Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/6/4)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/2/5)-(7/8/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(7/8/1)-(7/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(7/6/4)-(6/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(6/5/3)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/4/1)-(7/9/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/1)-(7/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/1)-(7/9/1)-(7/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCERITO BLANCO         (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00 9% 10.20    
  (by UNIFIED out of DAYLIGHT RIDE by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  REVENGE TOUR Jul12 Jun22       (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.50    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  ONORE Jun23         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
4  TWO MORE SHOTS Jul03         (morey w)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  STRIKING SPARKS Jul12         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of GAS TOTAL by SULAMANI)
 
BTP-2   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Jul11 Jun13 May16 Apr26 Mar15 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
2  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr14 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
3  INHERENT POWERS Jul05 Jun08 May15 Apr26 Mar01 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00    
4  KNIGHT'S CROSS Jul14 May24 Sep21 Mar05 Jan23 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  POPULIST Jul14 Jun04 Apr19 Mar24 Feb21 (moquett ronald )ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  RAISON KARTER Jul14 Jun21 Jun08 May10 Apr15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-3   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SERENDIPITOUS Jun21 Jun01 May17 Apr26 Apr06 (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 4.50    
2  BLAZING BURROUGHS Jul08 Jun24 May26 Oct24 Sep28 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  DERBY INCLUDED Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 Mar21 Mar06 (cline c)OUZTS W 120 4.00    
4  WHAT A RUSH Sep06 Jul22 Jun03 Apr13 Mar14 (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 5.00    
5  MCGRAW Jul06 Jun02 Oct25 Oct03 Sep16 (bush s)BUSH V 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  STAGE NAME Jun27 Jun02 May08 Apr13 Feb21 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-4   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AADYA         (bush s)BUSH V 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  MORE THAN ROSES Jun23 May24       (ennis john)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZELDA ROSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
3  BRYLEE Jun29 May29 Apr19 Feb15 Jan18 (medina robert)REYES R 120 5.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BLUSTER by STORM CAT)
SCR  ECHOLITE Oct26 Oct01       (reed r)MCKEE J 125 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
5  MAGGIE E Jun27 Oct11 Sep26 Sep07 Jul27 (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
6  MY TALLULAH Jun23 Apr07       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CHIT CHATTER by LOST SOLDIER)
7  Q BOND Feb19 Jan14       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAD PRINCESS by ARTIE SCHILLER)
8  MAMBA OUT Jul08 Jun18 May02     (hill f)COLON H 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INNYMINNIEMINEYMOE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BTP-5   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIRD SET FREE Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Apr18 Mar09 (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 125 20.00    
SCR  PINK SOLITAIRE Jun30         (kendall elise)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00    
3  DARTIGA Jul07 Jun17 Mar31 Mar15 Feb08 (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
4  BLOSSOM DIVA Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 May16   (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 115 10.00 11% 8.40    
5  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Jul09 Jan16 Jan01 Dec15 Nov30 (calvo kelsie)COLON H 120 10.00    
6  RECOGNIZE ME Feb02 Sep28       (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Jul12 Jun17 May26 May11 Apr27 (bush s)MOJICA JR 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  WITCHING HOUR (FR) Jul07 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr23 (danner do)CORREA L 120 2.50    
9  GAMBI Jul14 Jun29 Jun07 May13 May05 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00    
 
BTP-6   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO COMMISSION Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 Mar12 Dec31 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 124 3.50    
2  TWOBIRDSONESTONE Jul05 Jun22 Jul22 Jun25 May26 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00    
3  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Jul07 Nov30 Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 (alessi james)PANAIJO JORGE 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  VENICE BEACH Jun29 May22 Apr27 Nov22 Nov11 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 4.00    
5  LOCK ON Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Jun01 May05 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  SUGGESTED Jul13 Jun17 May25 May13 May04 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  CAPE MARCO DRIVE May19 May06 Apr27 Jan16 Jan02 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 119 12.00    
 
BTP-7   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINY'S DARLING Jun24 Jun09 May17 Jan28 Dec30 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  BELIEVING (IRE) Jun24 Jun09 May17 May04 Apr10 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  LADA KALINA Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr20 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 112 6.00    
4  HABOBANERO Jun24 May04 Mar16 Feb08 Jan20 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH Jul21 Dec15 Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 122 5.00    
6  YOGURT Jun24 May17 Dec15 Nov30 Nov15 (short derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
 
BTP-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCOMMON GRACE Jul03         (minnock g)OUZTS W 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SWIGERT May17 Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 (caramori eduar)REYES R 125 5.00    
SCR  HEBRIDES Jul09 May29 Mar15     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
4  IN A PEACH Jun29 Jun08 Oct13 Sep14 Sep02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
SCR  BLUE TORNADO Jun29 Jun10       (bindner wal)STERRITT KENDAL 125 20.00    
SCR  CAPTIVE STAR Jul21 Jul07 May12 Apr26 Feb23 (cline rob)CORREA L 120 10.00    
7  VOGELSANG Jun27 Jun06 May24 May03 Mar25 (ewing michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  MACI'S GEMSTONE Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Sep16 Sep02 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
9  GRACIE'S KITTEN Jul12 Apr16 Mar10 Oct05 Aug19 (maker mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  LASS QUISTMAS         (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.