Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/1/6)-(5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/4)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/4/6/3)-(1/5/2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(1/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/3)-(1/5/2/4)-(5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4)-(5/6/3)-(4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/5/7)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(5/4)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/1/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWOOD Jun02 May17 Apr20 Jul02   (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.80 68% 0.50    
2  PROBLEMATICA Jul06 May04 Apr07 Feb25 Feb04 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  RESOLUTION (FR) Jul14 Jun02 May18 Apr21 Apr07 (bahena fernand)COLON H 118 3.00    
SCR  GABRIELLA ATTACK Jul06 Apr07 Mar31 Nov18 Sep12 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
5  QUIERO DINERO Jul06 Jun19 May31 May05 Apr19 (haran john)REYES FRANK 122 2.00 ★    
6  FREEDOM ATTACK Jun09 Apr14 Nov18 Oct17 Sep26 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
 
HAW-2   07/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STERLING LUCK Jun05 Feb13 Jan19 Dec21 Sep20 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
2  MISS MADALINE Jul18 Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 May26 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 120 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MADAGASCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  ELODINE Jun30 Jun12 May12 Apr07 Mar08 (lopez elias)FELIX E 120 5.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELIEVE YOU WILL by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  ANOINTED OF GOD Jun06 May27 Apr25 Jan18 Dec11 (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FOURNINETEEN by FLATTER)
SCR  HOLY STAR Jul18 Jun23 Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 (weir georg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 30.00    
  (by LINE OF DAVID out of HOLY CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
6  JOYZELLA Jun30 Jun23 Jun01 May18 Apr20 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
7  CHIQUITA REINA Jun19 May30 May02 Feb14 Jan27 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of ARTIC QUEEN by MR. GREELEY)
 
HAW-3   07/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED RIZZLER Jul06 Jun16 May11 Apr05   (rosas rigo)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
SCR  I O FEDRO         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
SCR  MY BROTHER MIKE Jul14 Jul07 May25 May04 Apr27 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 124 6.00    
4  PRINCE IS MY BOY Jul07 Jun08 May18 Apr14 Mar15 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALL ABOUT TONITE Jul18 Jun16 Jun02 May18 Apr13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  SKYLANE Jul07 Jun08 May18 May05 Mar29 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
SCR  LONE RETURN Jun30 Jun15 May25 May04 Mar23 (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.50    
 
HAW-4   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS WINDY SLEW May19 Apr28 Apr14 Apr07 Mar23 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00    
2  SUPORB Jun15 Jun01 Jan19 Jan04 Dec15 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.00 41% 1.50    
3  SHEZA HOOT Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May04 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  A REAL HERO Jun29 Jun01 May18 Feb09 Jan24 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
5  SUNDAY SPEIGHT Jun29 May25 May11 Apr20 Apr07 (schlen)BAILON JADHIR 118 15.00    
6  TAP N TWINE Jul07 Jun08 May19 May04 Apr20 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00 12% 7.60    
7  LADY ATLANTIC Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May19 May04 (ryan a)FELIX E 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   07/25/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOROTHY CROWFOOT Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 Oct06 Aug25 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
2  RIETTA Apr14 Mar24 Feb21 Aug16   (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  TOP LOOK Jul07 Jun15 May25 May04 Mar13 (candelas blanca)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
4  SHORT STRAW Jun30 Apr27 Mar24 Oct24 Sep26 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEAUTY OF THE NILE Jul03 Jun11 Apr18 Mar31   (morey e)FELIX E 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  CLASSIC PERFORMER Jun05 Apr27 Apr10 Mar03 Jan07 (forster t)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
7  FRANKEL BABY Jul06 Jun01 Apr27 Nov08 Sep24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
SCR  TU CHA Jun22 May08 Apr16 Jan13 Dec16 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.50    
 
HAW-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEQUAYA Jun30 Jun08 May12 Apr07 Mar31 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
2  BRIANA HARPER Dec04 Oct14 Aug26 Aug08 Jul25 (zawitz joel)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
3  HOLY IMAGE Jun30 Jun09 May25 Apr28 Apr07 (weir georg)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr07 Mar31 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00    
5  LADY HELENA Jul07 Jun10 May10 Feb01 Nov16 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.40 48% 1.10    
6  I'M BOX OFFICE Jul07 Jun16 Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 (block chris)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 2.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  LUCY JANE Jun02 Apr08 Nov11 Oct01 Feb11 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-7   07/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 YIELDING Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOTE NO Jun17 Mar23 Feb02 Jan06 Oct08 (morey e)FELIX E 118 5.00    
2  BAL A KAZOO Jun28 May06 Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
SCR  SIVAKO Jun28 May19 Mar08 May28 Apr09 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  ANOTHER MYSTERY Jun23 May19 Oct13 Sep09 May20 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  LEADING THE CHARGE Jun25 Aug24 Jul11 Jun23   (dobbsjr ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  HARD TO FATHOM Jul06 Jun09 May19 May04 Apr06 (simonovich dani)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
7  CODE NAME Jul06 Jun08 Feb23 Jan12 Nov17 (miller r)EMIGH A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HERN Jun29 May31 May04 Jan13 Dec09 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  READTHECLIFFNOTES Jul06 Jun23 May19 Apr28 Apr06 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.50    
 
HAW-8   07/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOCELYN Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May12 Apr20 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Jun04 May19 Apr13 Jan06 Dec08 (randazzo c)FELIX E 122 5.00    
3  MORNING LINE NEWS Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 Apr28 Dec29 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
4  SUMMER AT THE SPA Jun23 Jun01 May12 May04 Apr20 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Jun25 May23 Apr25 Dec30 Nov10 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.20 74% 0.30    
6  SIGNATURE STREET Jul06 Jun23 Jun16 May25 May05 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 ★    
7  EMITYAAZ Jul11 Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr13 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50 ★    
8  DIXIE LOVING Jul11 Jun16 Nov18 Aug26 Jan26 (bahena fernand)COLON H 122 20.00    
9  MAIDEN ROCK Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May05 (candelas blanca)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
 
HAW-9   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALIBI IKE Jun22 Jun09 May11 Apr21 Apr07 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  EXTRA HALO Jun23 Jun11 Dec20 Nov18 Oct03 (granitz j)MOJICA O 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  MINING CAMP Jun30 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (slager mik)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50    
4  TALLAPOOSA Jul06 Jun22       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
5  ALVIN Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Feb02 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 15.00    
6  RED MOSCATO Jul06 May28 Jan13 Dec15 Nov07 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ICE AXE Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr27 Apr06 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
8  EASY FAST Sep04 Aug20 Jun11 May11   (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.