Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/5)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5)-(6/4/2)-(6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/1/3/2)-(6/4/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/3/5)-(6/10/9/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/10/9/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/10/9/8/3)-(4/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-4   WIN (6/10/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/8/3)-(6/10/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/8/3)-(6/10/9/8/3)-(6/10/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/9/8/3)-(4/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9/8/3)-(4/3/7)-(3/5/7/6) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(3/5/7/6)-(5/9/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/6)-(5/9/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/6)-(5/9/10/4)-(7/4/1/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (5/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/4)-(5/9/10/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/4)-(5/9/10/4/2)-(5/9/10/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/10/4)-(7/4/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/10/4)-(7/4/1/9/10)-(8/9/2/6/4) 100 $1.00 $50.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/4/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/9/10)-(7/4/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/9/10)-(7/4/1/9/10)-(7/4/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/1/9/10)-(8/9/2/6/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
IND-9   WIN (8/9/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/6/4)-(8/9/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/6/4)-(8/9/2/6/4)-(8/9/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARIACHI JUSTICE Jul29 Jun20 May27 Apr24 Apr08 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 4.50    
MR NEGATIVITY Jul29 Jun11 May13 Apr23 Nov13 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
SPOTONJUSTICE Jul05 Jun18 May08 Apr08 Nov07 (granitz ant)ROMERO M 109 2.50 15% 5.60    
UNBRIDLED VICTOR Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Dec21 (wisner tra)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
DEVILS GOTTA GO Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May30 May13 (nance jonathan)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKIN AT JUSTICE Jul13 Jun08 Nov08 Oct30 Oct12 (green dar)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
FOREVER LASTING Jul11 Jun19 May06 Apr23 Nov08 (haran j)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
 
IND-2   08/13/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTCH'S BEST Jun26 May23 Apr16 Oct11 Sep20 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00    
HOLIDAY HOUSE Jul11 May29 May16 May04 Apr12 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALL JOKES ASIDE Jul20 Jul13 Jun26 Jun11 May10 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 117 4.50    
SCOTTY'S ON EDGE Jul13 Jun11 May04 Sep14 Aug03 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
GOODASIWONSWAS Jul10 Mar15 Feb10 Nov10 Oct20 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 122 8.00    
WIN ME OVER Jul13 Jun26 May14 Apr24 Nov08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
KING ME Jul27 Jun22 Jun14 May16 Apr16 (littlefield de)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 15.00    
SAMBALOVER Jun11 Sep10 Aug03 Jul12   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 20.00    
GETTYSBURG ADDRESS Jun23 May04 Apr06 Mar08 Jan28 (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
 
IND-3   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LURE'EM IN Jun27 Jun07 May18 Apr24 Jan06 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00    
ALBERTA SUN Mar28 Mar11 Feb01 Jan19 Dec20 (cook brian)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 5.00    
DRIANA Jul21 Jun18 May06 Apr07 Mar27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
MARMALADE SKYE Jul16 Jun19 May18 Apr17 Mar14 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 124 4.00    
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 May14 Apr24 (herrell ron )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
STREAMING NOW Jul07 May16 Apr05 Feb21 Sep14 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 1.60 41% 1.40    
 
IND-4   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED MELODY Jul06 Jun16 May21 May04 Mar08 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 5.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COREOPSIS by MR. INTEGRITY)
UNCLE CAESAR Jan27         (mott riley)TORRES A 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOONDANCE by MALIBU MOON)
SNOW KING Jun18 May04 Mar01 Feb09 Jan05 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of FIFTY FOOT WOMAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DADDY'S DINERO Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 Sep25   (vaughan)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
KALAHARI KING Jul10         (sims a)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
HOT WINGS Jul11 May08 Jan31 Dec21 Nov18 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by CUPID out of DAEDAL by ORIENTATE (GB))
KENTUCKY GO GO Jul18 Jun27       (o'neill doug)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ENERGIA FRIBBY by AGNES GOLD)
KARADIA         (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SAUDIA by GONE WEST)
OVER THE OCEAN         (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 10% 9.20    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIDE IS HIGH by WHISKEY WISDOM)
10  TIN TOP ROAD May08         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
SCR  TRACK OF MY TEARS Jul29 Jun26       (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of REIGN OF TEARS by SALT LAKE)
SCR  TAPIT'STALEOFVERVE Jul13         (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  AHANDFULOFCANDY Jun30 May26       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 1.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EKATI'S PHAETON by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  OSCARWORTHY Jul05 Feb29 Jan28     (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOYA by CITY ZIP)
 
IND-5   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ALEX IS IN         (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
  (by SHAGAF out of MISTY MINE by DISCREETLY MINE)
UNBRIDLED HERO Jun27         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of RUNAWAY DREAM by JIMMY CREED)
BOLD JUSTICE Jul18         (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of PRAIRIE PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
STAR QUALITY (ARG) Jul18         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of KITTY QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  TANK WALK Jun05 May20       (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 8.00    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of ART'S SUGAR by LOUIS QUATORZE)
SCR  T D MEMORIES         (fosdick steve)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of BEST MEMORIES by INDY KING)
BREEZY JUSTICE         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of BREEZY POINTESS by MALIBU MOON)
 
IND-6   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOKE Jul10 Jun18 May27 May13 May04 (gonzalez li)ROMERO M 112 5.00    
ORO AZTECA Jul03 Jun11 Apr23 Nov17 Sep25 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
A FEW TOO MANY Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May27 May06 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  CUPID'S RUNAWAY Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 Nov07 Oct25 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
CIELO AZUL Jun18 May06 Dec30 Nov17 Nov10 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 1.40 17% 4.80    
LEO'S ROAR Jul10 Jun18 May27 Feb10 Jan27 (davis joseph)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
TAY May04 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 May08 (mullins scott )ROMAN A 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
KING SOCIAL Apr08 Mar14 Jan24 Dec30 Dec06 (wisner tra)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00    
 
IND-7   08/13/2024 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXTILE Jun21 May04       (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of EMPRESS AMELIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
YOU KUUIPO Jun26 Feb12       (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Jul20 Mar14 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
TIDAL TACTICS Jul14 Jun04 May14 Dec21 Nov23 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
STAY LOST Jul16 Jun28 Apr21 Oct07 Jun24 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SARANAC LAKE Jul09 Jun09 May01 Mar23 Feb24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 5.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SHE A BADDIE Jun25 May27       (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
OGEMA BAY Jul20 Dec30 Nov08 Sep02 Apr01 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
MISHKA Jun25 May17 Nov25 Oct11   (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  MULIMA Jul09 May27 Aug31     (walsh brenda)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  CAMANOE Jul27         (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of DYNA WALTZ by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  DAME STRAIGHT Jul26 May31 May16 Mar14   (ladd erin)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 30.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
SCR  TONALITE Jul21 Jun07 May01 Apr05 Oct27 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80    
  (by TONALIST out of LEGAL LIMIT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
IND-8   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY'S AUSSIE Jul18 Jun19 May16 Apr16   (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 1.80 19% 4.20    
  (by ASTERN out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
RICH GIRLS DREAMS Jul18         (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SULAFAH by BERNARDINI)
LITTLERANSOMSFIRE Jul18         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of THALIAS FIRE by PHILANTHROPIST)
ERIN Jul18 Jun05       (dunn st)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of FACEY'S SPIRIT by PASS RUSH)
GOT THE LIFE Jun10 May01 Apr16     (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 120 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of INITIATION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
WHO NOT WHAT May16 Apr16 Nov09 Sep08   (lauer michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of ONE WISE LADY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
BITS OF CANDY         (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of LOOKING FOR BITS by MONARCHOS)
PONTMETOTHEBOURBON Jul18 Jul09 Jun19 May30 Aug19 (herrell ron )CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of ALITTLEBOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
PERNICIOUS         (greenhill jeff)PARKER L 120 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SMARTY BIRD by SMART STRIKE)
10  SECRET SAVIOR Jul18         (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SAINT SAVIOR by YANKEE VICTOR)
 
IND-9   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTZ ROSEY Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 May22 May01 (medina tom)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 20.00    
THIZZLE Jun17 May28 May14 May01 Apr17 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.00 6% 16.90    
SHEZA NUT Jul15 Jun17 May20 Nov10 Oct28 (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 121 12.00    
PRIMROSE GIRL Aug01 Jul06 Jun12 May29 Oct28 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
NO TRUST Jul29 Jul18 Jun17 May28 May01 (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
SOLRUN Jul03 Jun06 May09 Apr08 Nov09 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Aug01 Jul02 Jun12 May22 Apr17 (gorham m)PEREZ E 117 10.00    
D' KITTEN Jun12 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 Sep14 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
TIZZY JUSTICE Jun17 May28 Oct18 Oct11 Aug30 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
10  CLASSIC KITTEN Jul18 Jun04 May14 May01 Oct28 (davis j)DE CRUZ 117 10.00    
SCR  BICARB BETTY Jul29 Jul18 Jun19 May20 May01 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 15.00    
SCR  BEYOND JUSTICE Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 May09 Apr17 (nance)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 12.00    
SCR  FRONT COVER Jul31 Jul06 Jun04 May28 May07 (holden j)MOJICA O 117 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.