Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/7/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6/3)-(4/7/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6/3)-(4/7/5/6/3)-(4/7/5/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6/3)-(2/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/6/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(3/10/2/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(3/10/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/3)-(3/10/2/8/7)-(6/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/10/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/8/7)-(3/10/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/8/7)-(3/10/2/8/7)-(3/10/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/2/8/7)-(6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2/8/7)-(6/2/3)-(1/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/6/4)-(7/4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(7/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7/4/2/3)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/3)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON DIVA Jun15 Jun03 Feb24 Jan01 Dec16 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
2  TICK ALERT Jul06 May12 Oct24 Sep29   (crane clovi)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
3  PRIDEFUL VILLANO         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 18.30    
4  WISE CHOICE Jun16 May25 May11     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  OBJET D'ART         (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
6  GANBATTE         (merryman )RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
7  WEST ABBOTT Jun16 May12 Apr20 Feb23   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 8% 11.70    
8  YELOMA Jun18 May25 May03 Mar07 Oct08 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
9  TEMPTRESS CALLING Jul06 Jun17 Jun04 Jul10   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 30.00    
10  ARTIE'S PROSPECT Jun24         (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 12.00    
 
PEN-2   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DEVOLUTION Jun21 Apr27 Feb23 Jan04 Dec16 (albright amy)CORA D 122 6.00    
2  LA PAZ Jun21 May26 Jan19 Dec06 Nov15 (smith thoma)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
3  BENCH PRESS Jun21 May31 May05 Mar16 Feb16 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jun21 Jun14 May17 Apr27 Mar29 (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
5  CHIEF REIDER Jun09 Sep24 Jul29 Jul09   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr27 Feb25 (rathman elisha)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
7  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Jun21 May31 May10 Aug25 Jul18 (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 122 4.50 6% 15.40    
8  FIERCE AND STRONG Jul07 May26 May11 Mar31 Mar02 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
 
PEN-3   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR May12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan11 Jan15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
2  BORN HAPPY Jun06 Mar22 Feb23 Dec02 Nov13 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BETWEEN THE COVERS Jun21 Jun02 Dec03 Nov05 Sep24 (alvarado diane)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 65% 0.50    
4  RIPKEN Jun29 Jun05 May19 Sep24 Aug19 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 4.50    
5  COMBATING Jul06 Jun21 May25 May10 Mar23 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
6  KING TSUNAMI Jun02 Oct13 Sep10 Aug20 Jun24 (wyatt j)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00    
7  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jul10 May30 Apr17 Mar01 Jan19 (stites w)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHISKIED UP Jun28 Jun14 May26 Apr19 Feb16 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LOVE ME ARCHIE Jul07 Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 Dec29 (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
10  CABAR SUL Jul06 Jun21 May31 May03 Jan12 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  I LUCKED OUT Jun18 Nov22 Sep24     (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S FANCY FREE Jun28 May26 May05 Apr19 Mar24 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00    
2  TWIST OF FAITH Jul06 Jun17 Jul10 Jun22 Apr13 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  MIDNIGHT STRIKES Jun14 Oct21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug15 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  BOB'S OUR UNCLE Jun29 Jun14 May19     (shea lydee)CORA D 124 6.00    
5  WHAT'S HIS NAME Jun29 Jun16       (crane clovi)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
6  SIR STEELE Jun28 May26 May05 Mar16 Mar08 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 1.50 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE GOLD Jun28 Jun09 May17 Apr19 Mar23 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  COAST TO COAST Jun28 Jun09 May26 Apr28 Apr20 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00    
3  SHIELD OF FAITH Jun28 Jun11 Jun03 May15 Apr30 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 2.50    
4  E T'S SUPER STAR Jun28 Jun20 May24 Apr19 Mar16 (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TACTICAL PLAN Jul03 Jun20 May29 May20 May10 (arce josue)OCASIO M 124 3.00    
6  BERHANU Jun28 Jun16 May17 Apr19 Apr07 (albright r)FLORES E 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
PEN-6   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNUENDO (IRE) Jun29 Jun09 May24 May05 Mar30 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
2  LIONESQUE Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May04 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  PEAKY BLINKERS Jul06 Jun16 May24 May05 Apr20 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul06 Jun16 May18 Apr28 Mar30 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
5  ABHAR Jul06 Jun20 May19 Mar08 Feb23 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00    
SCR  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) May17 Apr27 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
7  COFFEE WITH ALEX Jun29 May01 Apr05 Apr23 Mar24 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
8  ON THE EDGE Jun29 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-7   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI CLEOPATRA AND I Jun29 Jun17 May31 May12 Aug17 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 68% 0.50    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Jun22 May24 May19 Apr19 Mar22 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Jun28 Jun16 May25 May04 Mar22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00    
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jun29 May25 May11 Mar08 Jan11 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00    
5  MARIANNA QUEEN Jun28 May31 Apr18 Mar29 Mar17 (santaella-cal)PEREZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RISQUE'S JEWEL Jun18 May16 Apr24 Feb23 Feb06 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.