Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(11/5/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (11/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/6/9)-(11/5/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (11/5/6/9)-(11/5/6/9)-(11/5/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (11/5/6/9)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/5/6/9)-(6/5)-(2/8/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8)-(2/3/8)-(3/1/4/9) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(3/1/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON HUNTER Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 (sells r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
ROLL DEM BONES Aug29 Aug15 Aug09 Jul25 Jul17 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
SHOSHA Aug22 Jul16 Jun19 May30 May16 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 123 5.00    
FOREVER POE Sep03 Aug23 Aug16 Jul11 Jul05 (sipp k)LEON A 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
DEVILS RED Aug20 Aug06 Jun30 Jun15 May13 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
THIRD MOON Jun11 May19 Apr08 Mar26 Feb22 (poole a)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
SCR  PANORAMA TRUCK Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
WHISKEY MOMENT Sep03 Jul02 Jun06 May09 Dec12 (kirk s)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00    
 
MNR-2   09/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND SIR Jun10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov26 Sep23 (montano wilfr)TOLEDO S 120 12.00    
BULLION Aug20 Aug13 Jul25 Jul06 Jun21 (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 116 30.00    
HOLY TRUTH Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (meeks karl)NELSON TYRONE 120 8.00    
OPEN OUT Sep05 Aug14 Jul27 Jul03 Jun01 (londono o)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00    
GILLIGAN Aug29 Aug12 Jul21 Jul06 Jun17 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
KNOWN Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (wolfe greg)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Aug29 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50    
SCR  QUESTION AUTHORITY Aug29 Aug08 Jul03 Jun05 May16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00    
RY'S REVENGE Aug21 Jul31 Jul09 May30 May09 (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 (fearon johnath)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
11  ISTILLGOTIT Aug14 Feb02 Dec13 Nov07 Oct13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 44% 1.20    
SCR  RIVER KAT Sep01 Jul23 Jun04 Mar10 Feb19 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 10.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Sep06 May28 May19 Apr30 Apr16 (maver mario)LUGO D 120 6.00    
SCR  WHY WINCHILL WHY Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jul18 (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
 
MNR-3   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENRIDGE THUNDER Jul03 Nov07 Oct25 Jul25 Jun29 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Apr28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 123 4.00    
EL PIQUIN Dec14 Nov10 Oct19 Oct02 Aug08 (calvo kelsie)LEON A 120 30.00    
SCR  SUTTON BREEZE Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 Apr30 Apr21 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
RAYMOND Aug30 Jul30 Jul05 May26 May13 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
MORE LOVE Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 May29   (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  LUCKY NINETEEN Aug21 Aug16 Aug06 Jun24 Oct25 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  SCRATCHOFF Aug03 Jul03 Jun18 May29 May09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
 
MNR-4   09/13/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT GENTLEMAN Aug20 Jul12 May29 May14 Dec05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 127 5.00    
REJUVENATE Aug20 Jul12 Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 129 1.20 34% 1.90    
SOMERSET BAY Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 May15 Nov08 (stanoszek s)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  TREASURED NIKKY Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 (larue steve)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
SCR  BLUEBANK Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 May30 (inman l)LEON A 123 30.00    
ENZOEXPRESS Aug14 Aug06 Jul12 Jun18 May15 (pizzurro jo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 125 4.00    
AW ITE Aug10 Jul20 Jun27 Jun19 May21 (inman l)DIAZ I 125 6.00 12% 7.60    
THREE MILE LIMIT Aug27 Aug14 Jul12 Jun14 May19 (boyd l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 21% 3.80    
SKYLAS GOLD Aug20 Jul12 May29 May14 Dec05 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 125 8.00    
 
MNR-5   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK DIRTY Sep06 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (patton luke)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 May31 (herrington cal)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
COCO MACHEN Aug01 Jul19 Dec05 Nov02 Oct16 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
LEADING INDICATOR Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun18 Mar13 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50    
SCR  G MONEY LIV Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 May23 (reffner tar)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
CANELITA Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR EMPRESS Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Dec14 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
MNR-6   09/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTRA DIVA Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
PASSINGTHEMISTERY Aug24 Aug03 Jul26 Nov27 Nov07 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 118 4.00    
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 Jul02 Jun06 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00    
FIRST TIME PLAYER Aug28 Aug22 Jul26 Nov01 Oct26 (soto )MONSERRATE A 123 12.00    
LOVE GONE WILD Aug29 Dec09 Nov06     (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  TEXAS DANA Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun17   (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
MISS JOANNIE Aug29 Aug22 Aug03 Jul02 Jun03 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 121 3.00    
MISTY MIDNIGHT Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 May25 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP JUSTICE Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00    
BIG TREAT Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Nov04 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
TWILIGHT VISION Aug10 Jun21 May25 May10 Apr25 (jackson r)RIVERA R 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  ADMAA Jul12 May15 Mar15 Jan24 Oct31 (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Aug18 Jul19 May26 Apr05 Feb20 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
SCR  MAMALONA Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May21 (soto )MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
FABRICATE Aug01 Jun21 Apr16 Sep21 Aug20 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50    
MISS BETTY Aug06 Jul16 Jun21 May30 Apr25 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
MNR-8   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM MOM NOT BRUH         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of EXTRAVAGANCE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
MAGIC CALL Aug16 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 (suarez w)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TAP THE MAGIC by SIGNAL TAP)
HAZANNE Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun01 Apr01 (engler jeff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LT. LYDIA Aug30 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (ruberto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00 6% 15.90    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of WE ALL HAVE DREAMS by SHACKLEFORD)
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Sep04 Jun05       (sipp burt)HERNANDEZ H 118 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
WOMP Aug30 May22 Nov20     (pease harry)LEON A 118 30.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of JASMINE JEWEL by MR. GREELEY)
RED DELICIOUS Aug31 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 Apr14 (cascallares)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 10.00    
  (by BELOMOR out of SUNRISE FOREVER by SUN KING (IRE))
MS EXCUSE Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun04 (cascallares )GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ANGEL SPIRIT by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
THIS ONE CAN RUN Jul20 Jul01       (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ICE CREAM SOCIAL by DEVIL ON ICE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.