Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (3/1/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-3   Win (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-4   Win (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-5   Win (11/9/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-6   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-7   Win (5/2/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGLORYBEE Sep27 Sep13 Aug13 Jul23   (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
PUNCHIE Jun19 Jan08 Dec16     (duhon joseph)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
THE BOYZ PRIORITY May28         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SPARKIN May27 May14 Apr23 Mar19 Feb04 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
SERRANO'S WARRIOR Oct22 May24       (johnson )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM         (dunn ray)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT DADDY         (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
TONTERIA         (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRUTTIN APRIORITY May28 May06 Jun15 May19 Feb20 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50    
 
LAD-2   07/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HEAVY SON Jun18 May21 Mar16 Feb21 Dec17 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
SHADY GRADY Jun11 May20 Nov11 Sep11 Jul23 (romero gerald )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
THE THIMBLE Oct29 Sep17 Aug29 Aug20 Jul10 (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
PAYNTED LOVER Jun11 May29 May07 Feb11 Jan18 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 3.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Jun18 May22 Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
 
LAD-3   07/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREACH IT GIRL Jun17 Jun04 May03 Apr24 Apr05 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 2.50    
VALLEJO Feb23 Jan06 Dec07 Mar02 Feb11 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00    
BLUEBIRD SING Jun11 May21 Feb03 Dec07 Aug08 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
ALYS EPISODE May21 Feb22 Feb09 Dec16 Nov26 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 6.00    
MISS JAMIE Jun11 Feb03 Dec29 Dec03 Oct28 (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
THINKITASADONATION Jun18 May27 May07 Apr29 Apr02 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SWEET SLEW Jun18 May11 Apr30 Apr23 Mar03 (govea cesar)SINGH R 118 3.00    
TWN MS MIDSHIP May29 May14 Feb24 Jan26 Sep13 (nixon w)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jun12 May14 Apr28 Apr14 Mar10 (hewitt michael)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
 
LAD-4   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INAWIC Jun17 May28 Apr27 Mar18 Feb11 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
GIRL THIRSTY May21 Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 2.50 10% 8.60    
AVERI EVER AFTER Jun10 May21 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 (duke steven)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCESS May29 May07 Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
SEE SASSY RUN Jun10 May20 Apr19 Mar16 Mar01 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 10% 9.10    
A. K. A. GRAMS May20 Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 (weeks kenneth)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
NEW YEAR'S PARTY May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 (weeks kenneth)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
COMMERCIAL FLASH May20 Mar23 Mar04 Jan16 Dec29 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00    
 
LAD-5   07/01/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGRE'S LION KING Jun12 May06 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 (singh s)SINGH R 124 3.00 6% 17.00    
CHROME RUN May27 Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.50    
GHOST COWBOY Jan27 Nov10 Oct19 Jul15 Apr23 (briley lonnie)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 10.00    
CHIEF ALPHA Jun23 Jun09 Apr20 Jan20 Jan08 (del erick)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
SCR  BAD DECISIONS Jun10 Feb25 Dec15 Nov12 Jul24 (cangemi r)BOREL H 124 12.00    
BREAD WINNER Jun04 May22 May05 Apr23 Mar25 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
PINCH HITTER May06 Nov05 Sep24 Aug14 Jul11 (romero d)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
KING OF CONTRABAND May22 Feb28 Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER LOVER Jun16 May28 May07 Mar31 Mar18 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
10  NOBLE HONOR Feb18         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
11  REVERENT Jun12 May22 May06 Mar23 Mar05 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-6   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOSIER May22 Apr12 Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 (mouton chadwic)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
LUCAS ZIP IT May11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 (journet albert)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
PITCH AND RUN May22 Feb09 Jan28 Jan13 Oct20 (dunn ray)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
MR. CROMWELL May27 Apr28 Mar26 Mar11 Feb05 (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.50    
BIG BOO Jun04 May15 Mar26 Mar10 Jan22 (singh s)SINGH R 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
REDDINGANDLEE Jun03 May14 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
GUTZY May06 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
PAPIRINGO May15 Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 4.50    
 
LAD-7   07/01/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW NOW MAN Dec09 Sep11 Aug30 Jul31 Jun27 (cascio j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
WISH UPON A STAR Dec09 Nov26 Oct12 Aug26 Jul20 (delany sarah)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
MR. FOUR SEVENS May30 Mar16 Mar03 Jan20 Dec09 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
BAYOU SARGE Jun17 Jun05 Apr15 Mar11 Mar04 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 2.50    
CARLOS PUNCH Jun18 May29 May14 Apr08 Feb15 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
JUJU NINETEEN Jun11 Mar16 Feb21 Jan22 Jan01 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 124 4.50    
ITS A CITY DAY May29 Dec14 Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 4.00    
COUNTERFEIT May18 Apr28 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 (thomas lee)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00    
BODEE BODEE May30 May13 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00    
10  SABER RUN May30 May06 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
11  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Jun15 May13 Jul31 Jun21   (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 10% 8.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.