Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(8/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(8/1/9/3)-(2/9/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3/11)-(8/1/9/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/9/3)-(2/9/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/3)-(2/9/5/4)-(10/6/8/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/1/5/4)-(2/9/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/5/4)-(10/6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/4)-(10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (10/6/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/5)-(1/5/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/5)-(10/6/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/5)-(10/6/5/2/9)-(10/6/5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/5)-(1/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5)-(1/5/9/3)-(10/7/4/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/3)-(10/7/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/3)-(10/7/4/9/2)-(7/9/5/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (10/7/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/4/9/2)-(7/9/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/7/4/9/2)-(7/9/5/8/2)-(3/11/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (7/9/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/8/2)-(7/9/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/8/2)-(7/9/5/8/2)-(7/9/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/5/8/2)-(3/11/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/6/10)-(3/11/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/11/6/10)-(3/11/8/6/10)-(3/11/8/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/20/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUJOL Oct17 Sep14 Aug07 Jul12 Jun30 (cordero an)BATISTA X 123 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of FANCY WORK by MIZZEN MAST)
2  CALLER Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 Sep04 Aug07 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  FACTOR ANALYSIS Oct20 Jul20 Jun22 May26 Apr14 (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TWO STEP SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  STOP THE PRESS Oct20 Sep19 Sep02 Aug08 Jun22 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ETERNAL MISCHIEF Nov29 Nov01 Oct10     (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ETERNAL BOUNTY by GALILEO)
6  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Nov29 Oct27 Sep26 Aug30 Jul26 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
 
TAM-2   12/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP RIDING AWAY Nov29 Sep29 Aug30     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  DOROTEA DREAM Dec07         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
SCR  ALLENHURST Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Sep14 Aug25 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPAGHETTI TREE Dec07 Aug30       (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
5  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Dec07 Oct24 Sep26     (campbell joel)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
6  XOCHIL Dec07 Nov03 Oct12 Jul31 Jul13 (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 30.00    
7  MOR DREAMS Sep13 Aug23 Aug10     (ramos juan )GONZALEZ MELVIS 112 20.00    
8  CANTAFIO Dec13 Nov29 Oct30 Sep21 Aug03 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
9  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Nov29 Oct11 Sep19 Aug31   (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LITTLE SNEAKY Sep25 Aug18 Aug03     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
11  STYLE IN TIME Nov20         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   12/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TANGO Nov12 Jun18 May27 Apr20   (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 6.00 ★    
2  SA SA SA Jan19 Dec30 Dec13     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  KING MIANO Aug09 Jul05 Jun16 May18 May01 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 6.00    
4  DIAMOND MESSA Dec06 Nov20 Oct09 Sep14 Aug29 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MILCHIN Nov30 Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug17 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO PROBLEM JOE Dec04 May31 Apr26 Apr03 Mar27 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 12.00    
7  BIG TOBY Nov30 Nov03 Sep14 May26 Apr26 (ubide max)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
8  BLUEJAY WAY Nov30 Oct25 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
9  TIZ LORD Oct22 Sep12 Aug17 Jul13 Feb04 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.60 24% 3.10    
 
TAM-4   12/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUZZSAW Nov23 Oct03 Sep14     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.50    
2  RUN MY CARD Dec07 Nov01 Jun21     (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00    
3  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Sep30         (hamm timothy)FERRER C 119 8.00    
SCR  JR SERGIO Dec07 Nov30 Nov03     (lopez rober)HESS SARA 112 12.00    
5  EL DE TOCHO         (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 20.00 16% 5.40    
6  MR TANGO         (vazquez eduardo )LEON SONNY 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
7  GOD IS LIFE         (cascallares nest)BRACHO A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NERVANA Nov01 Aug30 May11     (lightner)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
9  ALLEGRISSIMO Nov23 Oct22 Sep23 Sep14 Aug09 (arnett jon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 10.00    
10  METOLIO Nov29         (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-5   12/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARVIEW TWINKLE Oct11 Jul06       (mazza w)FERRER C 124 12.00    
2  TOURIST STYLE Dec04 Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 (cascallares ne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 ★    
3  ALTHENA Dec04 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Mar27 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
4  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Dec04 Sep27 Aug25 Jul06 Aug27 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 124 10.00    
5  GULF COAST GIRL Dec04 Oct01 Sep08 Aug16 Jul26 (dini mike)CASTANON L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MI GRANCHIQUIQUIRA         (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Dec04 Apr06 Mar17     (ubide max)ALLEN D 121 20.00    
8  JENAS MERCY Nov10 Oct19 Sep20 Oct13   (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
9  CHERBOURG Dec04 Oct13 Sep02 Jan26 Dec13 (lerman s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00 ★    
10  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Oct16 May31 May03 Mar04 Jan14 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  ELECTRIC RUNNER Jul21 Jun27 Apr28 Apr19 Mar13 (manchan c)HESS SARA 117 20.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep26 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 124 30.00    
SCR  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 Aug19   (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00    
SCR  VICTORY GIRL Sep15 Jul26 Jun07 May05 Sep01 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50    
 
TAM-6   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY LADY Dec06 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Aug11 (garcia pedr)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 10.00 29% 2.40    
2  WAIT A SEC Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 May26 Apr17 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 120 8.00    
3  IDEAL BREEZE Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (guciardo kathy)BAYS BROOKE 113 10.00 10% 8.80    
4  WHEELINGNDEALING Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 Jul04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.50    
5  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Dec04 Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 Sep07 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SASSY CHARLEE Dec04 Sep28 Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 2.50    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Sep28 Aug14 Jun19 May03 Mar30 (cudworth pau)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 8.00    
8  GABBY SQUARED Nov23 Nov02 Oct17 Oct06 Aug24 (wright michael)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
9  MARVELOUS LADY Dec06 Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
 
TAM-7   12/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 Aug02 Jul03 (dominguez r)HESS SARA 116 20.00    
2  POLITICAL RIOT Nov27 Nov10 Sep25 Sep07 Jul14 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VILLAGE PREACHER Nov29 Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 Aug26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 10.00    
4  KING RAMOS Jul27 Jul12 May25 May04 Mar13 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 4.00 7% 13.20    
5  DIVINING STONE Dec06 Nov20 Nov03 Oct12 Jun08 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00    
6  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec13 Nov29 Jun01 Apr28 Mar03 (drake rober)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 30.00    
7  GHOST STALKER Sep20 Sep07 Aug14 Aug01 Jul20 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 123 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  H C HOLIDAY Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 3.00    
9  BURNING MAN Dec06 Dec01 Nov10 Nov02 Sep28 (quiroz angel)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00 6% 15.80    
10  INITFORTHELOVE Nov29 Nov02 Sep14 Aug23 May25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
11  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Dec13 Nov20 Oct27 Oct17 Oct05 (simone mic)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
SCR  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jul27 May04 Apr21 Mar29 Mar13 (roque eli)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYZER Dec04 Oct04 Sep25 Sep07 Aug01 (de karla)ROCCO S 120 12.00    
2  STYLE ME ROYAL Nov23 Oct11 Sep26 Aug08 Jun20 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN JUAN Sep14 Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 3.50    
4  MR TITO'S Dec04 Oct16 Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 20.00    
5  STREET GLIDE Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Jul28 Jun17 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  CUPID'S DUDE Nov03 Sep15 Aug31 Aug11 Jul28 (gallegos jos)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
7  HUNTERS GHOST Dec06 Oct19 Sep22 Sep08 Aug19 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
8  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Oct02 Aug31 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SWEEPING GIANT Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 (canegata)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-9   12/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Nov13 Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 20.00    
2  CAT ONE Oct23 Oct15 Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 (barron rory)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
3  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Nov23 Sep20 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  VINGATIVA Nov30 Nov09 Oct09 Sep26 Sep07 (simone m)GALLARDO A 121 5.00    
5  GLITTER BAY Nov30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug27 Jul29 (curto jea)HESS SARA 114 12.00    
6  AFTER A FEW Nov02 Oct19 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 (smith ro)CASTANON L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  THAT'S MY CAT Oct09 Sep20 Aug22 Jul13 Feb10 (hardesty l)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 15.00    
8  SARATOGA GAZE Oct26 Sep20 Aug16 Jun23 May25 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 3.50 ★    
9  LINNY KATE Oct25 Sep08 Aug10 Jun21 May10 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00    
10  UP HER SLEEVE Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Aug16 Jul04 (delgado h)ROCCO S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  RED WIND Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  VOGELSANG Sep28 Aug29 Jun13 May22 May02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 20.00    
SCR  CINDY'S SONG Nov30 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK FRIES Nov30 Oct16 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.