Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1)-(6/2/3/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(3/5/6)-(3/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(5/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(3/2/10)-(8/2/3/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/10)-(3/2/10) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/10)-(3/2/10)-(3/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/10)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 May22 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  RUM ON THE ROCKS Aug30 Aug20 Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 (mcdonald william)VIGIL NOEL 120 20.00    
3  FULCO Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun17 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  VALEROSO Aug29 Aug15 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY Sep04 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 May30 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
7  VINCENT VAN GOGO May07         (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
8  SUPPLY CHAIN Aug27 Jul18 Jun27 Jun20 Mar05 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 6.00    
9  MONGOLIAN HERO Sep01 Jun09 May20 Jan27 Jan12 (jones michael)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
 
MNR-2   09/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER Aug27 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 10.00    
2  PICKFORD Aug23 Jul31 Jun25 Nov10 Oct11 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  PAPA HONOR Aug17 Jul23 Jun06 Oct20 Oct09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
4  PONT DU GARD Aug23 Jul31 Jun19 May30 May08 (mcdonald william)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00    
5  DYNAFORM Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jul18 Jul10 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONKY TONK HERO Jul23 Jun26 Jun19 Jun09 May18 (wolfe greg)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
7  BOOMIN GOOSE Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00    
8  KNOCKHOLT Sep03 Aug18 Aug03     (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
9  ALONG THE WAY Aug19 Jul14 Jun22 May24 May06 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 117 4.50    
 
MNR-3   09/10/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT Aug23 Aug15 Jul31 Jul16 Jul05 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
2  POSEIDON'S SON Aug08 Jun30 Jun03 May05 Apr02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00    
3  ROCK ON KITTEN Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 May15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  BEACH HOLIDAY Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 123 2.00    
5  AMICUS BRIEF Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May28 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  TEMPLET Aug23 Jul13 Jul04 Jun12 May23 (connel)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  LIGHT CRUISER Aug23 Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
 
MNR-4   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTA CALIENTE Aug14 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May23 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
SCR  OUT FOR MYSELF Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 Jun04 May22 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50    
3  MAMBO KITTEN Sep02 Aug19 Jul06 Jun15 May27 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  JUST LIKE INDY Aug09 Jul31 Jun24 Jun07 May25 (lawrence da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
5  MYRA FLEENER Aug23 Aug08 Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 (lopez e)JIMENEZ S 123 4.00    
SCR  IRON WILMA Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
7  FLECHE D'AMOUR Aug14 Aug01 May24 Oct11 Sep14 (gotera car)LEON A 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
MNR-5   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Aug20 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 7% 13.90    
2  PROFESSIONAL Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Aug28 Jul11 Aug01 Jul18 Jun21 (treharne dav)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
4  UNION STATION Jun23 May27 Apr13 Mar18 Feb17 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  WIZARD WILLIE Aug22 Jul26 May29 Aug22 Jul19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  FLASH ME BACK Aug15 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
7  HEATHER'S GOLD Aug29 Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 May15 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50    
8  SOURNOIS Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 May18 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00    
 
MNR-6   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYTON'S D J Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 May21 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
2  BLOWN SAVE Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul19 Jun23 (cordero-lopez a)LEON A 118 20.00    
3  COASTAL CHAOS Jul22 Jun30 May15 Apr19 Mar10 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.20 57% 0.70    
4  SMALL BUT FEISTY Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun11 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  A B G GUERRERO Jun20 Jun13       (gilbert timoth)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
6  STRASBOURG Aug28 Aug13 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.50    
7  DADDY Z Aug28 Aug07 Jul19 Jun25 May23 (shuler )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
MNR-7   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAY FASHION Aug07 Jul19 Jul02 Dec06 Oct18 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
2  PETTIGO GIRL Aug27 Aug13 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (norris step)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  LILAC LACE Aug21 Jul27 Jun26 May24 Apr30 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  WOLF EYES Aug27 May24 Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 6.00    
5  VALERIE FIRST Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun28 May23 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul19 Jun27 (valdez moises)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00    
7  OUR FLIRTATION Sep03 Aug14 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 (ewell sr)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00    
8  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 Jun06 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
9  BALI BALIFLY Aug28 Aug14 Jun23 Jun09 May12 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 4.50    
10  VINTAGE SPARKLE Aug27 Jul19 Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
MNR-8   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN GIRL Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun11 (fiesman rob)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00    
2  LOVE TO ZOOM Aug09 Jul26 May12 Mar31 Mar10 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Aug27 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 Apr23 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  CHORIST Aug27 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 May23 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EGG NOG Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 May29 May14 (langley car)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
6  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Aug15 Aug02 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
7  NATIVE VALLEY Sep03 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun12 (santillo thom)NELSON TYRONE 120 15.00    
8  HERE COMES LOVIE Jul14 Jun09 Apr13 Feb17 Feb03 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
9  OUT OF ROMANCE Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul11 Jun25 (howard m)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.