Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/1/5)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/2/5)-(8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(8/7)-(5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/7)-(5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(5/6)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2/7/6)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(7/5/6/3)-(3/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY FLATTERING Aug10 Jul10 Jun26 May29 Apr21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
2  LEAD PERFORMER Aug10 Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 May09 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 12% 7.20    
3  SIGN AND SEAL Jul04 Jun14 Apr26 Apr01 Oct24 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  LADY YELLEN Aug10 Aug01 Jul04 May31 May22 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00    
5  LA PANDA Aug10 Aug01 Jun13 May31 Feb10 (cooper thomas)ROJAS MARTINA 110 2.50    
6  BABY DRAGON Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 May24 Oct11 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PID-2   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANA L Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  ORGANZA Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Dec11 Nov22 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
3  ITALIAN TWIN Aug07 Jul10 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 3.50    
4  UPTOWN CHARLOTTE Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (pappada micha)WALKER M 117 6.00    
5  FAMILY BAND Aug14 Jul17 May29 Apr23 Apr08 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  WREAKING HAVOC Aug10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar16 Mar05 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  SGT RECKLESS USMC Jul26 Jul11 May29 Apr21 Feb17 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAINGER COUNTY Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 May15 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50    
2  THE SINNER IS YOU Aug17 Jun20 May29 May17 Oct16 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  GENERAL WINSTON Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 May15 Sep07 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
4  TWIRLING MAMBA Aug09 Jul17 Oct26 Oct10 Aug29 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
5  SUPREMACY Jul26 Sep28 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  CALL ME LATER Oct26 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 (grace john)AYALA J 122 8.00    
 
PID-4   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDOLOBO (IRE) Jul26 Jan08 Sep12     (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H null      
2  GOLD WING Aug10 Jun24 Jan14 Oct13 Sep05 (guciardo john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 ★    
3  CLEMSON TIGER Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 1.40    
4  LAUDERDALE Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 122 12.00    
5  STUNNING BABY Jul31 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 May15 (fernande)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
6  PERCENTAGE Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun06 May17 (sweeting craig)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
7  CEDUNA Jul24 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jul18 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  INCLUSIVE Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Oct13 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 6.00 73% 0.40    
 
PID-5   08/28/2023 6600ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
2  RUNAWAY HARRY Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 May24 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 124 2.00    
SCR  AULT Aug17 Jul18 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
4  BASSETT Jul31 Jun10 May13 Apr15 Mar26 (deville )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
5  SUN DADDY Aug02 Jun12 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  COUNTY COURT Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 Jul03 Jun13 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
PID-6   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF CHARLIE Aug01 Jul10 May17 Oct25 Oct04 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 4.50    
2  WORLDS ON HIGH Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 May19 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  PREGAME Aug07 Jul10 Oct25 Aug14 Jul11 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
4  KNIGHT LEGEND Aug08 Dec09 Nov17 Sep19 Aug24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
5  INAPPROPRIATE Jul24 Jul10 Nov14 Oct12 Sep10 (gutterson kat)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
6  SUPER GREMLIN Aug01 Jul12 May31 Apr29 Mar29 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
7  R ADMIRAL Aug16 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Dec21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.00 12% 7.50    
 
PID-7   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR CREEK Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May16 Jan28 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
2  TONY SMALL Jul26 Jul13 Jun13 May24 Apr22 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
3  CANADIAN GAME Oct06 Sep22 Jan23     (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LITTLE BIG Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May29 (amaya joan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
5  RIO ABAJO Aug09 Jun20 May23 Oct25 Oct12 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
6  GINS AND TINS Aug09 Jul17 Jun20 Jun07 Feb10 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
7  DANEFIELD Aug02 Jul05 Jun02 May16 Aug31 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
8  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 May23 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
 
PID-8   08/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPA NUI Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
2  CONRADO Aug15 Jul17 Jun07 Mar27 Feb13 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 117 4.00    
3  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Aug07 Jul25 Jun07 May29 Feb22 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
4  MAGIC WIZARD Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
5  EL DUQUE Aug14 Aug01 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
6  PITTSBURGH Jul24 Jul10 May06 Mar17 Feb12 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 3.00    
7  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
8  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Aug07 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLUE COSMO Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.