Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/5)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/5)-(3/1/2)-(6/7/9/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/7/9/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/9/2)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/5/6)-(7/3/8/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/4/6) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY LUCY Sep18 Sep03 Jul24     (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of A FEW GOOD FRIENDS by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
2  BIT OF BLESSINGS Sep18 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul31 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
3  SUNSET QUEEN Sep18 Jun17 May20 Apr29 Apr20 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  MACHEN MARGARITAS Jun06         (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MACHEN out of GRAPEFRUIT LEAGUE by LATENT HEAT)
5  S S FLAMINGO         (jimenez m)HERNANDEZ H 118 8.00 17% 5.10    
  (by TEXAS RED out of VERONICA'S LAKE by SALT LAKE)
6  LADY GANGSTER Sep18 Aug26 Aug04 Jun17 Jun01 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 123 2.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
7  S S COSMOPOLITAN Sep03         (jimenez miguel )LEON A 118 10.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SMART TRADE by SMART STRIKE)
 
MNR-2   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Sep10 Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 2.50 12% 7.40    
2  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Sep10 Aug20 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  SOURNOIS Sep10 Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 (kirk sh)BRAVO MISAEL 116 15.00    
4  CAVALLOTTO Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul23 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
5  DREAM SATURDAY Sep20 Jul23 Nov07 Jun12 May02 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00 7% 13.30    
6  WHISKEY MOMENT Sep13 Sep03 Jul02 Jun06 May09 (kirk sherry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
7  PROFESSIONAL Sep10 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
8  BRIAR JUMPER Sep25 Aug27 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
 
MNR-3   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL CHAOS Sep10 Jul22 Jun30 May15 Apr19 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.20 18% 4.70    
2  PAPA CHARLES Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 Jul31 Jul19 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  STRAUS'S PLACE Sep20 Aug28 Aug22 Mar11 Feb14 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  BON DEUX Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 (mcgaffi)BRAVO MISAEL 116 15.00    
5  SMALL BUT FEISTY Sep20 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 118 10.00    
SCR  LOOKA LOOKA Sep06 Aug15 Aug06 Jun26 Jun11 (fiesman )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 30.00    
 
MNR-4   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSE OF GOLDEN Sep20 Sep01 Aug19     (barbaran ho)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
2  STEEL HAWK Sep17 May26 Apr30 Dec09 Nov17 (poole a)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FRECKLEDBIRD by MINESHAFT)
3  TRUST FUND ROBBER Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
  (by MR. SIDNEY out of OUR CLEVER SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
4  ZINFATUATION Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul22 Jun26 (norris stephani)LEON A 123 4.50    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
5  MOON OVER DUBAI Sep03 Aug08 Jul26 Jul09 May29 (hetrick krist)CEDILLO MAURO 113 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TIZCOOL by TIZNOW)
6  DOUBLE OVERTIME Sep06 Jul10 Apr14     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of OVERTIMEANGIE BABY by SPECTACULAR BID)
7  THE MONSTER IRUS Sep20 Aug11 Aug02 Jul20 Jul01 (cascallares n)LUGO D 115 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
8  FAR FROM HOME Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 (barbaran horacio)YARANGA Y 118 5.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9  MO TOWN BLUES Sep17 Sep08 Aug11 Aug02 Jul22 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 10.00 12% 7.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
 
MNR-5   10/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG OF THE HEART Sep20 Apr26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb25 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  IT'S A BIG SONG Aug16 Jul13 Jul02     (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00    
3  JANTIVA Aug10 Nov17 Nov01     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 8.00    
SCR  SENA THE DUCHESS Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 Jan11 (montano wilfr)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
5  MORE TO FOLLOW Sep20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED DELICIOUS Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 118 3.00    
7  KETO FRIENDLY Sep04 Jul25 Jun27 Jun05 Nov07 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-6   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HROTHGAR Sep25 Sep02 Aug11 Jul12 May27 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
2  BEST CHOICE BABY Sep06 Aug16 May11 Apr16 Mar25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 121 1.40 29% 2.40    
3  KAPHAVATA Sep18 Jul12 May29 May07 Apr04 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  TALK TO TOKEY Sep24 Sep12 Jul28 Jun29 May25 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 6.00    
5  EL CARDINAL Sep18 Sep06 Aug27 Aug14 Jun27 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
6  WISE KHOZAN Aug27 Jul09 Mar16 Mar02 Jan30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
 
MNR-7   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TRAPPE Sep06 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 120 1.40    
2  PASSO A FRENTE Sep07 Jun15 May06 Mar15 Dec06 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
3  SASSY JUSTICE Sep18 Aug30 Jul16 Jun20 May09 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
4  POLYESTER BRIDE Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 Jun20 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
5  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Sep12 Aug13 Jul26 Jun21 May04 (hebert kitty )SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  JAMESTOWN ROAD Sep22 Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 May28 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LA BRODY Sep19 Sep06 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 (barbaran horacio)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
8  CRICKET WEST Aug30 Aug17 Jul29 Jul05 May26 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN KISS Sep06 Aug19 Jul30 May15 Mar10 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 12.00    
2  CHASING A PAYDAY Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 Jul24 Jun27 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
3  BOURBON TALKING Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 May17 Apr04 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 14% 5.90    
4  JOYRIDE Jul19 Jul03 May02 Mar20 Dec14 (mcgaffi)BRAVO MISAEL 116 10.00 6% 15.30    
5  KALINBA Sep20 Aug25 Jul21 Jul14 Jul01 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 6.00    
6  CAPONE'S LOFT Sep06 Aug15 Jun27 Jul03   (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
7  QUANTUM THEORY Sep20 Aug29 Jul16 Jul10 Jun05 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  OMEGA GOLD Aug29 Aug16 Jul03 Jun19 May30 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  VASY SAYS NYET Sep20 Sep04 Aug20 Aug02 Jul16 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 12.00    
10  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Sep25 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 (gray christopher)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00    
SCR  SCREAMING JEREMY Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 Aug02 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 4.00    
SCR  MIGHTY FROSTED Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul17 Apr30 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.