Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/9/1)-(2/3/5/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(7/4/5)-(13/10/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(13/10/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(13/10/7/5)-(6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (13/10/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/10/7/5)-(13/10/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/10/7/5)-(13/10/7/5)-(13/10/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (13/10/7/5)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (13/10/7/5)-(6/4/2)-(13/1/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(13/1/9/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(13/1/9/7/5)-(1/9/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (13/1/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/1/9/7/5)-(13/1/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/1/9/7/5)-(13/1/9/7/5)-(13/1/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/1/9/7/5)-(1/9/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (13/1/9/7/5)-(1/9/8/5)-(10/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/8/5)-(10/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/5)-(10/2/7)-(4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (10/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/7)-(10/2/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/7)-(10/2/9/7)-(10/2/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/2/7)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAK E LADY Sep30 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPOOKY SPICE Aug24 Jun01 Apr20 Feb22 Dec10 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  MYSTIC SEAPORT Oct18 Aug31 Aug05 Jul15 Jun16 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
SCR  MOVING IN STEREO Sep09 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 (harris holly)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
5  BALLYHOOLY Aug31 Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 Jun02 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
6  BACKSTREET GAL Sep18 Aug18 Aug03 Feb10 Jan16 (milosevic mil)ROJAS MARTINA 114 30.00    
7  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Oct19 Aug03 Jul23 Jul13 May18 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 30.00    
8  GOGO CHANEL Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 Nov25 Oct28 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
9  PRINCESS PALMER Aug18 Aug04 Jun23 Jun09 Jun02 (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 123 8.00 ★    
10  SASSY BABE Sep06 Aug18 Jul13 Jun20 Jun04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY NAN Sep21 Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 May29 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 116 12.00    
SCR  TIS A PITY Apr22 Nov19 Oct23 Jul29 Jun12 (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 30.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Oct19 Sep22 Jan29 Jan15 Dec15 (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 12.00    
SCR  GIFT OF GAB Oct21 Sep16 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
16  LADY SERENITY Oct21 Oct08 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 120 8.00    
 
LRL-2   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ VINNO Jul22 Jul01       (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TIZZIRE by TIZNOW)
2  TEQUILA TARA Oct01         (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPICE LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BIG EARN Oct13         (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of NOBLE NATION by CAL NATION)
4  PRINCESS BLAME Oct01         (gonzalez clau)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by BLAME out of OUT OF MY DREAMS by TWO PUNCH)
5  J RIVERS         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of DON'T STOP TO SHOP by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  REDFIRE         (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of STRADIVARIUS by STREET CRY)
7  VENOMOUS VIXEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SHAWKLIT CAKE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  DUELA DENT         (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONKAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LRL-3   10/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKING SUSPICION Sep06 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May26 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EMERALD SONG by EUROSILVER)
2  MAGISTRATE         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ROCK WITH YOU Oct01 Sep01 Feb20 Jan08 Dec18 (payne beale)RUIZ JORGE 126 30.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of POP PRINCESS by ALPHABET SOUP)
4  SELASSIE         (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of LALIBELA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ANAHEIM Oct01 Jul09 Jun22 May30 May07 (farrior an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
SCR  LONGWORTH Oct06 Sep17 Aug11 Jul09 Jun18 (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PARLEZ by FRENCH DEPUTY)
7  HURRYING HOME Oct06 Feb25       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 9% 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CURLIN N TWIRLIN by CURLIN)
SCR  MINDTAP Oct14 Sep03       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.20    
  (by TAPIT out of WHATDREAMSRMADEOF by GRAEME HALL)
9  NOBEL SPEAKER Oct06         (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of DYNAMITE DAME by EL PRADO (IRE))
10  HARBOR MOON Oct06 Sep11 Jan21 Dec10 Oct23 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DOUBLE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
11  HARD TRAVELER Oct06 Jul08 Jun16 May29 Aug09 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  WON AN AWARD Oct08 Jul14 May28 Apr13 Oct28 (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))
13  HEADLINE NEWS Jul07 May20       (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by CURLIN out of FRONT PAGE STORY by WAR FRONT)
SCR  MENO Oct13 Sep22 Sep09 Jun17 May29 (testerman valora)DELGADO A 123 50.00    
  (by MOSLER out of SWIMMER by ROCK SLIDE)
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY Sep06 Jul26       (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SHE'S GOT RULES by HOLY BULL)
SCR  PINEAPPLE LANE         (olivo k)NO RIDER 123 30.00    
  (by ASTERN out of GO SAMANTHA GO by HOLY BULL)
 
LRL-4   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLIER Oct01 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul16 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50    
2  IT'S SIZZLING TIME Oct04 Sep03 Aug20 Jun07 Apr29 (smith valrie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 13% 6.80    
3  MISCHIEF AFOOT Aug22 Aug03 Aug08 May20 Apr15 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
4  EVERETT'S SONG Sep15 Aug06 Jul07 May29 Apr29 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 1.60 16% 5.50    
5  ARMANDO R Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 May19 Apr20 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
6  MAGIC MICHAEL Sep15 Sep24 Aug24 Jul30 Jul09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  WISH FOR PEACE Aug03 Jul08 Jun28 Jun06 May22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
 
LRL-5   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTINCTIVE Oct06 Sep17 Aug31 Aug12 Aug04 (moore micha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  CUPIDS DREAM Oct13 Oct06 Aug19 Aug12 Jul07 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00    
3  GENNIE HIGHWAY Oct14 Aug31 Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
4  BRAMBLE BUSH Oct06 Sep17 Sep01 Jul07 Jun03 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
5  CONGRESS HALL Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 (mcfarlane)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALL ON CLARA Sep06 Aug19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun09 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 30.00    
7  ESPERANNNA Oct13 Sep17 Sep04 Jul21 Jun10 (mcmahon)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  FOOL YOURSELF Sep29 Aug19 Jan21 Nov13 Oct22 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
9  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Oct06 Sep06 Aug19 May06 Mar15 (sweezey kent)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Oct13 Sep29 Aug25 Jun23 Jun04 (mcmaho)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.50    
SCR  DOTADA Sep04 Aug18 Jul01 May11 Apr01 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
12  UP HER SLEEVE Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 May18 (levine bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50    
13  POUNDING MUSIC Oct14 Sep30 Sep01 Aug03 Dec09 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-6   10/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENATOR KELLY Sep22 Jul10 Feb24 Jan21   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  LIL BUDDY Sep22 Aug11 Jul29     (mancilla carl)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 30.00    
3  A THOUSAND IDOLS Oct05 Sep02 Aug25 Jul27 Jul07 (harting)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
4  DOWSING ROD Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00    
5  WAR ROCKET         (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOONSET Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jun09 May27 (frock charles)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
7  GLASTONBURY Sep01 Apr21 Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 (roadcap j)HERNANDEZ F 126 20.00    
8  GOODTIMETOBEIRISH Sep22         (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 13% 6.90    
9  BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Jun17 Aug14 Jul03 Apr30 Apr02 (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 126 2.00 15% 5.60    
 
LRL-7   10/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRIGHTLAND Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 Jun11 May05 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.60    
2  JARDANI Sep10 Aug29 Jul19 Jul03 May27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 11% 8.40    
3  MY BOY PADDY Aug19 Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 Feb02 (rivera ju)CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
4  GREAT IDEA Sep06 Aug04 Nov20 Oct29 Oct09 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
5  LAMARVELOUS Aug24 Aug03 Apr30 Feb20 Jan21 (eppler mar)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
SCR  SHADY MUNNI Oct14 Sep30 Sep03 Aug19 Jul21 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00    
7  BONDED (IRE) Oct14 Sep08 Aug12 Jul29 Jun04 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEYOND THE PALE Oct07 Aug12 Jul06 Jun17 Sep18 (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
9  MISSION MAN Oct07 Sep06 Aug16 Jul08 Jun21 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50 ★    
10  HARDSPUN REASON Aug18 Jul15 Jun17 May18 Apr13 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 126 2.00 65% 0.50    
11  GOOD KNIGHT NILE Sep17 Jul23 Nov24 Nov05 Oct15 (milose)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-8   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FOOLIN MO Oct01 Sep04       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SULTRY by MALIBU MOON)
2  GRAN YACO Sep03 Aug06 Jul02     (avila carlo)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  CORINGA Sep29         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CONSPICUOUS by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  REGALO Sep15         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  CONNIVING Sep29 Sep11       (chapman james)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STARLET STORM by THE FACTOR)
SCR  RAPID PUNCH         (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
7  HYTECK PRINCE Oct15 Sep08 Aug19     (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLASS E HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  KAKE'S RAGS         (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHARM CITY GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  SIR EXTON         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SOMETHINABOUTBETTY by FORESTRY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.