Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(6/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(6/3/5/4)-(8/4/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(8/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4)-(8/4/6/7)-(3/4/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/7)-(3/4/2/6)-(7/3/5/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(7/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(7/3/5/4)-(5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/4)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(5/3/4)-(6/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/3/5/1)-(3/7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/1)-(3/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-8   WIN (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMOURED         (gillam jere)ASTUDILLO FELIX 118 12.00    
2  BAINBRIDGE DANCER Aug15 May30 Nov18     (crane clovis)CORA D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  END OF THE RAINBOW Aug14 Jun10 May12 May01 Mar14 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 10.00    
4  PELOSI Dec27 Nov17       (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00    
5  BLAME THE WARRIOR Aug13 Jul15 Jul04     (judd cass)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
6  MOST UNUSUAL DAY Aug14 Jul18 Jul05 May23 May08 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60 13% 6.70    
7  MAGNOLIA WIND Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun06 Mar27 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
8  TRACE MARTINIS Aug14 Aug07 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (johnson carlo)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 Jul01 (pregman )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE JON Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 Jun13 May09 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 3.50    
2  POINT PELEE Aug16 Jul05 Jun12 May02 Dec01 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 118 10.00    
3  DOCTOR JEFF Aug11 Jun29 Jun08 May27 Apr19 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  UNRAPTURED Jul29 Jul04 Jun04 Apr18 Mar14 (rogers michael)CORA D 121 8.00 6% 15.30    
5  OLAZABAL Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 May13 Mar28 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 14% 6.40    
6  NITRO TIME Jul19 Jun19 Jun12 Sep30 Sep15 (comi w)AGUILAR JEAN 114 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  CAPT. CANDY Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 May31 May24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   08/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIXIE'S TIME Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 Jun11 Sep22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
2  WICKED STREET Jun19 May31 Mar08 Feb07 Nov20 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
SCR  EQUISTAR Aug22 Jul31 Jul17 May22 Apr01 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 125 3.00    
4  DWELLER Aug01 Jul10 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
5  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun08 (harigeorgio)CALDERON OLIVER 121 10.00    
6  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug15 Jul18 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 (rogers r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.50 11% 8.50    
7  NONESUCH GIRL Jul02 Jun13 May02 Apr25 Apr13 (brown kelton)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
8  SWEETCATHERINEROSE Aug13 Jul18 Jun26 Jun11 Sep13 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
9  IN HER CUPS Jul18 Jun11 Jun02 Nov09 Sep08 (manchio s)FLORES E 121 12.00    
SCR  FLIRTINI Aug20 Jul31 May23 May03 Apr12 (rogers michael)CORA D 121 8.00    
SCR  BODACIOUS BREN Aug04 Jul27 Jun08 May26 May03 (gallegos a)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00    
SCR  BECCA BELLE Mar15 Feb28 Jul23     (garber owen)AGUILAR M 118 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUILT'IN ABILITY Aug12 Jul17 Jul04 Jun25 May30 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 125 12.00    
2  SISTER EVE Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jul04 Jun17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  MITI FAST FLOWER Jul26 Jul19 Jun25 May23 Sep28 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL Aug15 Jul09 Jun06 May17 May25 (crane clovi)CALDERON OLIVER 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  JUMP A FOX Jul26 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May30 (meister s)AGUILAR M 125 4.00    
6  ENSUING GRACE Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun13 May30 (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  EARLY Aug21 Jun25 Jun06 May16 May08 (crane clovis)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  EMPRESS CELEST Aug15 Jul09 May28     (smith r)FLORES E 125 12.00    
 
PEN-5   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESI'S REWARD Jul19 Jul03 May31 May15 May04 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 125 1.80    
2  MOON POOL Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May16 (beattie san)RAMOS O 125 15.00    
3  MS MERRABEL Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 Mar27 Mar12 (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 10.00 18% 4.50    
4  NANASQUAN Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jul06 Jun08 (fields kevin)CORA D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL Aug08 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 May22 (salinas jos)CALDERON OLIVER 125 8.00 5% 18.40    
6  NOT A TRACE Aug08 Jul22 Apr17 Mar26 Mar05 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 125 8.00    
7  BONITA LASSIE Aug08 Jun25 Nov16 Sep13 Aug24 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNION BELLE Jul22 Jun17 May16 Feb11 Dec28 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
2  RUMINT Aug04 Jun22 May18 Apr20 Mar17 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 ★    
3  MISSING A SOCK May17 Oct27 Oct18 Sep29 Sep14 (miller marl)RAMOS O 121 6.00 8% 11.80    
4  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Jun27 Jun12 May17 May03 Mar22 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  UPTOWN KID Dec28 Dec14       (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 123 5.00 61% 0.60    
6  KENTUCKY REIGN Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 8.00    
7  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Aug14 Jul17 Jun20 May30 May09 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
8  JAVA'S LUCKY LADY Jul22 May22 May04 Jul12 May31 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
 
PEN-7   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESANTIS Aug14 Jul25 Jul02 May28 May08 (kravets m)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHADOW BOX Jul17 Jul09 Jun16 May18 Apr17 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 10.00    
3  HE IS BAD Aug15 Jun27 May23 May08 Mar13 (graci kim)VARGAS L 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  MAKOTO Jul31 Jul12 Dec15 Nov29 Nov01 (agnew naoise)TORRES JOMAR 125 6.00    
5  LIVING WATER Aug07 Jul17 May23 May15 Apr26 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
6  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul05 Jun12 May24 May04 Feb07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May04 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 6.00    
8  SYNONYM Jul31 Jul11 Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00    
 
PEN-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SPEEDY Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
2  V MART Aug08 Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 May24 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.00    
3  COOLER KING Jun19 Apr04 Feb14 Jan17 Jul14 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  GOING AT IT Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun13 (wolfe jr)BAKER J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMPTY MY POUCH Aug15 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Jun18 (albright r)CORA D 117 10.00 7% 13.20    
6  FREEDOM'S START Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
7  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Aug02 Jul17 Jun13 May23 May02 (rogers r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Jul17 Jun17 May21 Apr09 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.