Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (7/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/9)-(7/2/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/9)-(7/2/5/9)-(7/2/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/9)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9)-(2/4/6)-(4/8/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/8/9/2)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/2)-(4/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/2)-(4/8/9/2)-(4/8/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/9/2)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/2)-(4/1/6)-(9/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(9/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(9/3/4)-(1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-5   WIN (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/4)-(9/3/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4)-(9/3/4/2/8)-(9/3/4/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/4)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4)-(1/7)-(8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-6   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(8/3)-(8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-7   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/3)-(8/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(8/5/2)-(10/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(10/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-9   WIN (10/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/7)-(10/4/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/7)-(10/4/2/7/3)-(10/4/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPRICHOSAINFRONT         (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of VANNA BELLE by MUNNINGS)
2  DELICATE Jul27 Jun28 May19     (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by WEST COAST out of UNANIMOUS DECISION by FIT TO FIGHT)
3  SOUPER UPGRADE         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SWEET FORTUNE by CANDY RIDE)
4  SPICE GAL Jul27         (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KIP BERRIES by KIPLING)
5  YOUMAKEMECHARLIE         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
  (by MITOLE out of YOU MAKE ME SING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SHOW' EM NOLA Aug01         (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SHOW'EM THE HEAT by HEATSEEKER)
7  CONQUERTHOSEWECAN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of AMERICAN VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  KUKU Aug01 Jul11 Jun04 May25   (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPICE DROP by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  CA BAM         (williams)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
CNL-2   08/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY IN HEELS Jul25 Jun10 Jan03 Nov24 Nov02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 5.00    
2  WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 Nov04 (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 125 1.50 58% 0.70    
3  SUN STREAMING Jul17 Jul05 May25 May11 Apr27 (gotera j)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 30.00    
4  GOLDEN CAN Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 Jun01 May16 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 2.50 18% 4.60    
5  LOVIELEE Jul27 May03 Mar16 Jan06 Dec26 (gardea abraham)RIQUELME J 125 12.00    
6  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jun06 May11 Apr19 Jan27 Jan05 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  A GIRL NAMED JAC Aug14 Jun23 Jun01 May09 Apr13 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 125 12.00    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 Nov02 Sep17 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 125 4.00    
 
CNL-3   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROBALE TEN Jul25 Apr17       (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
2  RUN JODY         (garza hector)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00 8% 12.10    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of ALACHUA by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  GOLDEN ICE         (simms jr)ASHTON GAVIN 122 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of YIELDING GOLD by HIGH YIELD)
4  VOLT         (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPIT out of MY WANDY'S GIRL by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  RYDER         (mccutchen jaso)PEREZ XAVIER 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LAPINSKI by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  SCHRADER Aug02 Jul14       (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 4.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GRECIAN MAIDEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  BRAVE WORDS Jul18         (zook w)LEON A 122 10.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BRAVE MICHELLE by MR. GREELEY)
8  ALL THE LUCK Aug01 Jul18       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of AVIDDIVA by WILKO)
9  AMY'S MUSIC         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 8% 11.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NOBLE CHARLOTTE by INCLUDE)
 
CNL-4   08/22/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OISHI Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 May17 Feb09 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  DR. HYDE Jun14 May28 Sep07 Aug31 Jul22 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 123 20.00    
3  CREATE TROUBLE Jul20 Oct21 Sep21 Jul21 Jun11 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.20    
4  ST JAMES THE GREAT Jul27 Jul08 May25 Apr19 Nov11 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  MAGIC HEART Aug11 Jul20 Jun30 Apr26 Mar23 (schuh tim)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
6  FINGAL Jul18 Nov03 Oct12 Sep09 Aug19 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  MARCEAU Jul27 Jun07 Mar09 Dec31 Dec03 (kingsley archi)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
 
CNL-5   08/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY TOURIST Jul25 Jun21 Jun06     (locklear james)RIQUELME J 124 20.00    
2  BACK OFF ME Apr28 Mar02 Jan21 Dec15 Sep06 (russo anthony)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00 ★    
3  LADYS CHANT Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 May22 Apr10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  CHEAP CARLISLE Aug01         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAZY ACES Aug12 Jan12 Dec15     (libertini jas)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
6  AUTUMN IN VERMONT Jul26         (locklear j)ALBERT S 118 30.00    
7  DIVA DE ORO Aug11         (garza hector)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00    
8  DOGWOODS JUNE Aug15 Jul25 Jul13     (huffman kenn)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 6.00 ★    
9  BALENCIAGA BETTY Jul20 Jun28 May18 May04 Apr22 (gardea abraham)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
10  GREYGRAZIE Aug16 Aug01 Jul20     (huffman kenne)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
 
CNL-6   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPO ROCKS Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 May03 Jun10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  JOHNYZ FROM ALBANY Aug11 Jul27 Dec29 Dec02 Nov10 (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50    
3  COUNT DE MONET Jul05 Jun07 May03 Mar14 Jan27 (contreras )SANCHEZ J 122 1.80    
SCR  IRISH WARLOCK Jul14 Jun21 May17 May05 Apr12 (singh som)CARRASCO R 122 15.00    
SCR  FOLE'S NOTION Jul25 Jun08 May16 May02 Feb02 (rathman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  PLAY LIKE A RAVEN Jul14 Jun22 Aug24     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
7  NICO Jul12 Jun15 Feb19 Dec23 Nov16 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Oct12 Sep29 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 (kelly blake)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00    
2  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT Jul08 Jun23 Jun12 May22 Feb15 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 ★    
3  VENOMOUS VIXEN Nov17 Oct26       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  NAVANI Jul25 Jul13 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
5  ACTIVE Jun16 May03 Mar09 Feb10 Jan07 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00 ★    
6  DETERMIND PRINCESS Jul25 Jul05 Jun01 May11 Apr06 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
7  CANDY DOLL Jul20 Jun28 May26 Aug31 Aug10 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
8  RAGTIME LADY Jul25 May10 Mar23 Feb09 Dec14 (amoss th)GALLARDO A 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
CNL-8   08/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDDY BUDDY Jul27 Mar09 Feb09 Jan27 Dec31 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
2  S S SINATRA Aug03 Jul12 Jun07 May25 Apr13 (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST SAY WHEN Jan01 Dec02 Oct25 Sep02 Dec17 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00    
SCR  FAYATHAAN (IRE) Jun16 May01 Jul21 Jun04 May06 (richards renaldo)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
5  MAYA PRINCE Jul27 Jun23 May26 Oct12 Sep09 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 1.80 26% 2.80    
SCR  ADVANCE CASH Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 May11 Mar13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 123 10.00    
7  A G DIAMOND Jul11 Mar23 Feb17 Jan27 Nov18 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
8  CLOUDY Jul27 Jul04 May17 Dec31 Oct15 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-9   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAFARER Jul26 Jun29 Jun08 Mar27 Mar17 (juarez calixt)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
2  AWARD TOUR (IRE) Jul26 Jul03 Jun03 May22 Apr17 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 6% 14.40    
3  RUN RUN RABBIT Jul13 Jun08 May08 Apr17 Mar01 (fletcher kevin)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 ★    
4  ATMIDNIGHT Aug13 Jul11 Jun14 May17 Apr18 (saville niall)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  COVER THE SPREAD Aug11 Jul26 Jul04 May10 Apr13 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
6  LUNAR UNIT Jul18 Jun24 May04 Apr10 Feb15 (vitali ma)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
7  SOLVING PROGRESS Jul24 May10 Apr20 Mar10 Jul29 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 6% 15.70    
8  SAVE THE FLAG Aug13 Jul14 Jun16 Mar09 Feb17 (zook w)LEON A 123 30.00    
9  HEARTBURN Aug02 Jun27 Jun15 Jun07 May01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00    
10  GLOSSAMER Aug02 Jun27 Jun15 May29 Oct19 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  WICKED LUNA Aug02 Jul01 Sep26 Aug20 May10 (smith frankli)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.