Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4)-(3/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/2)-(3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3)-(5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/1)-(4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/1)-(5/6/7/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/6/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI ISLAND Apr28 Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Sep20 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 10% 9.20    
2  BUDDHA BOY Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 Feb22 Jan12 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00    
3  NOBLES FEELINGS Nov16 Oct17 Sep28 Sep16 Aug26 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 120 6.00    
4  BARRY'S MUSIC Apr19 Aug12       (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.50 44% 1.30    
5  EL MIC TIESUN Apr28 Apr12 Feb26 Feb16 Jan22 (mardif james )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50 17% 4.70    
6  GRASSROOTS Apr28 Mar11 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (shifflett ch)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.50    
 
BTP-2   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOT RUB LOVE May04 Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50    
2  ADDISON May02 Mar11 Feb16 Feb03 Jan13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Mar19 Feb25 Jan11 Dec23 Dec04 (hiles a)MCKEE J 121 1.40 33% 2.00    
4  SINGSONG BIRD Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 Dec02 (sherman just)MARCANO Y 116 3.00    
 
BTP-3   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLEST LIFE Mar16 Mar09 Feb08 Jun21 May23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.20 65% 0.50    
2  GOSHEN Apr27 Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Jan23 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 115 4.00    
3  SPARE A DIME Apr28 Mar16 Feb22 Jan12 Dec16 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00    
4  MOONSHINE DREAMER Sep20 Aug28 Jul22 Jul07 Jun01 (delong ben)MAYTA J 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
BTP-4   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARFAIT Apr12 Oct29 Sep23 Aug26 Jul25 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50    
2  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  TELLER TO SING Apr19 Mar24 Feb16 Jan19 Nov12 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.40 51% 1.00    
SCR  TEXAS MAGIC Mar17 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec21 (andrade h)CORREA L 121 2.50    
 
BTP-5   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE DANCER Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug12 Jul04 (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 121 3.00 ★    
2  SENORA PANQUEQUES Apr27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 Dec12 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50    
3  WILDCAT LADY Sep23 Aug04 Jun30 May24   (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 1.20 49% 1.00    
4  EARLY BLOOMER Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 Sep23 Aug12 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 4.00    
 
BTP-6   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS PHILLY Mar29 Apr29 Apr16 Apr03 Mar09 (hamm timot)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS Oct29 Feb11 Jan08     (sims matt)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 2.50    
3  CAPTIVE STAR Apr26 Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50    
SCR  UNCOMMON GRACE         (minnock g)OUZTS W 119 6.00    
5  BODIEFUL Apr18 Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 (wittek kary)PETERSON FERRIN 125 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
BTP-7   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASTY STRIKE Apr28 Mar23       (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  PAST IMPERATIVE Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 May03   (sandy s)FELIX E 125 3.50    
3  ECCENTRICO Jan28 Apr20 Apr03 Jan22 Jan01 (hamilton sarah)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.00    
4  SMART DRESSER Apr21 Mar17 Feb24     (hamm timothy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  RIDGERUNNER May04         (mardif ja)CORREA L 125 5.00    
 
BTP-8   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY IS GOOD Apr28 Feb01 Jan13 Dec28 Oct11 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
2  YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA Apr06 Mar18 Jan06 Dec21 Nov09 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00    
3  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Mar27 Oct22 Oct06 Sep22   (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
4  KNELCOCK May04 Apr19 Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00 10% 8.80    
5  SOPHISTICATED Apr05 Feb08 Jan06 Dec22 Dec03 (anderson susan )REYES FRANK 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  GORILLA GIRL Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb01 Apr21 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  ENDLESS Apr05 Mar18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.