Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(2/3/8/7)-(1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/7)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/7)-(1/4/3)-(7/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/6/8/5)-(6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/5)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/5)-(6/4/1)-(3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/6/2)-(7/4/8/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(7/4/8/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/4/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/1/2)-(7/4/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/1/2)-(7/4/8/1/2)-(7/4/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBOLING GHOST Feb12 Jan16 Aug21 Aug09 Jul18 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.20 69% 0.50    
SCR  FAST FALL Nov04 Oct07 Sep08 Jun24 May05 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  AMERICAN HERO Feb14 Dec27 Dec06 Nov04 Oct09 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
4  FALK Dec12 Oct15 Oct08 Aug07 Jul29 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
5  TIMESATAPPIN Feb08 Dec09 Nov04 Oct22 May06 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 4.00 7% 13.80    
 
MVR-2   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROWDY DAN Jan16 Dec11 Nov20 Oct19 Sep24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
2  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan27 Jan08 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  ONE TEN Jan27 Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
4  MASAKADO Feb01 Jan06 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
5  THRU THE VINE Jan08 Dec19 Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATKINS Jan27 Jan08 Dec05 Nov02 Oct24 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-3   03/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Jan29 Sep03 Aug14 Aug01 Jul09 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
2  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Dec03 Oct26 Aug01 Jul03 Jun08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 69% 0.40    
3  SHEZ SHACKED UP Feb08 Dec03 Nov04 Oct26 Sep18 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
4  EXACTITUDE Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Nov18 Oct29 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
5  NATIONAL DIAMOND Feb10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
6  SUSHI Q Jan29 Jan13 Nov18 Oct29 Aug20 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 5.00    
7  SPICE ICE Feb10 Jan08 Nov06 Sep30 Sep03 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRETTY PATTY Feb08 Jan29 Jan13 Dec18 May18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRITED RIDE Feb10 Jan08 Oct25 Oct07 Sep21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  WINE AND WAVES Feb10 Dec23 Dec03 Oct22 Oct10 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00    
3  FRAC AMOUR Feb10 Jan24 Dec23 Dec08 Nov17 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDENEYE MAGIC Feb12 Jan08 Dec05     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.20 24% 3.20    
5  ITSABLINGTHING Jan31 Nov29 Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 (barret)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   03/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE THE SAUCE Feb22 Jan07 Dec13 Nov16   (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
2  ROYAL ITCH Nov20 Nov04 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
3  PINK PARTY PANTS Jan27 Dec27 Nov20 Nov04 Sep02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE Feb13 Nov10 Oct28 Sep27 Jun08 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
5  SHES HOT TO TROT Jan09 Dec27 Nov24 Nov10 Oct22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MALI BALI Feb04 Jan25 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Jan25 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov04 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
8  LIVING IN STYLE Jan27 Jan09 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ALTER THE STARS Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 Oct22 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEISTHEHERO Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 Dec10 Nov25 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EPICUREAN Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 Nov21 Nov12 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
SCR  HARTFUL HOPE Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 Dec10 Sep04 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
4  DIVINE FASHION Feb03 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  MALICED Feb26 Feb04 Dec23 Nov19 Oct23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
6  FLOWER MOUND Jan25 Jan18 Dec28 Nov18 Nov02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
7  HONEY BELLA Feb10 Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 Sep03 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00    
 
MVR-7   03/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLEXITY GIRL Feb26 Dec26 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 10.00    
2  FLASHY N Dec26 Dec11 Nov11 Oct26 Oct10 (rivera r)STOKES J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LO BUG Feb06 Dec26 Dec11 Sep16 Aug10 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  BELLE BOTTOMS Dec30 Dec11 Nov13 Oct26 Oct09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 0.80    
5  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Oct26   (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
6  RAPIDA Feb26 Feb10 Dec26 Oct14 Sep20 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-8   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL IT A NIGHT Feb08 Dec28 Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Feb08 Dec28 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 (jansen kenny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIBERTANGO Dec28 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
4  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  POLSTER Feb08 Jan04 Nov08 Oct04 Sep05 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
6  BIGTONTEN Nov27 Nov11       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 116 4.00    
7  HONOR THE CROSS Jan25 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
8  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Feb08 Jan16 Nov20 Nov05 Oct07 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHORTLY Feb08 Jun08 May06 Mar07 Feb20 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.