Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/4/1)-(4/7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(4/5/1)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/2/4)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/3/1)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(7/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYLA Dec27 Nov30 Nov08 Oct01 Sep02 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  TIZZ THE G Dec15 Nov24       (pickett cryst)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of JEALOUS WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Oct12 Sep29 Jul19 May06   (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.40 23% 3.30    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of POWER BID by TOUCH GOLD)
4  MALTESE ROSE Nov24         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Dec15 Nov21 Oct26 Sep03 Aug06 (rofe jean)BOCACHICA J 117 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
6  PURPLE CALLA Feb09 Dec15       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of FLORAL OFFERING by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
CT-2   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP THORN Dec10 Nov08 Oct14 Sep18 Jul31 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 10% 8.50    
2  AUBURN MILL Jan25 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
3  SETTLEMENT DATE Feb09 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 Nov17 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
4  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jan25 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 13% 6.90    
5  THEWITCHISGONE Jan25 Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 Sep29 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jan31 Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
 
CT-3   02/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET OFF MY CLOUD Jan31 Jan25 Dec06 Nov11 Oct25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60    
2  ONLY GET'N BETTER Jan25 Jan04 Dec09 Nov11 Sep30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
3  STRONG LIL KOKORO Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 Nov07 Sep12 (collins tim)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROAD SLEW Jan25 Dec16 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
5  MOON SIGN Jan31 Jan04 Dec22 Dec01 Nov11 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 112 12.00    
6  LIL MR MATT Dec03 Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 15% 5.90    
7  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
CT-4   02/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYYESTOTHELADY Jan03 Feb01 Jan14 Nov30 Oct22 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Jan18 Dec06 Oct25 Sep15 Aug26 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
3  ALPINE MOON Jan18 May05 Apr15 Feb02 Jan12 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
4  FULL MOON LOVER Jan18 Dec16 Nov09 Oct14 Sep22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  MANAROLA Jan18 Oct14 Aug10 Jul01 May13 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
 
CT-5   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MONEY MACHINE Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 Oct18 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
2  SECRET CASTLE Jan26 Jan13 Dec07 Nov16 Oct27 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  SHERIFF'S KID Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
4  THUNDERTURTLE Jan27 Nov15 Sep14 Sep02 Jul22 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  VIKING QUEEN Jan13 Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 (gariba)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
6  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 Oct05 Sep16 (viands r)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  RIDE THE RAPIDS Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50    
 
CT-6   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES TO LOVE Jan04 Dec15 Nov08 Oct27 Aug10 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  PHILMARY CASTLE Jan31 Nov29 Oct13 Sep23 Aug12 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
3  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  ROMAN CANDLE Jan27 Nov17 Oct27 Sep21   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  GIRLS PERFUME Feb03 Jan13 Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 116 12.00    
6  HERE'S A QUARTER Jan05 Nov17 Jul06     (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 111 8.00    
 
CT-7   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BY ITS ABSENCE Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Dec09 Dec01 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
2  WILD MULE Dec14 Aug27 Aug05 May14 Mar23 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
3  TWO BIT KID Feb06 Jan15 Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  GOLDEN G Feb08 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
5  O'CONNER SUNSET Jan25 Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
6  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Jan30 Dec28 Nov27 Sep24 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
 
CT-8   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXANDER GRADY Jan25 Sep16 Sep01 Aug11   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 ★    
2  LORD CLANCY Jan25 Dec13 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
3  COLONIAL ROAD Jan25 Jan10 Dec13 Nov11 Oct20 (campbell larry)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
4  VALHALLA'S PALACE Jan24 Dec15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep16 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 111 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Jan24 Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 Oct13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 ★    
6  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Jan26 Jan05 Dec06     (cornwell )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
7  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Jan25 Dec13 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.50 56% 0.80    
8  GRANDPA JOE Feb01 Jan11       (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
9  COURT TUDOR Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Jun01 May13 (kirlew g)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
10  MALEKES MAGIC Jan11 Jul22       (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
SCR  GETTIN SPICY Feb02 Dec06 Nov30 Nov16 Nov08 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
SCR  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Jan11         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.