Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/6/4)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/4)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/4/2/1)-(5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/1)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/1/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIDMAN KERRY Dec26 Nov06 Jun27 May31 Apr07 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00    
2  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jan25 Jan04 Oct19 Jul08 Jun02 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  MO EH HENNESSY Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Nov15 Oct14 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00    
4  JUBA BOUND Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct21 Sep28 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
5  TRIPLE BAD Nov30 Nov16 Jan26     (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
CT-2   02/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG LEGS Oct13 Sep23 Jul22 Jul02   (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  MOONSET Jan12 Dec22 Nov26 Nov10 Oct26 (frock l)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of APPLE PIE BABY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  Z MYSTIQUE Jan12 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50    
  (by XIXIXI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  RADAR ALERT         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by IMAGINING out of WATERSIDE DREAM by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  BUFF'S CAT Nov15 Sep22 Sep07 Jul21 Jul07 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of GRAND IDEA by CATIENUS)
6  COOLKID Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct11 Sep27 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 116 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNTAINTED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CT-3   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALDRINALINE Dec16 Nov30 Nov11 Sep15 Aug11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
2  LIEUTENANT BROWN Jan27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Oct06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50    
3  SCARE DEM Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Dec09 Nov24 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 Sep15 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 10% 9.00    
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jan27 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
6  SUMMONING DENIS Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-4   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONEY BELLA Jan24 Jan12 Dec06 Nov15 Sep30 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
2  SUMMERTIME ROSE Oct18 Sep30 Jun22 May29 Apr23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
SCR  CREOLE Dec15 Nov02 Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
4  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Jan10 Dec16 Nov15 Oct17 Sep30 (brown ronney )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 1.60 28% 2.50    
5  DRY WELL Jan24 Jan12 Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 (walters henry)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
 
CT-5   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARNOUGHT Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COLT ROCK Jan04 Dec08 Nov29 Oct16 Sep08 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIALEAH NATIVE Feb02 Jan22 Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
4  XCELLENT START Dec05 Nov14 Oct07 Sep25 Sep01 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  TIMMY Jan04 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Aug11 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
6  JAZZ WITH DENIS Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 4.00    
7  TEMPESTIVO Jan18 Nov22 Nov01 Aug11 Jul21 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-6   02/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  TRUE INDY Jan24 Jan03 Nov29     (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
3  LIL BOUGIE Jan26 Nov30 Nov01 Oct19 Aug29 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
4  VERY VENUS Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
5  MISS BEE BOP Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 0.80 31% 2.30    
6  PRINCESS MARGARET Jan31 Jan11 Dec09 Nov29 Nov02 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   02/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT SHADOW Jan10 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  BABY MAN Jan05 Dec01 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 120 15.00 ★    
3  AZZURRA Jan24 Jan10 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 115 3.00    
4  DECO STRONG Jan24 Dec17 Nov20 Nov03 Sep16 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50    
5  SWEET WILLEMINA Jan24 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 Sep20 (lake scot)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
CT-8   02/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL THUNDER Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Oct18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  BOMBOLONI Jan18 Dec09 Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
3  GABRIEL'S WING Jan24 Jan03 Dec17 Dec07 Nov11 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
4  HOT N SPICY LOVE Dec16 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  CRIMSON ROCKET Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 Nov29 Oct20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00    
6  FLAT CAT Jan18 Dec15 Jul01 May06 Apr22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  PRINCE KHOZAN Jan12 Dec29       (mccue )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIS ROYAL G Dec29 Dec09 Nov25 Oct22 Sep22 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
SCR  NOTION TO TAPIT Jan05 Nov29 Nov12 Nov04 Oct20 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 Oct30 Jul18 (figgins l)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
SCR  ZIPPER ZAPPER Feb03 Jan05 Nov26 Nov19 Nov03 (ramirez j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.