Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6/8)-(2/5/3/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/6)-(7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/6)-(7/3/5)-(1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(1/2/4)-(5/7/9/4/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/7/9/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/7/9/4/6)-(2/3/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/7/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/4/6)-(5/7/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/4/6)-(5/7/9/4/6)-(5/7/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/9/4/6)-(2/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/4/6)-(2/3/9/4)-(3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/4)-(2/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/4)-(2/3/9/4)-(2/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/9/4)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/4)-(3/2/4)-(5/9/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(5/9/7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/9/7/6/1)-(7/8/10/4/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/9/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/6/1)-(5/9/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/6/1)-(5/9/7/6/1)-(5/9/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/7/6/1)-(7/8/10/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/8/10/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/4/2)-(7/8/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/4/2)-(7/8/10/4/2)-(7/8/10/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADSAMUMBLER Dec02 Nov18 Oct26     (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
2  I NITA WARRIOR Dec06 Nov18 Oct26 Aug19 Jul20 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  FREE DROP ROB Dec08 Nov02 Oct07     (gelner scott)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
4  EL KECZAL Dec08 Nov18       (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 6.00    
5  SECRET RIDDLES Dec06         (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  DYNAMIC SUN Dec01 Nov18 Nov02 Aug21 Jul28 (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GUNPOWDER N' LEAD Nov18 Sep30 Sep18 Sep04   (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00    
8  YES JACK Dec06 Nov18 Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 (turner patti)VARGAS P 122 5.00 ★    
9  FRENETIC DAY Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21   (dixon tim)STOKES J 119 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT ROSE Nov21 Sep29 Aug28 Jul21 Jul09 (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
2  SPECIAL TREASURE Sep22 Aug31 May27 Apr02 Mar19 (bryant a)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 ★    
3  TENNESSEE MOON Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 (hibdon n)THORNTON G 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  FROSTED DIAMOND Nov21 Jun11 May28 Mar25 Feb23 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
5  MISS LONELYHEARTS Nov22 Oct19 Aug04 Jun24 Apr19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAVE CREEK Dec10 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 Aug03 (dussette alvin)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00    
7  PEQUENA TORMENTA Aug26 Jul28 Jun17 Apr21 Jun17 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
DED-3   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Nov18 Nov03 Oct06     (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
2  MALADJUSTED MISFIT         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
3  PUPPETEER (GB) Nov25 Oct20 Jul20     (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 4.50    
4  TITANIUM DEAL         (richard rus)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIT THE BULLSEYE Nov29 Nov03       (pedigo randy)BIRZER E 122 20.00    
6  WICKED PUNCHES         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
7  FRAN'S STAR Nov29         (courville rick)THORNTON G 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  THEBOYZ SECRET Nov29 Oct13 Aug19     (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 122 10.00    
9  LEXINGTON RIVER         (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 122 20.00    
 
DED-4   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT MAKING TREBLE Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep03 Aug10 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 123 10.00    
2  EL MIC TIESUN Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun17 (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00    
3  ROLL ON OUT Dec01 Nov22 Nov04 Aug10 Jun23 (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
4  WINGS OF GOLD Nov09 Oct18 Sep03 Aug20 Jun04 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOVE A FIGHTER Nov17 Oct25 Aug27 Jul22   (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  NOBLE CONNECTION Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 Aug26 Jul08 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASTERN BANKER Nov17 Oct27 Aug27 Aug06 Jul27 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  AWESOME CAJUN Nov22 Oct27 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
9  HULLINAHURRY Nov22 Nov09 Oct20 Aug10 Jul31 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
10  CAPTAINS COVE Nov22 Oct27 Jul02 Jun22 Jun10 (butler ken )MORALES ROBERTO 123 6.00    
SCR  CLEVER PRINCE Dec02 Aug10 Jul29 Jun30 May19 (bonin jr)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
SCR  MORO FLYBOY Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 Sep03 Feb03 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 12.00    
 
DED-5   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STURGILL Nov24 Nov04 Apr23 Mar31 Mar19 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
2  OVERDELIVER Nov24 Nov01 Aug11 Nov05 Oct22 (clark p)STOKES A 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  WESLEYAN Nov18 Oct25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 (johnson b)BOREL H 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  WAR SONG Nov01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Oct05 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 116 8.00 7% 12.50    
5  OJITOS Nov21 Nov03 Sep29 Sep04 Jul29 (hewitt mich)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00    
6  WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG Jun15 Jul06 Jun25 Jun08 Apr16 (henry eric)LEDET THEODRICK 116 15.00    
7  DIABLO CAT Nov25 Nov01 Sep02 Dec10 Nov30 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 116 5.00    
8  CHICAGO CHROME Dec06 Nov18 Oct28 Sep24 Sep16 (gonzalez is)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
9  CAJUN BERTI Nov11 Oct05 Aug29 Jul24 Jun08 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 12.00 9% 10.80    
 
DED-6   12/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE SASSY RUN Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
2  GIRL THIRSTY Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
3  BLESSED ANNA Nov30 Oct25 Sep09 Aug05 Jun10 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 57% 0.80    
4  ANGELA'S CELERITY Nov30 Nov03 Aug05 Jul06 May18 (delany sarah)DEL-CID MARLON 114 4.00 7% 13.50    
5  START WELL Oct28 Sep09 Jul22 Jul06 May27 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
6  SERIOUSLY SAM Dec10 Nov30 Nov17 Oct19 Aug29 (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 ★    
7  CRIDER CHASE Aug12 Jul01 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Dec09 Oct13 Aug19 Jul27 Jul07 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 3.50    
 
DED-7   12/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SHIPMAN Feb18 Dec26 Nov19 Oct12 Sep10 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIRE VISION Nov25 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 (giangrosso )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00    
3  PSALM PRAYER Nov08 Feb11 Jan14 Dec22 Nov26 (romero j)STOKES A 116 12.00    
4  HOPESHECANRUN Nov22 Nov02       (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 116 20.00    
5  BIG BEAUTY Apr09 Mar18 Feb03 Dec26 Oct30 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  MALIBU TOAST Oct26 Oct07 Jun23 Apr28 Mar24 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 8.00 6% 16.80    
7  RING TWICE Nov21 Oct26 Sep08 Apr08 Mar25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
8  EXPECT A DANCER Oct06 Jul21 Jun22 Jun12 May10 (robbins ray)STOKES J 119 6.00    
9  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May13 Apr05 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
10  HAMAZING LACE Mar19 Feb23 Jan11 Dec19 Dec07 (richard chri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00    
 
DED-8   12/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGOLA VACATION Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Aug29 (zeno benjami)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
2  MAKE YOUR DESTINY Nov01 Oct11 Sep25 May20 May06 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAC THE PULPIT Apr27 Apr13 Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00    
4  CHIEF KIMOSABI Dec07 Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 Jul28 (castille ri)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOOCAN DANCE Dec07 Nov18 Oct11 Aug19 Jun24 (avant kelly)MORALES ROBERTO 123 12.00    
6  SHANKINSTINE Nov16 Sep12 Jun24 Jun12 May28 (ramirez e)STOKES J 123 10.00    
7  IDE LIKE HAWAII Dec07 Oct11 Aug04 Jul22 Jun09 (bourgeois keith)POMPELL L 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
8  R T'S D'ORO Nov16 Nov01 Aug04 Jun15 May10 (chevis a)STOKES A 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
9  SOULOLOGY Dec07 Nov22 Feb28 Jan20 Dec16 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00    
10  NINEJUANJUAN CALL Nov24 Nov01 Sep04 Aug27 Jul22 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  K V TARGET Dec07 Nov24 Oct11 Aug19 Jul22 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.