Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(7/8/3)-(7/3/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/3/2/4)-(7/8/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/3)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3)-(7/3/4/6)-(1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-3   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/6)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/6)-(1/7)-(8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/3/10/2)-(1/7/3/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7)-(8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(8/6)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/5/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/5/4/7)-(8/6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(5/6/4)-(9/4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/9)-(5/6/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(9/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(9/4/3/6)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (9/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/6)-(9/4/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/6)-(9/4/3/6/5)-(9/4/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/3/6)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/6)-(5/1/3)-(7/11/10/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/11/10/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/11/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/10/3/5)-(7/11/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/10/3/5)-(7/11/10/3/5)-(7/11/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A P HUMOR May03 Feb23 Nov22 Nov11 Jul16 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  KATIE'S C Apr26 Mar15 Feb02 Jan06 Nov18 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00    
3  MAVE RUNNER Mar10 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct15 (larrosa ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
4  JUST ANOTHER WIN Apr27 Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 Nov25 (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 2.50 11% 7.70    
5  ANIME DAY Apr28 Apr12 Jan26 Jan12 Jan04 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
6  DARING DARIAN Apr12 Feb25 Feb02 Jan06   (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00    
7  HOT PATOOTIE Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb20 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
EVD-2   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZULTAN Oct15 Jul15 Mar25 Feb11 Jan05 (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 123 15.00    
2  CHICKEN TRUCK Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 Jan21 Nov30 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 ★    
3  TRADER PRICE Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Jan26 Dec11 (david b)THORNTON G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MO CREDO Apr29 Mar26 Feb28 Jan26 Dec11 (modica oscar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
5  ZAICI Feb20 Jan28 Oct12 Sep17 Aug14 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 118 5.00    
6  TARAASHOQ Apr01 Mar16 Mar06 Feb09 Jan28 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
7  BILOXI May05 Feb23 Nov10 Oct20 Aug01 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 2.50 62% 0.60    
8  GOLDUSTER Apr28 Mar15 Feb11     (landry ray)STOKES J 123 8.00 9% 10.10    
9  VIKING LEGACY Apr28 Mar10 Feb16 Jan13 Dec27 (woodley)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 
EVD-3   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLA'S BABY May06         (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
2  MARDI GRAS GORMLEY Feb04 Jan22       (breaux samuel)STOKES J 123 20.00    
3  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR May03 Apr20 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 113 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  GYPSY JACKPOT Apr22 Mar18 Feb15 Jan27 Jan14 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  SUNSET FLASH Apr20 Jun30 Jun04 May20 Apr13 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 123 12.00    
6  PENNIES FOR PAULLA May03 Dec08       (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
7  TAKING PICTURES Apr27 Feb28 Dec10 Nov12 Jul23 (briley )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
8  GLAMOROUS STAR Apr15 Mar24       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00    
 
EVD-4   05/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLINONABUDJET Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Feb04 Jan07 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
2  GET THEM JUSTIN May03 Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 Aug26 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 4.50 ★    
3  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Apr13 Feb25 Dec10 Nov11 Oct08 (chatters ben)BARRERA J 113 6.00 ★    
4  NORTHERNREFLECTION May03 Mar26 Mar08 Feb24 Jan26 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 118 15.00    
5  PLAY MO May03 Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 Nov26 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
6  WOODS N WATER Apr21 Mar12 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
7  VENN Apr13 Mar12 Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  IZZY'S BABY BOY Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb21 Jan29 (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 118 20.00    
9  M AND M'S CUSTOM Apr15 Feb28 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
10  COSMIC TRAIN May05 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Jan25 (delhomme jerry)MELANCON G 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  DOCTOR LEO May06 Apr20 Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 8.00    
 
EVD-5   05/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY ALLIE KAT Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan01 (ellis rand)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
2  CLEVER PRINCE Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 (bonin jr)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
3  UNBRIDLED PULPIT May10 Apr26 Mar24 Feb28 Jan18 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
4  DEMON HUNTER May10 Mar04 Jan22 Jan01 Dec08 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 120 5.00 ★    
5  JOEY'S GAME Apr22 Mar22 Feb23 Jan28   (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 3.00 ★    
6  FORGED IN STEEL Apr26 Mar04 Dec22 Nov02 Jun04 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Apr27 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 10.00 ★    
8  BIG BROTHER May05 Apr11 Mar27 Jan28 Jan13 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 1.80 75% 0.30    
9  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Feb18 Jan21 Jan05 Dec08 Nov19 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
10  WHEELS TURNING Apr26 Feb22 Jan25 Dec19 Dec01 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
 
EVD-6   05/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOAST TO THE GIRLS         (robinsjr aaron)STOKES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZIPPY TOGA Apr28 Feb01 Nov19     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 15.00    
3  SWEET PRESENT Apr20 Mar19 Feb19 Jan20 Dec19 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50    
4  NO YIELD         (pike l)THORNTON G 118 10.00 20% 4.00    
5  FLYING CAROLINA Mar19         (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  MY PAL SWEET Apr20 Mar22       (thomas lee)STOKES J 115 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  MOTANAAFER Mar24 Mar05 Aug30 Aug23 Aug01 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 5.00    
8  ALL TOGETHER Apr28 Feb09 Jan15 Dec31   (demouchet ri)TAYLOR BETHANY 115 12.00    
9  CHILI RED Mar22 Feb17 Nov09 Oct14   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  DEVIL'S HARVEST Apr28         (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
SCR  ASTERN BANKER May03 Apr20 Feb20 Feb03   (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SIMPLY WOW Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Dec11 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 114 15.00    
SCR  RED OCTOBER Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 Feb17 Feb03 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
SCR  G'S LAW Apr16 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 (west g)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
 
EVD-7   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO'S SONG Feb03 Jan07       (meza martin)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00    
  (by FLASHY WISE CAT out of HALO'S BANDIT by WITH APPROVAL)
2  CALCITE Apr15 Mar25       (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
3  SHE'S WAYNE'S Feb11 Jan27 Dec20 Sep12 Jun03 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 123 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
4  GRACE HAZEL Apr15 Mar09       (terre david)THORNTON G 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MANDY D by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
5  TENSAS BERTIE Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 Jan13   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00 ★    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
6  MISS ST. CLAIRE Apr27 Apr15 Feb24     (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLANCO CANYON by LONE STAR SKY)
7  STARSHIP NOLA Apr22 Mar12 Feb12 Jan01 Oct12 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MUTAKAWAY by MUTAKDDIM)
8  PORTO DEL ACE May06         (averett ronni)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 12.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of FRANCESCA DEL PORT by PORTO FORICOS)
9  TONI'S M May05 Apr15       (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
EVD-8   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME VISIT Apr20 Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan11 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS May06 Apr14 Mar24 Mar09 Jan27 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
3  GRUNT Feb10 Jan05 Dec01 Oct19 Aug03 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
4  BIND FAITH Apr21 Mar16 Feb20 Jan26 Jan08 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 120 3.50    
5  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Apr19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  SADIE'S LIGHT May06 Apr15 Feb16 Jan11 Nov04 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
SCR  FATHER GOOSE Apr21 Mar22 Mar05 Feb02 Jan18 (courville rick)THORNTON G 120 2.00    
 
EVD-9   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATINANDSCATIN Apr29 Apr13 Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 (richard russ)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
2  PALANTE Apr29 Jun30 Jun10 May14 Apr27 (woodley j)POMPELL L 120 5.00    
3  IN DETAIL Feb16 Jan20 Jan07 Dec19 Oct20 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 113 12.00 6% 15.20    
4  D W STRONG         (turner dennis)STOKES A 123 20.00    
5  CORN SOUP Apr27 Apr08 Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE FIVE B'S Apr29 Mar16 Mar02 Feb20 Feb03 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 3.50    
7  LET HIM DO Mar25 Mar03 Dec10 Dec03 Oct30 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
8  G E H GIANTS WAY Apr20 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
9  TUCKER THE GRUMP Apr26 Apr13 Mar26 Mar01 Dec31 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 20.00    
10  IDE LIKE HAWAII Apr27 Apr08 Feb18 Feb01 Jan18 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 12% 7.50    
11  JACKIE MOON May05 Apr23 Mar31 Mar19 Mar03 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.