Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(5/6/7)-(7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(7/6/5)-(5/6/1/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(5/6/1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(5/6/1/3/2)-(3/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/6/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3/2)-(5/6/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3/2)-(5/6/1/3/2)-(5/6/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3/2)-(3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3/2)-(3/8/6/5)-(7/6/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/5)-(7/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/5)-(7/6/1/3)-(3/10/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(3/10/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/3)-(3/10/7/4)-(10/3/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/10/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/4)-(3/10/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/4)-(3/10/7/4)-(3/10/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/7/4)-(10/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/12/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLE WITH SUGAR Dec28 Sep26 Aug27 Jul03 Jun12 (wong jonath)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
2  FOREIGN TOURIST Nov29 Sep23 Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
3  IM SINGLED UP Dec29 Dec08 Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
4  PRIZE DEBATE Dec28 Dec08 Oct24 Sep25 Sep05 (rubley kelly)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  SALOMEINTHEHOOP Dec28 Aug05 Jul03 May22 May04 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Dec28 Dec16 Oct26 Aug24 Jul27 (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
7  I DONT KNOW EITHER Dec12 Nov29 Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
 
FG-2   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEHELLOFABIRTHDAY         (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
  (by DAAHER out of WIRE ME BESSIE by WIRE ME COLLECT)
2  DELIGHTFUL HALO Dec20 Nov29 Sep14 Jul16 May27 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
3  AWREE Mar20 Feb03       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of OH BETTE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  PRETTY PRAIRIE Dec20 Nov29 Jun15 May16 Apr18 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
5  ABOUT TO SET SAIL Dec20 Nov29 Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
6  JUS EVELYN Jul15 Jun02 Mar02     (cohn g)TORRES A 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
7  JUS MAKES CENTS         (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
 
FG-3   01/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNOVA Dec16 Nov02 Oct03 Aug24   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00    
2  CABO MISCHIEF Dec16 Aug28       (duhon o)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
SCR  DEREK'S LAW Nov01 Sep27       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
4  CONTRABANDIST Dec21 Nov08 Oct10 Aug29 Aug03 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 119 2.50    
5  JUST KEEP LOOKING Dec16 Nov28 Oct06 Sep07   (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CORMAN Dec16 Nov05 Sep25     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 36% 1.70    
7  I GOT GAME Dec21 Oct27 Sep19 Aug03 Jun20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
FG-4   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNTOLIVE Dec07 Oct30 Aug16 Jun06 Apr26 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
2  GRACE AND MERCY Aug22 Jul12       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  C C SENORA Dec26 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 122 10.00 8% 11.80    
4  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Dec26 Dec11 Aug23 Jun29 Mar07 (zenon char)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
5  TAP GALORE Dec22 Nov30 Jul19 Jul06 Feb22 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
6  LULU'S MAGIC Dec26 Nov30 Dec08     (wilson shane)TORRES A 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
7  RADIANT REBEL Dec26 Dec06 Sep24 Aug21 Aug06 (hamilton sar)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 5.00    
8  TALKABOUT Nov22 Oct29 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (broussard jarm)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
9  CLASSIC DEAL Dec05 Oct29 Jul16     (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
 
FG-5   01/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COME ON POP         (delacruz m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
2  NOT BEHAVIN Dec19         (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
3  FAST BEACH Jun21         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
4  MIRACLE ON CENTRAL Jan04 Dec01 Nov14     (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
5  ALL RIZZ         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  VALLEY OF FIRE         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  STORM THE STREETS Nov21 Oct15 Sep11 Aug08 Jul12 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
8  FULLY VOLATILE Nov29         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
9  ITS PALADIN TIME         (heitzman eric)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SMOKING Dec21 Nov28 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SMART IZZY Dec21 Nov28 Sep26 Aug31 Aug14 (hatche)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
3  MIA ANTONIA Dec22 Jun17 May06 Mar08 Feb08 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COUNTRY BELLE Dec21 Dec08 Sep10 Aug12 Jun11 (duke steven)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
5  BROADWAY PEARL Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 Aug28 Jul31 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
6  WAR TOURIST Nov29 Aug09 Jun20 May21 Apr18 (jeansonne ju)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
7  FRONT AND SILVER Dec21 Nov09 Oct26 Sep02 Aug15 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
FG-7   01/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THICK AS THIEVES Dec15 Nov09 Oct11 Feb01 Oct27 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
2  AGENT CREED Dec26 Nov29 Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
3  WARRIOR RICHARD Dec20 Nov16 Oct10 Aug30 Jul21 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  TRES SOLES Jul30 Jun22 Sep30 Aug27 Jul02 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY Dec20 Nov22 Oct18 Sep05 Aug24 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
6  BREAKING ALONE Dec19 Nov29 Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
7  OVERANALYTICAL Dec20 Aug26 Jul23 Jul12 Jun14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  RISK MANAGER Dec19 Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 Jun19 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
SCR  BALTIMORE HEART Nov06 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug10 (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
10  SCAT FREE Dec26 Nov30 Oct04 Aug12 Jul13 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 26% 2.80    
11  KARLWITHANARL Dec21 Oct08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul06 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF MAGIC Dec15 Jul09 Jun24 May18 Apr06 (west g)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIL WOADIE Nov30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 May20 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
3  CHEATIN CHARLIE Dec22 Nov30 Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 (terre david)COHEN DAVID 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Dec22 Nov30 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (pennino fr)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00    
5  BANKROLL Dec29 Oct30 Oct17 Aug24 Jul26 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 12.00    
6  PEPPER JACK Dec29 Dec05 Oct30 Oct19 Oct04 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARLI MICHAEL Jan03 Nov23 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 121 3.50    
8  GOLD PUNCH Dec22 Nov24 May25 Apr20 Mar16 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
9  MUCHO MARVIN Dec22 Nov30 Nov07 Oct12 Aug02 (chevis vince)MAGNON H 121 4.50    
10  HARD FOUR Dec15 Nov24 Jun07 May10 Apr13 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 63% 0.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.