Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(1/7/5)-(9/1/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(9/1/5/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(9/1/5/6/10)-(4/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (9/1/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/6/10)-(9/1/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/6/10)-(9/1/5/6/10)-(9/1/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/6/10)-(4/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/6/10)-(4/8/3/5)-(5/9/10/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/5)-(5/9/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/5)-(5/9/10/8/2)-(5/1/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/9/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/8/2)-(5/9/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/8/2)-(5/9/10/8/2)-(5/9/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/10/8/2)-(5/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/10/8/2)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/6/7/4/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7)-(5/6/7/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/7)-(5/6/7/4/10)-(8/9/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/6/7/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4/10)-(5/6/7/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4/10)-(5/6/7/4/10)-(5/6/7/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4/10)-(8/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/3)-(8/9/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/3)-(8/9/4/7/3)-(8/9/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER MARK Feb02 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Aug14 (delacruz j)CURTIS BEN 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  A'DEBRIS Jan31 Jan17 Dec21 Nov20 Oct25 (journet al)ALBERT S 121 12.00    
3  APRIORITY ROCKET Feb02 Jan04 Nov29 Sep09 Aug17 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00    
4  HARPES HILL Jan17 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 Aug03 (patt roland )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  APRIORITY AVENGER Jan17 Jan02 Dec20 Dec11 Nov16 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  NERVY Jan24 Jan09 Jul30 Jun15 Apr19 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
7  BYATHREAD Jan24 Jan02 Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 (zenon charles)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
 
FG-2   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGFOOT SIGHTING Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 Oct19   (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
2  CAJUN SWAGGER Jan09 Oct07 Aug12     (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
SCR  ALL RIZZ Jan26 Jan12       (desormeaux)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
4  WEDDING GIFT Jan30         (alonzo how)ALBERT S 122 12.00    
5  HOLDEN MICHAEL Dec19 Sep26 Sep08     (catalano wayne)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL COACH Jan10 Dec19 Oct23     (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.00    
7  DEFTLY DONE Jan09 Dec06 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
FG-3   02/14/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Jan29 Jan19 Jan15 Nov27 Nov10 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  JUST SAY WHEN Dec06 Oct09 Aug31 Aug22 Jan01 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00    
3  SHUT UP MAN Jan19 Jan03 Dec16 Nov09 Sep26 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SPELL Sep26 Sep02 Aug16 Jul18 Jun21 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
5  ATRAS Jan19 Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 Nov07 (hewitt micha)MURRAY M 121 10.00 8% 11.30    
6  WE MISS ARLINGTON Jan19 Dec26 Dec16 Dec06 Oct19 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  APPEAL DENIED Dec29 Nov14 Oct09 Jul15 Dec01 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00    
8  ON YOUR MARK Jun14 Mar20 Feb25 Mar16 Sep14 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
9  MESA SPIRIT Jan19 Dec29 Dec13 Jul13 Jun14 (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
10  SAINT CHARLES Dec29 Nov15 Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANNEL WON Sep19 Jul07 May25 Feb02 Jan11 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 121 2.50    
SCR  ONCOMING TRAIN Jan30 Jan10 Dec26 Nov14 Sep15 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
SCR  X J RASCAL (IRE) Jan30 Jan19 Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
SCR  VOODOO ZIP Jan28 Dec07 Nov16 Sep11 Aug17 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
SCR  PHILO BEDDOE Jan04 Nov16 Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 (escobar martin)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jan24 Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
2  PINK LADY LU SHA Jan31 Jan01 Dec08 Jul07 Jun22 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50    
3  LILY'S CREED Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  MISS DISTINCTIVE Jan24 Jan05 Dec13 Dec05 Nov22 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov22 Sep25 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIMONA'S CHOICE Jan31 Jan04 Dec12 Jul21 Jun15 (duke steven)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
7  ROCK STAR DOCTOR Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 (guillory hen)TORRES A 124 3.00    
8  DRE ME LESS Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Sep11 Jul27 (camejo jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
FG-5   02/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) Jan17 Dec20 Nov24 Oct19 Aug25 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
2  RUNNIN MUNNIN Jan11 Nov28 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TREATY Feb16 Jan15 Dec16 Oct12 Sep20 (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
4  MAN ON ATTACK Dec21 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 (childers )HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
5  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 May23 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  PICO D'ORO Jan17 Dec29 Oct16 Oct07 Sep04 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 15.00    
7  SIR PISTOLERO Jan17 Dec07 Oct10 Sep26 May27 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
8  SENDERO Jan17 Dec16 Nov22 Sep29 Aug30 (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SABI Dec19 Oct16 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
10  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Jan17 Dec05 Oct17 Sep07 Aug17 (russell brit)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  CASCADE CRUISER Jan11 Dec07 Aug24 Jul06 May19 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
 
FG-6   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDE THE BRIDE         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  GIN RUN Jan19 Jan04 Dec13     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 117 4.50    
3  MY SOUTHERN GIRL Jan16 Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 Mar13 (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE Jan16 Dec04 Mar07 Feb21   (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 8.00    
5  ELODINE Jan16 Dec26 Dec06 Oct17 Sep19 (lopez elias)TORRES A 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  CRUZIN VAN NUYS Jan20 Dec22 Dec12     (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 4.50    
7  TALE OF CHIANTI Dec20 Aug31       (west henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CRITICAL VELOCITY Jan24 Nov09 Aug16 Jun29 Jun15 (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 20.00    
9  ACCELERATEDVICTORY Jan16 Dec06 Sep26 Jul26 Jun29 (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 30.00    
 
FG-7   02/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM OF A STORM Jan19 Jan02       (west patric)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of GEM OF SOUL by CRIMSON TIDE)
2  TENSAS CAMP ROAD Jan02 Dec06 Nov13 Sep23   (claire alexi)TORRES A 117 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
3  EMILY'S BOY Dec08 May08 Apr05 Mar16 Feb13 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 125 5.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
4  SOUTHSCAPE Jan19 Dec27 Nov14     (wilson shane)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of ON HER TERMS by MIZZEN MAST)
5  CUNIMBUS Nov29 Nov06 Jul25 Jun20 May10 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 125 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  STAR ROCK STAR Dec29 Dec14       (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AFTER THOUGHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  STAR STAR STAR Jan19 Dec08 Aug28 Dec09   (duhon joseph)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
8  MISTERHOLYROLLER Jan19 Dec08 Nov14 May02 Apr17 (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 125 6.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILD RANGER by U S RANGER)
9  TONI'S INFERNO Jan19 Dec27 Nov29 Nov06 Aug23 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
10  SILENT BREEZE Jan18 Dec14 Aug24     (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of ALL ABOUT JU JU by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ARIES HONOR Jan31 Dec27 Dec08 Aug26 Dec31 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 15.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of BEVERLY BELLE by FAR OUT WADLEIGH)
SCR  REACH FOR THE ACES Jan03 Aug16 Jul11 Jun21 May30 (ladner chad)ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 20.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of REACHFORTHEFINEST by FINEST HOUR)
 
FG-8   02/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPECCABILITY Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 Jul19 Jun29 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
2  STAR READY Jan24 Jan02 Sep18 Aug20 Aug07 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 20.00    
3  SUMMER IN AIKEN Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 Oct24 Sep18 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CARTHAGE CAJUN Jan17 Dec27 Nov22 Sep18 Aug14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  STONE ALLIANCE Jan17 Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 Nov15 (zenon charle)MURRAY M 118 20.00    
6  REGIMENTAL Jan24 Jan05 Oct17 Sep29 Sep08 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
7  VERACRUZIN Jan17 Nov23 Jun12 May30 May11 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 ★    
8  COOKN WIT CATMAN Jan24 Sep26 Jul09 Jun04 Mar24 (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
9  EL PERFECTO Nov22 Sep26 Aug14 Jun07 May10 (claire alexi)TORRES A 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
10  HEXCEL Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov23 Sep16 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.