Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/5/2)-(7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(7/2/3)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/6)-(5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(5/2/3)-(1/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/7/6/4)-(3/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/4)-(3/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACON Jun09 May20 Mar24 Feb10 Jan06 (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
2  GUS GUS Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 Jun07 May17 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  GRASSROOTS Jul14 Jul01 Jun09 May27 May12 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 5.00    
SCR  LEAD ACTOR Jul06 Jun17 May20 May06 Apr28 (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  LIGHTNING CASHES Jul20 Jul06 May21 May04 Mar23 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
6  YES POINT May25 Apr29 Jan19 Jan05   (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 3.50    
 
BTP-2   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT J J Jul07 Jun13 May27 May04 Apr25 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 120 1.80    
2  CAPPY HOUR Jul07 Jun21 May27 May18 May04 (adams l)REYES R 120 4.00 5% 17.50    
3  HARD LIGHTING Jul13 Apr21 Jan25 Jan14 Dec24 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  GENERATOR Jul05 Jun07 May06 Apr14 Mar18 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
5  DR. FORMAN Jun08 Mar11 Jan29 Jan15 Dec10 (moquett ronald )ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
BTP-3   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLADIATORA Jul01 Jun14 May08 Nov25 Oct30 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 6.00    
2  LEXINGTON DIAMOND Jul17 Jun17 Apr28 Nov20 Nov02 (roque elis)REYES R 120 4.50 5% 18.60    
3  KENTE KLARKE Jul21 Jan04 Dec21 Nov10 Sep14 (austin st)CORREA L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOGWOODS BECCA Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May26 May18 (scott anthony)PANAIJO JORGE 125 5.00    
SCR  BEAUTYATITSBEST         (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00    
6  DELTA WISHES Jun21 May17 Jan24     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50    
7  SLOAN STREET Jun29 Nov25       (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
 
BTP-4   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN WILL Jun23 Mar13 Feb20 Dec06 Nov13 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
2  EL PEJE Jul12 Jun24 May20 May05 Oct25 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Jul16 Jun18 May23 Apr27 Oct20 (stephen antho)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 7% 12.70    
4  ZAMFIR Jul13 Feb08 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 (tsirigotis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00    
5  RHYTHMIC RULER Jul12 Feb22 Jan12 Dec14 Jul14 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  EL BOHEMIO Jul19 Jul05 May18 Apr27 Mar13 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 117 3.00    
 
BTP-5   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jul14 Apr29 Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
2  MIDNIGHT HURRICANE Jul15 Jan21 Dec28 Nov26 Feb11 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  ALL ABOUT CROGE Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 May18 May07 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 113 6.00    
SCR  MOTOWN MISSILE Jul22 Jun15 May12 Mar19 Feb24 (alessi james)PANAIJO JORGE 118 4.00    
5  ALL JOKES ASIDE Jul13 May18 Apr27 Apr14   (meah m)OUZTS W 118 3.00    
6  HALLOWEEN May02 Apr01 Mar17 Mar04   (grubbs )DE CRUZ 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
BTP-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE A DANDY Jul21 Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 May27 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
2  ABIGAIL G Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 Sep12 (rodak ger)CORREA L 123 4.00 10% 9.50    
3  SISTER JUSTICE Jun17 Jun10 Nov21 Nov08 Oct18 (thompson daniel)BUSH V 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 May18 Sep27 (hernandez d)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
5  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Jul20 Jul07 Jun14 May04 Mar11 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
6  NOT A ROLE MODEL Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 Jun03 May25 (calderon enri)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
 
BTP-7   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANN KOR Jul08 Dec22 Dec07     (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  STRONG PROFILE May27 Apr23       (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 119 5.00    
3  FIRST WARDEN Feb09 Dec15       (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 12.00    
4  AWESOME MARINA Jul08 Apr08 Mar22 Jan04 Dec10 (ramos rafael)REYES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FUNNY CHIC Sep20         (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00    
6  AWESOME VALOR Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 May27 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  SAUNTER Jul18 Jun19 May30 May02 Apr05 (sweeting craig)MCKEE J 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-8   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG BLACK VEIL Jul06 Jun16 May31 Mar30 Mar09 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 117 2.50    
2  WILMORE Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 May02 Mar18 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
3  GET CLEAR Aug18 Jul19 Jul01 May26 May10 (sands shan)CARPIO J 122 4.50 53% 0.90    
4  SHE'S A KEEPER Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 May11 Apr27 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
5  SPIRITCATCHER Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 Apr27 Mar30 (gorder kellyn)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
6  SOULSTONE Jul19 Jun14 May18 Apr29 Apr05 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUCKY SHORE Jul26 Jul07 Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.