4/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/4/1)-(6/4/5/8/1)-(4/8/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/4/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/5/8/1)-(4/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/8/1)-(4/8/7/3)-(3/9/11/6/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/3)-(3/9/11/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/3)-(3/9/11/6/1)-(2/3/9/10/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/9/11/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/11/6/1)-(3/9/11/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/11/6/1)-(3/9/11/6/1)-(3/9/11/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/11/6/1)-(2/3/9/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/11/6/1)-(2/3/9/10/6)-(7/2/11/3/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-6   WIN (2/3/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/10/6)-(2/3/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/10/6)-(2/3/9/10/6)-(2/3/9/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/9/10/6)-(7/2/11/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/10/6)-(7/2/11/3/8)-(9/6/10/8/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-7   WIN (7/2/11/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/11/3/8)-(7/2/11/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/11/3/8)-(7/2/11/3/8)-(7/2/11/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/11/3/8)-(9/6/10/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/6/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/8/1)-(9/6/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/8/1)-(9/6/10/8/1)-(9/6/10/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOPAC TRAFFIC Feb22 Feb05 Jan09 Dec27 Nov15 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLEARLY BELLA Feb22 Jan16 Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 (flugence hen)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
INSTASPEED Feb22 Jan18 Jan01 Oct30 Sep25 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
CUSTOM V K W Feb12 Jan31 Jan09 Dec07 Oct25 (constantine )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT DEAL Feb23 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 Nov16 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
KISSES FOR COOPER Feb23 Feb05 Jan02 Dec19   (faul jaso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
LUCKY GEM Feb23 Dec28 Dec12 Aug12 Jul24 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
EVE OF EVE Feb17 Jan18       (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
FRET NO MORE Feb23 Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Jul27 (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
 
FG-2   03/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO WEEKS NOTICE Jan18 Nov23 Sep14 Aug13 Jul17 (burkes)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DROBNY Jan26 Jan05 Jul05 May17 Mar07 (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 8.00    
EQUAL PROTECTION Oct13 Sep10 Jun02 Apr13 Mar03 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
WARP NINE Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 Nov03 Sep08 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 6% 14.90    
PAVED IN GOLD Feb17 Apr13 Mar16 Feb10   (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 11% 8.10    
MAX S Feb17 Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 Nov10 (gomez jorge)ASTUDILLO FELIX 125 20.00    
WEDDING GIFT Feb14 Jan30       (alonzo how)ALBERT S 117 20.00    
STORM FORCE Feb17 Jul27 Jun21 May27 Mar21 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 15.00    
SHARP STRIKE Feb17 Nov24 Sep05 Aug08 Jun08 (simpson da)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00    
10  MAGISTRATE Feb17 Apr26 Mar20 Feb14 Jan17 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 125 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
FG-3   03/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYLITTLESINGH Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
STEAL ME OVER Jan27 Jan01 Nov28 Sep18 Sep03 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
DEBS PRAYER Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 Feb02 Mar11 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
LIGHTENING MO Feb05 Jan18 Dec21 Nov26 Oct19 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
BETSY'S ALL IN Feb13 Dec21 Nov28 Jul26 Jun22 (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
A MISS DEAMEANOR Feb22 Jan09 Dec15 Nov24 Sep10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
UNO PEA Feb13 Jan25 Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 8.00    
JAYDYN CAT Jan01 Nov28 Oct17 Aug23 Jun21 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 8% 10.90    
HOLIDAY DOUBLE Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Jan03 Nov22 (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 10.00    
 
FG-4   03/12/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STICK SHIFT Feb12 Dec28 Nov23 Nov10 Sep27 (orseno f)MCMAHON J 125 4.50    
INTERLUDE Feb17 Jan26 Nov29 Oct10 Jun08 (simpson daniel)ORTIZ L 125 3.50    
BRILLIANT CALL Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Nov23   (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMENTUM Jan31 Jan05 Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
PUCKSTER Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Dec15 Sep22 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 12.00    
LA BOUCANE Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 20.00    
CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Mar02 Feb16 Jan23 Dec22 Dec06 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 13% 6.90    
JON'S STREET BAND Sep12 Jul29 Jun23     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
FG-5   03/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER WISE Feb13 Jan24 Jan03 Sep05 Aug04 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN CHANNELS Feb17 Feb01 Jan16 Dec16 Nov24 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00    
BOITANO Feb17 Jan24 Jan03 Nov12 Jun07 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  KEYS INCLUDED Feb02 Jan10 Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 (brinkman brett)MCMAHON J 119 10.00    
GUITAR BOY Feb02 Dec19 Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
FIREWATER JAKE Feb17 Jan09 Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 (barnett bo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
SOUTH SIDE Feb21 Jan17 Dec14 Nov24 Oct29 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Nov22 Sep23 Sep09 Aug14 Jul04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
Z Z'S PRINCE Feb17 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 (zeringue j)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 12% 7.30    
10  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Feb17 Jan09 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 (rodriguez ed)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
11  BATTLE SCARS Feb21 Jan30 Dec19 Oct13 Sep12 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  SKI PATROL Jan09 Dec13 Oct24 Sep18 Aug15 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Feb22 Jan30 Nov09 Oct19 Aug09 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
SCR  MR. FAVERSHAM Feb13 Jan29 Jan17 Jan05 Dec04 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
SCR  TONTERIA Mar03 Feb02 Jan02 Dec14 May21 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
 
FG-6   03/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAIQUIRI SOMMELIER         (stall albert)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of ACQUAINTED by PAYNTER)
KALAHARI DREAMS Feb15 Jan04 Nov30 Nov01 Sep12 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GEORGIA CLAY by GHOSTZAPPER)
PRETTY CAPABLE Jan18 Dec21 Nov28     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of LOVE ON THE RUN by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  JURIS DOCTOR         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
GRAND ACADEMIC Feb20 Jan25 Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ACADEMIC BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
GLOBAL QUOTE Jan18 Nov16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LOVE QUOTE by TAPIT)
CLASSIC MAC Feb15         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HARVEST N'HEARTH Nov22 Oct23       (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SHE HUNG THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
REACH Feb01 Jan04 Dec06 Nov01 Sep06 (walden wil)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BROKEN BRIDLE by BROKEN VOW)
10  COFFEE TALK Feb15         (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 5% 18.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT LEGACY by TAPIT)
11  SHADOW COAST Feb15 Jan18 Dec26 Nov16   (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of OVERPREPARED by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FG-7   03/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX IS G MONEY Feb23 Dec20 Dec07 Oct17 Sep24 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 20.00    
QUATERNION Apr27 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 Dec30 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
EZ ROLL Feb17 Jan01 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
HIGGINSVILLE Feb17 Jan05 Dec15 Nov29 Jul15 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
SCR  GOTTA KEEP HIM Feb17 Jan17 Jan01 Dec07 Sep04 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
FAITH RUNNER Feb17 Jan27 Jan01 Jun13 May23 (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
STORM READY Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 Nov03 Jul12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
RIVER RIDGE Feb23 Nov17 Oct31 Oct09 Jul13 (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Feb17 Jan01 Nov22 Oct13 Aug04 (simpson d)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
10  AGATINO (IRE) Jan01 Dec07 Oct14 Sep08 Jun11 (wong jonath)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00    
11  KAKE'S ARROW Feb17 Jul06 May17 Apr13 Feb15 (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  BALTIMORE HEART Feb01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 (williamson b)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  CESNOLA Dec07 Oct18 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
SCR  MUNTALIQ Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 Aug03 Jul06 (flugen)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 30.00    
SCR  B WAYNE Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Sep15 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
 
FG-8   03/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVIAR RESOLUTION Sep23 Jul23 May15 Jan19 Dec29 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
FIT AND FAMOUS Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Sep28 Sep08 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
GLAMOROUS LIFE Jan26 Jan03 Dec12 Nov09 Sep26 (anderson mark )CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 20.00    
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 Dec27 Dec07 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
SCR  FASTED Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 Oct26 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
PINK LADY LU SHA Feb14 Jan31 Jan01 Dec08 Jul07 (reeves je)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
REBA ATTACK Feb20 Jan30 Jan05 Nov24 Oct19 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
HURRICANE LASSIE Feb20 Jan30 Dec16 Oct31 Oct15 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.00 11% 7.70    
ZOOM ERIN Feb20 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
10  SPARKLE OF HOPE Feb20 Jan26 Nov17 Nov01 Sep13 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.