Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/2/3)-(1/7/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/7/8/6)-(6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(6/4/3)-(1/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/8/4/5)-(1/7/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/5)-(1/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(2/5/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5)-(2/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY PARKER FLY         (martinez david )CRUZ M 119 8.00    
SCR  SHILSHOLE BAY         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.00    
SCR  CRITICAL VELOCITY         (cryderman s)RADKE K 119 3.50    
4  SODA SPRINGS (CHI)         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 10.00 6% 16.10    
5  SHELBY SHORTSTOP Jun17         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80 67% 0.50    
6  SPECIAL DIVA Jun17         (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 4.00    
 
EMD-2   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATALICIOUS Jun24 Jun10 May27 May14 Apr19 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 121 1.80    
2  TENNESSEE MOON Jun18 Jun03 May13 Mar31 Feb10 (baze robert)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50    
3  SHESRSECRETWEAPON Jun11 May28 May14 Aug19 Aug06 (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 May28 May13 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS ACCELERATE Jun24 May27 May14 Mar24 Mar04 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
EMD-3   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING TO GOLD May28 Sep17       (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
2  CHEATER'S WALTZ May21 May06 Apr09 Mar25 Mar09 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  MISCHIEF MAME Jun11 Jun03 May21 May01 Apr22 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 13% 6.40    
4  CALIFORNIA HALO Jun17 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25   (gibson vince)MATIAS J 121 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  TICTALOODIE         (bullock steve)RADKE K 125 6.00    
6  NOMI LACKEE May06 Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 Sep02 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 1.80    
 
EMD-4   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADLEES HONOR Jul01 Jun11 May27 May13 Apr17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  LARSEN BAY Jun24 Jun09 May21 Sep18 Sep10 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
SCR  LIE AND DENY Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 Sep11 Aug12 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00    
4  OXBOW PARK Jun24 Jun03 Sep18 Aug28 Aug21 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 5.00    
5  DECIMATE Jun24 Jun09 May20 Sep10 Aug19 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 123 4.00    
6  DEVILS WORKSHOP Jun04 Apr17 Feb08 Jan19 Jan02 (koler steve)OROZCO E 123 20.00 9% 10.60    
7  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jun23 May20 Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
8  BARBARIAN Jul01 Jun09 May29 May20 Feb15 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 4.50 13% 6.70    
 
EMD-5   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jun18 Jun10 May14 Mar12 Dec11 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50    
2  FEATHER INTHE WIND Jun10 Jun04 May14 Sep17 Sep03 (navarro jose)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
3  SMILING THUNDER Jun23 May28 May21 Mar19 Mar05 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  BIG FASHION Jun23 Jun10 Aug27 Aug07 Jul10 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 1.80 23% 3.40    
5  BLOWING BAYOU Jun23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug13 (abrahamson m)ZACHERLE LOUIS 123 15.00    
6  CLASSIC LEAH Jul02 May21 Sep11 Aug14 Aug06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
EMD-6   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CLASSIC Jun25 Jun11 May28 Dec30 Dec10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  MOONLIGHTNWINE Jun25 Jun11 May28 May13 Dec09 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 3.50    
3  TAP THE BANK Jun11 May29 Mar12 Feb19 Jan24 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
4  RAMPATIOUS Jun23 Jun11 May28 May21 Mar26 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 123 5.00 6% 14.50    
5  C JAXON Jun17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 (balcom cliff)ZACHERLE LOUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAGO DE ORO Jun04 May13 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 10.00    
7  WINTER SOLDIER May28 Apr26 Apr05 Feb18 Feb06 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 6.00    
8  NATION OF FAITH Jun25 Jun09 May20     (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
EMD-7   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRT ROAD RED Jun23 Jun10 May21 May06 Apr15 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  EXECUTIVE CHEF May28 May12 Apr23 Apr02 Aug14 (wright blain)OROZCO E 123 4.50    
SCR  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jun11 May20 Mar19 Feb27 Feb07 (cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
4  HOLIDAY HUSTLE Jun10 May21 Apr30 Apr02 Mar11 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
5  COASTAL JAZZ Jun25 Jun11 May20 Sep17 Sep09 (bullock steve)RADKE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jun23 Jun11 May20 Dec14 Nov21 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 12.00 6% 15.30    
7  GOLD CRUSHER Jun23 Jun02 May01 Apr11 Mar14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
8  COBRA JET Jun17 May28 Jan10 Dec21 Nov29 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 5.00    
 
EMD-8   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANAALABOUTDAMONEY Jun25 May22 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
2  GOLD RUSH CANDY Jun18 May29 May21 Apr04 Mar19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  DUSALUT May14 Apr12 Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 4.00 6% 15.40    
4  THIRSTY KISS Jul03 May27 May13 Mar12 Feb21 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 20.00    
5  ROUSING RUBBLE Jun24 May28 Apr22 Mar28 Mar08 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 4.50 19% 4.40    
6  SPIRE Jun18 Jun03 May05 Apr25 Apr10 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 6.00 7% 13.10    
7  NATIONHEART Jul01 Jun18 May28 Sep04 Aug21 (soranno jill)ZACHERLE LOUIS 123 10.00    
8  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jul01 Jun10 Apr08 Mar04 Feb13 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.