Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/6/4)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(1/2)-(6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/5)-(2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(2/7/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/7/6)-(7/3/1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
HAW-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(7/3/1)-(1/4/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(1/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP N TWINE Apr16 Mar09 Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
2  SUPERSTAR DIVA Mar26 Dec17 Dec03 Nov20 Aug23 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  SMILE AT THE STORM Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 Dec15 Oct13 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
4  BAILESTON LASSIE Sep09 Aug19 Jun24 Jun10 May24 (jansen kenn)ORTEGA O 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
5  ARCH FLYER Apr22 Apr09 Mar23 Dec16 Nov20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  FANCY EMPRESS Apr16 Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 Dec28 (campbell joe)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00    
 
HAW-2   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODSGIFT Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 Oct28 Oct07 (rose wayne)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00    
2  MORNING LINE NEWS Apr28 Mar18 Feb08 Jan13 Dec30 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00    
3  NIFF Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 Mar19 Mar09 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 8.00    
4  BERTRADA Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 Dec11 Dec03 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80 11% 7.80    
5  AUNT STELLA Apr30 Apr09 Mar16 Mar07 Feb09 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  MY LADY SLEW Apr13 Mar19 Dec18 Dec02 Oct21 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-3   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH TO THE CASH Apr16 Mar26 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of SUE'S CREEK by STORM CREEK)
2  SILVER CHILLER Apr16 Mar26       (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 111 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
SCR  SMOOTH ATTACK Apr13 Mar26 Dec30 Dec16 Nov19 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
4  MAN ON ATTACK Apr16 Mar26 Mar09 Dec17 Nov25 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SOUTHERN WONDER by CHICAGO SIX)
5  FLYING CRICKET Mar26         (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
6  A P BLAZING GREEN Apr16 Mar26 Sep09 Jul08 Jun24 (witthauer j)ORTEGA O 124 3.50 ★    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
 
HAW-4   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FRAULEIN Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 (reavis micha)GILES EMMANUEL 115 1.40    
2  HEY MA Apr16 Mar16 Dec09 Oct23 Oct08 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 5.00    
3  BUMPER GIRL Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Dec02 Jul01 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  MAIDEN ROCK Apr20 Mar30 Feb20 Dec30 Dec18 (candelas blanca)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
5  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Apr27         (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 15% 5.70    
6  BELLS OF JOY Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
HAW-5   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMARITA Apr23 Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
2  LONG TALL WOMAN Apr23 Mar05 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
3  APRIL'S GEM Apr02 Mar19 Dec16 Dec03 Nov11 (matthews dou)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
SCR  AVASARALA Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 Jan04 Dec18 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
5  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Apr09 Mar05 Jan22 Dec16 Dec03 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 ★    
6  COME ON SWEET PEA Dec09 Nov12 Oct23 Oct01 Sep01 (rosin w)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
7  FIRST KITTEN Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb15 Jan19 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-6   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL RIDE Jun01 May14 Apr10     (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 ★    
2  UNCASHED Apr20 Oct21 Sep13     (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  LUCKY SHOT Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Jul17 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
4  LOOKIN FOR BALA Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 Jul23   (essenpreis edward)EMIGH A 116 6.00    
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE Apr23 Mar26 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 118 15.00    
6  IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Sep10 Jun30       (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 4.50 13% 6.70    
7  OMAHA RED Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 Jan16 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
HAW-7   05/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIALED INNA Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb01 Dec21 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  GOOD MONGOLIA Apr23 Mar26 Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 15.00    
3  QUILTING PARTY Apr20 Dec31 Dec09 Nov26 Jul12 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
4  MAKEMEBELIEVE Feb23 Nov26 Sep15 Aug27 Jun29 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
SCR  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Mar12 Dec16 Nov26 Oct15   (goldfine micke)COLON H 115 10.00    
6  BIRDIE BE GONE Apr06 Nov11 Oct22 Sep03 Jul28 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50    
7  JOURNEYIST Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Nov27 Nov11 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  AALIYAH EZRI Dec30 Oct27 Sep01 Aug06 Jul08 (divito jame)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50    
 
HAW-8   05/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Apr13 Mar30 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  GAGOOTS Apr20 Dec31 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
3  IRISH MAJOR Apr23 Apr16 Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 8.00    
4  TROY OUNCE Apr20 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
5  KRAMDEN Apr20 Apr03 Feb02 Jan10 Dec18 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00    
6  BEHAVIN MYSELF Apr20 Apr13 Mar12 Jan24 Dec30 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
7  MITZRAYIM Apr16 May13 Mar26 Jan16 Jan02 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLOWERS FOR LISA Feb10 Jan07 Dec17 Oct28 Sep03 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.