Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - December 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (6/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/8/7)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/7)-(4/5/6)-(11/2/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(11/2/5/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(11/2/5/1/8)-(9/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (11/2/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/5/1/8)-(11/2/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/5/1/8)-(11/2/5/1/8)-(11/2/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/5/1/8)-(9/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/2/5/1/8)-(9/8/7/4)-(8/7/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (9/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/7/4)-(8/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/4)-(8/7/1/3)-(11/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/3)-(11/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/3)-(11/10/6)-(2/7/6/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (11/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/10/6)-(11/10/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/10/6)-(11/10/6/9/8)-(11/10/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/10/6)-(2/7/6/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/10/6)-(2/7/6/9/8)-(2/9/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/7/6/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/9/8)-(2/7/6/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/9/8)-(2/7/6/9/8)-(2/7/6/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/6/9/8)-(2/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J Z'S FIRST Nov22 Oct23 Jul12 May24 Apr11 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
SCR  COINMAKER Nov08 Sep04 Aug07 Jun27 May19 (heitzman eri)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
HONEY RUN Nov08 Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 Aug07 (heitzman e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
LILY'S CREED Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 Sep11 Jul27 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
BEYOND THE HYPE Nov27 Nov02 Sep26 Sep11 Jul30 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
MISS DISTINCTIVE Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 Aug22 Aug10 (ramirez-r)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
NO NANNETTE NO Nov22 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug18 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MADAM HENNY Nov24 Jul31 Jun24 Mar16 Feb03 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
FG-2   12/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERRY'S EIGHTY Nov30 Aug14 Feb12 Apr15 Mar17 (duhon o)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
CALL ME Q Nov07 Sep22 Aug24 Aug05 Jun03 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 4.50    
INDIA INK (ARG) Oct10 Sep04 Jul11 Jun14 May10 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
ONASA Oct03 Aug29 Jul17 Jun22 Jul20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 41% 1.50    
MESA SPIRIT Jul13 Jun14 May16 Apr24 Mar24 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
TWIRLING ROSES Oct13 Aug15 Aug01 Jun29 Jun08 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 120 6.00 6% 17.20    
 
FG-3   12/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BARILEY Aug22 Jul15 Jun12 May23 May07 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SKI PATROL Oct24 Sep18 Aug15 Mar10 Feb10 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
PATH TO SUCCESS Oct12 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jul11 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 120 20.00    
NILES CHANNEL Nov22 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Jul03 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
SAILING SOLO Nov22 Oct03 Sep12 Jun15 Dec22 (simpson daniel)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 9% 10.20    
HALEYS SAILOR Nov24 Sep23 Aug07 Mar14 Feb01 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
Z Z'S PRINCE Nov22 Sep14 Aug12 Jun26 Jun03 (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
LIL BRO COOP Nov22 Oct30 Apr05 Mar22 Feb18 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECTRIER Nov24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep07 Aug28 (husak j)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
10  WICKED TRICK Nov22 Oct19 Aug09 Jun22 May25 (breaux sam)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
11  PERFECT STAR Sep23 Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 Mar10 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  KEYS INCLUDED Nov09 Oct19 Aug26 Aug09 Jul06 (larrosa juan)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  NOBRAG JUSTFACT Oct10 Aug24 May13 Feb13 Aug25 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
 
FG-4   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE MOOSE Nov22 Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 (terre dav)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
SCR  SMART N INTUITIVE Dec05 Sep26 Aug30 Aug05 Jul14 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
RISKY BOY Sep22 Aug22 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
GRAND DESIGN Nov22 Sep22 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLING'S BELLWETHER Nov22 Oct26 Sep25 Aug14 Jul30 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 121 20.00    
TIME TO MEDDLE Jun15 Apr19 Mar22 Feb29 Feb01 (terre david)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00    
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Nov22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
B W P SPIRIT Nov22 Nov06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (gelner scott)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
GLENN'S JUMPER Nov22 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 May21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
FG-5   12/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCOVEDO Oct03         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MS. SHORT FUZE by ZENSATIONAL)
MISS DEMANDING Oct19 Aug17 Jul13     (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PINCHBECK by MINESHAFT)
TEMPTING EVE         (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEMPTING OUR FATE by ACCLAMATION (GB))
GIN RUN         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TANQURETTE by STREET BOSS)
MIDNIGHT MARY         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCKY MARY G. by FORESTRY)
MY SHOT Oct25 Sep28 Jul28     (amoss thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FUNNY LADY Sep05 Aug02 Jul20     (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHE'S FUNNY by TAPIT)
TANTI AUGURI         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ON MY WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CONTINUANCE         (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAFFLING by MONTBROOK)
SCR  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Oct20 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06   (maker michae)TORRES A 120 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALWAYS RIGHT by ARCH)
SCR  MAKE A MILLION Oct13 Sep01 Aug10     (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  KISSIN RICHES Nov23         (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KISS N SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GIVE HER ANOTHER Nov23 Jun26       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DALSAROS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CHELL JAE         (schmidt de)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SILVER CALLING by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  MEZCAL MULE         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MEZCALITA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  DON'T BLINK         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
 
FG-6   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Magic City Classic Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNELFORTYNINE Nov16 Oct26       (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 6.00    
  (by CONAN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
BOBBY JR. Sep14 Aug21 Aug06 Jul04 Jun05 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 118 12.00    
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
MOOR TO CONQUER Nov16         (savoie she)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 20.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of MOOR N MOUNTAIN by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
UNAFFILIATED Nov16 Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Aug05 (schmidt deni)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
AOIDE Nov29 Oct26 Aug21 Jul04 May27 (duhon o)RIQUELME J 115 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of LA FLOR by STREET SENSE)
WABASH         (duhon jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SWEET BUDDHA by BUDDHA)
SIMPLICATED Nov16 Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Jul29 (schmidt de)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
UNCLE BRAD Sep14 Aug19 Jul31 Jul04 May11 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
DROMAS Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Jul17 Jul04 (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  LIKEN IT Nov09 Oct17 Sep14 Aug09 Jun27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
11  JOVIE G Nov26 Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Jul27 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50 48% 1.10    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
FG-7   12/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN KNOW HOW Nov01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul15 Jun17 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00    
MARK OF THE Z Oct23 Jul28 Apr19 Oct15 Jun21 (rodriguez g)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
EXECUTIVE POWER Oct17 Oct08 Aug06 Jul21 Apr20 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
BAD BEAT BRIAN Nov15 Oct25 Jun08 May04 Apr06 (vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
TALONS TIME Oct13 Sep05 Aug08 Jul14 Jun08 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
GILDED RULER Nov15 Oct17 Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
LINZER Oct17 Aug31 Jul14 Jun16 Apr16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
SWIFT AS I AM Oct13 Sep11 Aug15 Apr27 Mar16 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP CADET Nov03 Aug18 Jul30 Jun11 May12 (maker michae)TORRES A 118 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
FG-8   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAME PLAY         (delhomme jerry)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of INCOMING WIRE by HALF OURS)
ACKNOWLEDGE Nov23 Oct25       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 1.20 57% 0.80    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CALL TO SERVICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
UNINSPIRED Nov05 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug13 (rivera nes)ALBERT S 120 12.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CONSPIRED by ZENSATIONAL)
GABBYS BLING Nov23 Oct25       (cangemi daniel )COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRINCESS LATINA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
M L BRODY'S GEM Nov23 Nov05       (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of VENEZUELAN FOREVER by TREASURE BEACH)
BLONDATE Nov23 Aug28       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLONDE BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  REXINATOR Nov30 Sep16 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 (hatcher natha)HERNANDEZ K 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
JACQUE COUTEAU Nov22         (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of REINE DES ANIMAUX by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GOLD THIEF Aug31 Aug10 Jul13     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 7% 13.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.