Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/6/8)-(2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(2/1/5)-(2/8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/8/6/1)-(1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-4   WIN (2/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/1)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/1)-(1/5)-(5/9/3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/9/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/9/3/4)-(3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (5/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/4)-(5/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/4)-(5/9/3/4)-(5/9/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/4)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/4)-(3/4/5)-(6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (lake a)ALICEA JEREMY 115 10.00    
SHAOLIN Aug09 Jul07 May25 Apr30 Feb26 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
HAPPY UNION Aug18 Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 Apr23 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
SCR  CATALENA Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 (simoff andre)TROTMAN KEIMAR 117 8.00    
WATERWORKS Aug24 Jul15 Jul01 May27 Mar30 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
RED WINE TIME Jul23 Jul07 Jun02 Apr20 Mar25 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.50    
 
DEL-2   09/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILLY START Aug24 Jul14 Jun25 Dec01 Oct28 (merryman mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00    
SCAMPER ALONG Aug24 Aug02 Jun25 Dec03 Nov14 (downing will)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
DAISY BEE Aug17 Aug04 Jul05 May20 Mar15 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 25% 3.10    
SASSY BABE Aug18 Jul13 Jun20 Jun04 May18 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  RITABOOK Aug16 Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 May05 (rigattieri joh)CEDENO CAROL 125 10.00    
IN GOOD TROUBLE Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 May10 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
SISTER SUPREAM Aug19 Jul27 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 10.00    
AVATAL HERO Aug03 Jul11 Jun05 May05 Apr06 (preciado guadal)CENTENO E 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
DEL-3   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUIKO Aug19 Jun30 Jun02 Dec07 Nov23 (ritchey f)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
AFERDITA Aug23 Jul22 Jun30 May31 May04 (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Jun23 Jun10 May12 Apr20 Apr07 (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 122 8.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Aug09 Jun02 Apr30 Apr06 Feb11 (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.50    
HELEONORTIZ Aug19 Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (iannotti tho)ARROYO S 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Aug17 Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May25 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
 
DEL-4   09/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKS WAY Aug17 Oct13 Aug26 Jul21 Jun23 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
THE JUDGE AND JURY Aug04 Jul06 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 (patterson ke)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00 31% 2.30    
BAM BAM BLU May31 Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Jan20 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
JOE PHILLIPS Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Apr14 Mar25 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 20.00    
BIG LOUIE Aug16 Jul27 Jun09 May06 Apr26 (marino ga)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
NICHIREN Aug04 Jun10 May19 Oct15 Sep22 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 11% 8.50    
LORD BERRIER Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 May06 Apr19 (de ka)MARIN A 125 15.00    
IMPERIAL KING Aug17 Apr29 Apr01 Feb17 Feb01 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  LOYAL LOUIE Jul22 Jun17 Jun09 May11 Apr15 (sweezey k)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
SCR  DESTIN'S MISSION Aug11 Jul20 Jul02 Jun18 May01 (servis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
SCR  SILARDI Jul07 Jun09 May14 Apr07 Mar08 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.00    
SCR  KITCHEN FIRE Aug27 Aug04 Jun09 Apr15 Apr01 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
 
DEL-5   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTTOWAY Aug04 Jul03 Dec09 Oct15 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80 57% 0.70    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 Jun28 May19 (borges isra)MARIN A 120 12.00    
TAINO Aug26 Jul22 Jul06 Jun20 May27 (iannotti tho)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
MINISTER QUINN Aug27 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 (machado ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
RUDY ROD Apr16 Mar08 Feb27 Jan03 Dec14 (velazquez alfr)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  TACO BEAN Aug23 Jun28 Jun10 May17 May02 (soto- marti)NUNEZ Y 120 6.00    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Aug23 Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jun16 (pino michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 3.50    
 
DEL-6   09/06/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIE DREAMS Jul21 Jun26 Jun07 May09 Apr11 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 120 15.00    
MIGHTY MEISTER Jul13 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 (rawles alc)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Aug11 Jul04 May02 Jul05 Jun07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 9% 9.50    
GREAT IDEA Aug04 Nov20 Oct29 Oct09 Jul28 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN CITY Aug12 Jul15 May31 Apr20 Mar26 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
COSMIC SPECULATION Aug19 Jul14 Jun03 May06 Apr23 (orseno f)CENTENO E 117 8.00    
MISSION MAN Aug16 Jul08 Jun21 May19 Mar19 (merryman eliza)CEDENO CAROL 117 4.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN QUINT Aug24 Apr13 Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 12.00    
TAP THE GAVEL Aug18 Jul02 May22 Mar26 Feb05 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
10  LAUGHING BOY Aug04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 Apr09 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
 
DEL-7   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HANDSOME MAN Jul14 Jun21 May26 May04 Apr16 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 12.00    
STONECOLDWARRIOR Aug26 Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 Jun30 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 8.00    
TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Aug03 Jul07 Apr28 Mar10   (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.50 35% 1.90    
MEAN TWEETS Aug16 Jul22 Jun23 May06 Apr07 (posadas ped)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 3.00 35% 1.90    
DISCO DEVIL Aug26 Jul26 Jul13     (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 123 2.00 6% 14.50    
WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 May29 May06 (troxell kris)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
 
DEL-8   09/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($28K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST OF BAD BOYS Jul06 May11 Apr22 Mar31   (hamlin ka)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
ERIDROMOS Aug04 Jul09 Jun04 Jul31 May28 (lugovich lis)TROTMAN KEIMAR 117 12.00    
TORO FORWARD Aug26         (aguayo ramon)ARROYO S 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHELLBACK Aug23 Jun17       (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 1.40    
SCR  KINGS ARE WILD Aug12         (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 5.00    
PHOTO COPY Aug23 Jun21 Jun02 Nov05 Oct21 (mcdermott s)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60 63% 0.60    
SCR  LEFTY'S WAR Mar12 Feb12 Feb02 Dec17 Oct06 (lee joseph)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.