Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(3/2/4/5)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5)-(1/2/5)-(7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/1/5)-(2/10/1/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-4   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(2/10/1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(2/10/1/3/4)-(9/3/5/2/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-5   WIN (2/10/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/3/4)-(2/10/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/3/4)-(2/10/1/3/4)-(2/10/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/1/3/4)-(9/3/5/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/10/1/3/4)-(9/3/5/2/1)-(7/2/5/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (9/3/5/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/2/1)-(9/3/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/2/1)-(9/3/5/2/1)-(9/3/5/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/2/1)-(7/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/2/1)-(7/2/5/3)-(5/4/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(4/10/8/3/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(4/10/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/3)-(4/10/8/3/2)-(1/3/10/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/10/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/8/3/2)-(1/3/10/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
MVR-10   WIN (1/3/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/7/8)-(1/3/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/7/8)-(1/3/10/7/8)-(1/3/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCS LEGEND Feb03 Jan16       (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
2  A VAN ON THE RUN Jan16 Dec11 Oct23 Oct01 Aug29 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 126 5.00 7% 13.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
3  MY BABY BULLET Jan24 Jan09 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
4  LETSHAVEADAY Oct21         (romero oscar)TAVARES JAVIER 126 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOWN CENTRE by COOL COAL MAN)
5  DR. JOBO'S DAY Feb13 Jan09 Aug15     (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  KICKSTART Oct10 Sep18       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
7  JUDY'S COMET Jan24 Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Oct29 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
 
MVR-2   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CAT SPIRIT Feb04         (faulkner c)STOKES J 122 12.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
2  JOSEFINA Feb04 Dec27       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
3  WONDER WORLD Oct26 Oct09       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HEY MONBA by MONBA)
4  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Feb04 Jan24 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
5  SUNNY LION Feb04         (cline c)PEREZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOLPHUS out of ROCKY PARADE by PARADING)
6  DOLLAR DANCE Feb04 Aug07 Jul04     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
7  KELLEY JEAN Jan25         (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 122 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PALACE MALICE GIRL by PALACE MALICE)
 
MVR-3   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLD Feb03 Jan16 Dec17 Oct07 Sep03 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  RUN RED RUN Jan16 Sep28 Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  PAINT THE TOWN Feb03 Dec02 Nov14 Sep17 Aug21 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
SCR  PALACE TEMPTATION Feb10 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov21 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
5  CLEVELAND POWER Feb03 Jan16 Oct29 Oct01 Sep14 (romero a)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KINDERHOOK Dec17 Nov06 Oct11 Jun18 May15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
 
MVR-4   02/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WASHINGTON'S UNION Feb11 Jan29 Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 (higham ni)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  OILER Feb11 Jan13 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
3  ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00    
SCR  CANDY INVASION Feb12 Jan08 Dec17 Nov13 Oct21 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
5  NIGHT TIME RULER Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 Nov06 Oct21 (brown glenr)BLANCHE RISHAWN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORONA GRANDE Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 Nov12 Oct16 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
7  EXALTED JOY Feb06 Jan24 Dec23 Dec12 Nov20 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 6.00 59% 0.70    
8  SMASH Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 Nov26 Nov06 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK COVE Feb11 Jan29 Dec08 Oct22 Oct09 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  LAND MARK DEAL Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 Nov11 Nov04 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  SEEING RED Jan29 Dec26 Dec02 Nov17 Oct24 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE LAST FACT Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 (romero a)TAPARA LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALL ME GUSTO Jan28 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jul01 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
6  THAT KHENNY Jan28 Sep10 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
7  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 May26 May06 (guciardo robert)HERMAN NOEL 119 10.00    
8  ROCK ON KITTEN Dec26 Dec05 Nov20 Oct22 Jun24 (johnso)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
9  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Feb04 Jan27 Dec16 Nov20 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
10  UBIQUITOUS Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 (urieta j)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 34% 2.00    
 
MVR-6   02/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS CHOFIS Jan15 Dec27 Aug01 Jun24 May22 (calleja g)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAN CONQUISTADORA Feb13 Jan01 Nov23 Oct13   (morales m)PEREZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEEYOUINMYDREAMS Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Nov30 Nov15 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  I SAY TOO Feb07 Jan02 Sep10     (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
5  ATOMIC KISS Jan29 Nov08       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  FREEDOM PRINCESS Feb13 Dec26 Dec01     (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
7  GUNNADIVA Feb13 Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 Nov23 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
8  UAINTRIGHT Jan29 Nov09       (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
9  ESTILO UNICO Feb05 Jan15 Nov27 Nov08 Oct12 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
MVR-7   02/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOORHEES Jan23 Jan07 Nov21 Nov02 Oct09 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
2  ROTARY DIAL Jan28 Dec28 Dec07 Nov04 Oct16 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  THE RED MAN Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GILLIGAN Jan28 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 (mahan p)STOKES J 124 12.00    
5  BOURBON AND ICE Jan28 Jan09 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  ROYAL AIR FORCE Nov12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
7  ONE RED CENT Jan28 Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 Sep18 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
SCR  C J ALL THE WAY Jan29 Jan09 Oct08 Aug11 Jul09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
10  BIG BUCKSALOT Feb06 Jan28 Jun22 Jun06 May03 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL MEMORY Feb06 Jan07 May07 Apr24 Apr11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50    
2  CALI CRUISER Jan29 Nov13 Oct28 Aug30 Aug12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
3  EXTRA CRAFTY Jan29 Dec16 Dec02 Nov20 Oct19 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BANANA PUDDING Jan29 Jan07 Dec27 Nov21 Nov06 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  OFFICIALLY YOURS Jan29 Jul11 Jun07 May06 Mar12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  MIZZEN THE POINT Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Nov06 Dec20 (overholt )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
7  BIG FACTS Jan29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct21 Sep03 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-9   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE Feb04 Jan09 Nov25 Oct08 Sep17 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 3.50    
2  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Feb04 Jan24 Jan09 Dec17 Nov14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIER ONE Jan24 Jan09 Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PATIENT CAPITAL Jan24 Dec29 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  MAGICAL MONARCH Feb04 Jan24 Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
6  GIFT OF OAK Jan27 Dec17 Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 124 30.00    
7  AWARD NOMINATED Feb04 Jan15 Jun22 Jun01 May25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
8  K KID Feb03 Jan16 Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 8.00 8% 11.70    
9  SIGHT UNSEEN Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 Nov19 Nov05 (ray kevin)STOKES J 124 15.00    
10  CAVENDISH Feb04 Jan23 Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
MVR-10   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL ENSIGN Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov21 Nov07 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 116 3.50 56% 0.80    
2  WELLOILEDCAT Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 Dec23 Jun10 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
3  IT'S E Z Jan06 Dec18 Nov20 Apr08 Feb05 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BE KOZY Feb05 Jan06 Nov25 Nov11 Sep05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 1.60    
5  GIMME CLEARANCE Jan25 Dec26 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
6  MISS SIX Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 Aug26 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
7  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jan25 Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  EMERALD EYES Jan25 Jan08 Nov21 Nov05 Aug29 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SOMETHING LUCKY Feb06 Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov20 (doering mark)STOKES J 124 10.00    
10  PRINCESS EM Jan25 Jan06 Dec18 Dec05 Nov20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.