Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/4/2)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/2/4)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/3/1)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/2/5)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/4/5)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/22/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Mar14 Jan05 Nov09 Oct28 Aug23 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
JAMMIN STILL Feb29 Feb16 Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 (caison l)MAWING A 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Feb23 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.20 55% 0.80    
STRETCH THE TRUTH Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Sep30 Aug10 (bass w)ADAMS L 113 8.00    
JIMMY THE KID Mar01 Feb09 Feb01 Dec15 Nov10 (martin august )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
HEY CONGRATS Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
 
CT-2   03/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN BANDIT Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 Nov17 Oct21 (figgins)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
MYSTIFIED Mar01 Jan24 Jan03 Sep29 Aug23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00 11% 8.10    
POLAR WIND Mar01 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Jan05 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
GOLDEN APPEAL Feb29 Jan25 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.40 18% 4.60    
CURLIN'S THRILL Mar01 Feb09 Dec16 Dec08 Nov01 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
ANTIPOISON Mar09 Feb24 Dec22 Dec10 Nov26 (maldonado joe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 5.00    
 
CT-3   03/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLENT ROCK Jan27 Jan11 Nov15 Jul15 Jun23 (shanley mark)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
LOCO Mar13 Feb12 Jan25 Dec27 Dec13 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SUPERSTITIEUX Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 Dec13 Nov23 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00    
SPONSORED Feb24 Feb03 Dec15 Nov23 Nov04 (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00 13% 7.00    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC Jan25 Dec16 Nov29 Nov18 Oct28 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
MINEOLA MIKE Feb21 Jan31 Dec31 Nov04 Oct21 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00    
 
CT-4   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN Feb28 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 Jan03 Nov25 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00    
MARZ EXPRESS Aug25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Sep05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
MUSIC LASS Oct16 Oct02 Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 (tuomist)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.00    
JUBA BABY Feb29 Feb09 Jan27 Nov04 Oct14 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
XANTHE Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
CT-5   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE MARIA Mar07 Jan25 Nov29 Oct26 Sep30 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Mar01 Feb15 Dec15 Nov21 Oct26 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Mar16 Mar01 Jan25 Dec23 Dec15 (peltroche van)CHILO JACINTO 124 1.00 58% 0.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  SING ME TO SLEEP Dec15 Nov02 Oct12     (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 116 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
DIAMOND'S CABARET         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 2.50 13% 6.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HONOUR'S CHOICE Mar01         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of CHOOSE HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
MALTESE ROSE Feb15 Nov24       (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CT-6   03/22/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNALDO Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Feb16 Jan27 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 2.50 31% 2.30    
POWERED BY LOVE Mar08 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
O K SMARTY PANTS Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov17 Nov01 (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 117 5.00    
BERTRAM FLIGHT Mar02 Dec16 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (boggs joanna)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
HARDLY EVER BETTER Feb02 Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 Sep08 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
DONNIE B Feb28 Feb07 Jan12 Nov29 Oct07 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   03/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Mar09 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Nov18 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 119 4.00    
O'CONNER SUNSET Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
BY ITS ABSENCE Feb23 Feb15 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 4.50    
JAYJAYDEE Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Nov30 Nov08 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Feb07 Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 Aug25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
INSIDE RISK Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 (caison l)MAWING A 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNDTOBEOK Feb29 Nov03 Oct18 Sep30 Feb09 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
KATALIMA Mar07 Feb07 Jan03 Dec13 Nov18 (hanagan l)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00 14% 6.40    
VICTORY ROYALE Feb28 Feb03 Jan03 Nov12 Oct16 (delong ben)CHILO MAXIMO 124 5.00    
QUANTICO CREEK Feb29 Oct21 Sep04 Aug05 Nov02 (barber dona)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  SAVE THE FLAG Mar09 Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 Nov15 (zook jeff )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
SCR  SPEEDY BUBBLES Feb21 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
SCR  PALMARY Mar14 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.