Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(5/3/8/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(5/3/8/4)-(3/2/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/4)-(3/2/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/4)-(3/2/6/1)-(1/4/3/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(1/4/3/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(1/4/3/2/6)-(1/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/4/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2/6)-(1/4/3/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2/6)-(1/4/3/2/6)-(1/4/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2/6)-(1/8/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2/6)-(1/8/6)-(2/6/7/1/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(2/6/7/1/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(2/6/7/1/9)-(6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/6/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/1/9)-(2/6/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/1/9)-(2/6/7/1/9)-(2/6/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/7/1/9)-(6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/1/9)-(6)-(7/3/9/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
PID-7   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(7/3/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/3/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/2/8)-(7/3/9/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/2/8)-(7/3/9/2/8)-(7/3/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Jun27 Apr23 Jan29 Dec17 Oct11 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KING OF THE RING Jun20 Jun05 Apr15 Apr03 Feb21 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.00    
3  AULT Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  BOOMIN GOOSE Jun27 Jun14 May29 May15 Sep06 (cheeks katy)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jul11 Jun12 May30 May23 Apr14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
6  FLAWLESS BOURBON Jun21 Nov23 Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
7  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 Oct03 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
 
PID-2   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Jul03         (russell randall)ALLEN M 118 10.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of SEPTEMBERSHALFMOON by MISNOMER)
2  LUMI Jun26 Jun07 May15 Jul26 Jun23 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 106 6.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS FOREESTA by GRAND SLAM)
3  WON SMALL WARRIOR         (girten tim)ALLEN D 118 4.50 10% 8.90    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
4  GRUIT         (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00 7% 12.40    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
5  NATURE TRAIL Jul03 May22 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 (judd cassandra)WALES GARY 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  CALL ME NOW         (girten tim)AYALA J 118 6.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CALL ME SWIFT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DONAHUE Jul03         (faulkner joshua)STANLEY O 118 12.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
8  KOTYLOS Jul03 Jun05 May15 Oct18 Sep07 (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 8% 11.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
 
PID-3   07/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jul05 May24 Oct25 Oct06 Sep29 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  QUARTERMASTER Jun20 Jun05 May15 Oct03 Sep19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  GREG'S HONOR Jul04 Jun13 May29 Feb22 Jan29 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  NIGHT TIME RULER Jun21 May30 May10 Apr11 Mar21 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
5  CREATIVE CHOICE Jun27 Jun12 May29 Apr29 Apr07 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
6  RUNAWAY HARRY Jul03 Jun21 May24 May11 Apr16 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
7  ADIOS BOBBY Jul04 May03 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00    
 
PID-4   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ TIME GIRL Jun20 May15 Feb26 Jun30 Apr22 (morrell r)SPIETH S 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  EMALTHA Nov25         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  UPTOWN CHARLOTTE Jun20 Jun06 May23 May03 Apr04 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 4.00 11% 8.30    
4  I'M HEADING EAST Jun20 Jun07 May22 Apr06 Mar10 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  BROKEN LOVE Jun20 Jun06 May23 Oct06 Sep29 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00    
6  GIO'S MY DAD Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Dec04 Nov23 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  LT. LYDIA Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May15 Jul26 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
8  WIFEY MATERIAL Apr05 Mar17 Feb22 Feb03 Jan20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
9  CHICKEN TALK Jul04 Jun20 Sep07     (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 20.00    
 
PID-5   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN OF CONTROL Jul05 Jan04 Oct26 Jul30 Jul08 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  SPIRITED DEBATE Jun27 Jun13 May29 Oct26 Oct18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
3  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr07 Apr01 (brooks gerald)WALKER M 116 6.00    
4  VOORHEES Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 May16 Mar22 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 116 8.00    
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Jul05 Jun06 May16 Sep20 Sep10 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 109 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALL ME PEAK Oct26 Oct05 Jul26 Jul07   (grace john)AYALA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  VELOCIMO May30 May21 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 116 2.50    
8  ASPLUNDER Jul05 Jun19 May30 May16 Mar19 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 116 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
PID-6   07/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE DRAGON         (rice adam)ROJAS MARTINA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of WESTSHORE ROAD by PHILANTHROPIST)
2  UNCLE KENNY May31         (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PHYLLIS ANN by PUT IT BACK)
3  GAMBOLING GHOST         (dacosta jason)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DANCINGWITHDEBBIE by GREEN DANCER)
4  EMPTY MY POUCH Jun14         (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of DELILAH'S SEVEN by SKY MESA)
5  POKER PARTNER         (dacosta )GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of JUSTGIMMEAKISS by CONGRATS)
6  HECTOR         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
7  FACE DOWN Jul03 Jun14       (girten tim)ALLEN D 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RUTHERFORD RD by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  SO CLOSE SO FAR         (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ONE FAST CHICK by FIRST DEFENCE)
9  KEY WEST O'KATIE         (hayes w)SPIETH S 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of MORE THAN THIS by DIXIELAND HEAT)
 
PID-7   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIP CODE ENVY Jun21 May30 May15 Mar26 Feb25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 116 4.50    
SCR  WREAKING HAVOC Apr29 Apr14 Mar16 Mar05 Feb05 (martin n)RIQUELME J 116 8.00    
3  RITAAN Jun19 May18 Mar25     (mckeever)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
SCR  SHORTY MAC Jun16 Aug17       (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 10.00    
SCR  CALVARY KAT Jul03         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  SHE'S REDNECKER Mar26 Feb25 Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  DREAMFUL Jan12 Dec21 Oct20 Sep22 May12 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
 
PID-8   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNX Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 Feb22 Feb04 (stokes lance)WALES GARY 122 15.00    
2  SMARTY JOHN Jun19 Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 Oct20 (roman d)RIQUELME J 122 12.00 11% 7.80    
3  ROWDY JESS Jun27 Jun12 May24 Apr02 Mar18 (fennessy joh)AYALA J 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  GIACOMETTI Jul05 Jun19 May29 May09 Apr26 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50    
SCR  GET ALONG Jul04 Jun19 May29 May20 May07 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
6  SILVER TOKEN Jun19 Jun05 May24 May08 Jul28 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
7  CROWLEY'S WAR Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 Jan29 Dec21 (wismer glenn )ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  THOUSAND LOVES Jul04 Jun20 Feb15 Jan15 Dec21 (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GYPSY KITTEN Jun19 Jun13 May31 May22 Mar08 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
10  GOLDEN OAK Jul12 Jun19 May31 May08 Feb16 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.