Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/4/3)-(4/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/8/6)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(6/2)-(5/8/7/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/8/7/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/8/7/10)-(9/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/10)-(5/8/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/10)-(5/8/7/10)-(5/8/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/10)-(9/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/10)-(9/6/3)-(4/9/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/3)-(9/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6/3)-(9/6/3)-(9/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/6/3)-(4/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3)-(4/9/5/3)-(8/1/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/3)-(8/1/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 May12 Apr08 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
2  DATS A SUPERSTAR Aug27 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 (robb j)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Sep14 Jul15 May12 May06 Apr20 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SK'S HEART Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 (bailon he)ACOSTA D 121 5.00    
5  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 Jul15 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 4.00    
6  TODAYISMYDAY         (morris r)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  LATE NIGHT SPIRIT Aug24 Jul28 Jun15     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 4.50    
 
CT-2   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIANA RED Sep29 Aug26 Aug05 May20 Feb01 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  CURLIN'S THRILL Sep16 Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jul01 (simone michael )PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
3  MONGOLIAN HERO Sep10 Sep01 Jun09 May20 Jan27 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
4  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Sep01 Aug04 Jun24 Apr21 Mar09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  READY AND RICH Aug23 Aug12 Apr04 Mar23 Feb17 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
6  MAKE WAY Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
7  JUST NOD AND SMILE May17 May02 Mar29 Mar15 Feb02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
 
CT-3   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATEST NOTION Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
2  GOOD BUZZ Sep22         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPIN AGAIN by HARD SPUN)
3  CANDY FOR JUBA Sep16 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30   (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
4  AYE CALYPSO Sep22         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BARBADOS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  RACING HOT LINE Sep16 Sep01 Aug11     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 Jun30   (farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Sep16 Jul21 Jun30     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
8  YACHTSMEN Sep16         (runco c)BATISTA A 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
 
CT-4   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BON BUENO Sep16 Sep09 Jul31 Jul07 May25 (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
2  LEG UP Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  LOVE MACHINE Apr14 Mar24 Feb25 Feb05 Jan16 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
4  RAGTIME RICHES Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 4.50    
SCR  BIG BALLOONS Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 Jun02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
6  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Sep07 Aug17 Jun22 May11 Apr27 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 52% 0.90    
7  PRESSURE Aug09 Jul07 May11 Apr21 Mar04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
8  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Sep29 Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
SCR  TIMMY Sep27 Aug11 Jul25 Jun27 Apr22 (gazzier kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
10  DIVINAS CONNECTION Sep08 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (locklear james)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   10/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LUCKY DEIA         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 ★    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
2  SPIRIT ON THE WIND         (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of MY CURLIE Q by CURLIN)
3  IMADHI Sep21         (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of MONSTER IMAGE by MEADOW MONSTER)
4  FRIEND FURH REAL         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of I AM FURH REAL by FIBER SONDE)
5  LONA LEE Sep21         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
SCR  SWIPE THAT CANDY         (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
7  SHOTGUN MARGARET Aug31         (shuler r)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 10% 9.20    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
8  MISS BEE BOP         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of KENZIE by GRAYDAR)
9  WAY OF APPEAL Sep15 Aug31       (perez ernesto)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
10  SING ME TO SLEEP         (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  BEVERLY'SACTINUP Aug31         (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
SCR  SPECIAL KAYLEE Sep21         (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  PETTY PERFECT Sep21         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 3.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-6   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REVEREND JACK Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun09 Apr27 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
2  NEVERPOPTHECORK Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 Jun03 Apr28 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 111 12.00    
3  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jun30 May13 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  MY BOY CLYDE Sep17 Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 Aug19 (baird michael)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
SCR  TURTLE DOVE Sep28 Aug26 Jun30 Jun03 May11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
6  NOCASHREFUNDS Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Feb08 Nov23 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  ROAD SLEW Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Sep17 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
SCR  LOGSTRADAMUS Aug25 Aug04 Jun16 May25 Apr27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
9  I'M THE MONEY MAN Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
10  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Sep15 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON THUNDER Sep03 Aug11 Jul23 Jul08 Jun02 (penaloz)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
2  MIND YOUR OWN Sep21 Aug31 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Sep22 Jul07 Jun20 May17 Apr28 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  STARBURST Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jan13   (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  NEWS BOX Aug28 Jul24 May13 Apr14 Mar30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Oct11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
7  KENNY HAD A NOTION Sep21 Sep07 Jul15 Jun30 May25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
8  CLASSY AMERICAN Sep21 Aug23 Jun20 Jun05 May15 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
9  ALLEN CAN DO IT Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 (arias alfonso)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
10  CURLIN'S MALIBU Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 Jun09 May07 (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 8.00    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT Sep20 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May17 (kravets m)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENNIS TAP Sep16 Jul28 Jun16 May05 Apr21 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 25% 3.10    
2  WISHING FOR SPRING Sep16 Aug26 Jul20 May18 Apr13 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
3  BOCA BIRDIE Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 May12 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
4  KATALIMA Jul22 Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  HONEYCAMP Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul12 (simone michael )PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
6  TAPPING SOUTH Aug05 Jul20 Jun23 May27 Apr28 (barahon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
7  MOIRAINE Aug26 Aug12 May25 Apr28 Apr13 (spriggs tos)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
8  MISS LAUREN Sep02 Aug03 Jul06 Jun01 May25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 1.40 30% 2.30    
9  WICKED WISDOM Sep16 Aug26 Aug03 Oct07 Sep15 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.