Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/3/2)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/4/5)-(3/6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/6/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(8/1/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(8/1/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/1)-(8/1/5/7)-(6/4/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/7)-(6/4/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(5/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERBAL GEYSER (FR) Jul23 Jul10 Feb25     (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PATH TO VICTORY Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 May29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
3  AZTEC PRINCESS Jul29 Apr07 Feb25 Oct24 Oct05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
4  GOOGLY EYES Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 May27 Jan19 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  CRIMSON PRINCESS Jul26 Jun08 May09 Apr18 Mar17 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
6  HOUSE OF MELODY Aug13 Jul14 May31 Apr26 Mar15 (farrior anth)AYALA J 118 5.00 ★    
7  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 Oct10 Sep19 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 122 2.00    
 
PID-2   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S TREASURE May02 Apr10       (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
2  MIDNIGHT FAME Aug27 Oct20 Oct03 Sep22 Sep15 (carr-rozant)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  PURR FACTOR Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 May04 Mar23 (west eth)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  ROCK TUNE Apr29 Mar18 Feb14     (rogers mic)AYALA J 120 10.00    
  (by SHOW TUNE out of LESLY'S BACK by ROCK SLIDE)
SCR  SUNSET PARK         (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ENNISKILLEN by DESERT WARRIOR)
6  BEADS Jul24 Jun23 Nov23 Oct30 Oct09 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
7  LOVE RESTRAINED Jul29 Jul10 May20 Oct13   (morley t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
 
PID-3   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTAIN Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  WOODCHUCK Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00    
3  CHEWING GUM Aug07 Jun26 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
4  THE SINNER IS YOU Jun26 Jun10 May22 Feb20 Feb01 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  JOE PHILLIPS Jul10 Jun21 May29 May10 Mar30 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
6  CALL ME LATER Aug07 Apr28 Dec12 Nov29 Nov15 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
7  CITY TRIPPER Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
 
PID-4   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHLYNS PHALANX Aug05 Jul24 Jun24     (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UPTOWN CAT Jul04 Jun10 Feb25 Jan31 Jan19 (hamm timothy)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
3  STARCRY Aug20 Jul25 Nov30 Oct20 Sep07 (herrington )SEVERINO VICTOR 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
4  SWEET LILIBET Aug29 Jul16 Jun19 May20 Apr13 (walsh colleen)ALLEN D 120 4.50 6% 15.40    
5  NOBLE DISGUISE Aug06 Jul23 Jul05 Jun14   (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
6  PHONE EATS FIRST Jul18 Jun27 May27     (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  BLAME THE WARRIOR Aug29 Aug13 Jul15 Jul04   (judd cass)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
8  BANANA PUDDING Aug13 Jun23       (rice lin)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
 
PID-5   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIE WANDO Aug11 Jul28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 (pizzurro jo)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEONARD'S LEGACY Aug27 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 Jun03 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
3  HARBOR OF GOLD Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 Jun11 Jul28 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  LOOKIN TO EXCEL Aug26 Jun30 May11 Apr14 Feb23 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 12.00 11% 7.90    
5  SHY DA RUNNER Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 May20 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
6  JOHN DUTTON Aug13 Jul03 May31 Apr19 Mar06 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
7  FACE DOWN Aug05 Jul16 Jun04 May20 Oct17 (girten ti)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PID-6   09/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE BALL Aug20 Jul28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun04 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
2  OSBIN Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Nov06 Oct04 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
3  SPERANZAS WILL Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 Jun07 May12 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 4.00    
4  BACKDOORPARTY Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Oct26 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
5  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May20 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50 9% 10.40    
6  UP FOR THE CHANCE Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
7  COUPLES THERAPY Aug07 Jul09 Jun12 Oct18 Sep20 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GRAEL Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
PID-7   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Aug19 Aug05 Jul18 Jun25 Jun06 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50    
2  KRISPY RICE Jun23 May29 Mar20 Feb21 Jan04 (walsh co)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
3  CALVARY KAT Aug20 Oct24 Sep18 Aug30 Aug01 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  I RECALL Aug10 Jul19 Sep26 Aug12 Jul22 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  DARK DAHLIA Aug24 Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 Oct26 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
6  FORGOTTEN PEACE Jul30 Jul04 May29 Nov29 Oct26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Aug20 Jul16 Jun25 Mar17 Jan28 (hoffman mar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE Aug20 Jul31 Apr20 Mar28 Dec31 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  FROZEN FOUR Aug20 Jul31 Jun28 May25 Nov03 (barron r)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
3  BIANCA Aug13 Jul24 Jun26     (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 117 4.50    
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
SCR  EMMA AT THE GATE Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May29   (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  TIZ WICKED STRONG Aug02 Jul12 Mar23 Feb24 Dec16 (antonacc)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
SCR  THE MANTICORE Jul26 Sep04 Jun19 Jun21   (meadow patrici)LOPEZ DERECK 117 20.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
7  MALIBU KNIGHT Jul12         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MALIBU PUNCH by MALIBU MOON)
8  ADIOS ASHWOOD Aug27 Jul01 Jun11     (delong ben)MURGIA A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  HOLD THE PHONE Dec15 Oct03 Apr07     (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
SCR  PARTY AT THE BEACH Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun11   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.