Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(5/3/6/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/4)-(4/7/1/5)-(1/4/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8/5)-(1/4/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/10/5)-(2/7/3/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(7/5/2/6)-(3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(3/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-9   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIBBY TOO Apr16 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
JUDGE ON THE RUN Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jun11 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
P R ODDS SETTER Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 May21 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 0.80 35% 1.90    
SING CHARMER SING Apr28 Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 (compton jesse)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
QUEENSCABALLO Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jul17 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
FON-2   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELUSIONAL DREAM Oct01 Sep15 Aug21 Jul30 Jul13 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 1.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of NO DELUSION by STREET CRY (IRE))
EUROWENDI Apr22 Mar18 Nov25     (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
  (by EUROEARS out of ME N WENDI by DANTON)
SMART ACT Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Sep26 Sep12 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 5% 18.20    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
RIO LADY Apr08 Mar11 Jan06 Dec14 Nov11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of FASCINO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  FLAT OUT HOT Apr16 Mar11 Feb26     (rhodes lester)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BETAR B SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
CHAMA Apr21 Apr08 Aug17 Jul10 Jun05 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  HIGH ON LIFE Apr01 Sep26 Mar26 Mar05 Jan02 (hawley joe)GARNETT G 125 5.00    
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of DIXIE WALTZ by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FON-3   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEYSPENT Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 Mar10   (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
BER MIS BOY Apr23 Apr14 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
WENT HOME         (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of LUCKY FEATHER by BEST OF LUCK)
WANTABE         (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 14% 5.90    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
BUY NOW Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Nov21 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 121 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 Feb11 Jun17 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Apr23 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
 
FON-4   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00    
MY TRUE REWARD Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Oct01 Sep20 (hawley joe)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
KING OF ANYTHING Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Jul25 Jul03 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 5.00 17% 4.80    
TIGER THE MAN Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Oct04 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 17% 5.10    
SANCOCHO (MEX) Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 1.60 23% 3.30    
JIMBO'S BIZ Apr22 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 17% 5.00    
MASTERPIECE DAY Apr21 Apr07 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
 
FON-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOE Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 (hall l)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 14% 6.40    
STREET N SOUR Apr22 Mar26 Mar17 Mar04 Feb18 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
PERVASIVE Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Sep26 Sep20 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
SUEZ Apr22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Dec10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
GOD'S PICK Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Sep25 Aug29 (foley p)BETHKE A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
AKHNAS Feb16 Jan07 Dec28 Oct13 Jul30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
SILVER MAKER Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb19 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
OH SNAP Apr28 Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 Feb03 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
 
FON-6   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR REPORTER Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 36% 1.70    
POVERTY FLATS Apr22 Mar19 Mar11 Sep15 Aug27 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
NO LIMITATION Apr23 Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 Jan12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
POLICY LIMIT Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 Jan14 Jan06 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 22% 3.50    
MOONSHINE MAX Apr22 Mar11 Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
ZIGGY Apr16 Jun24 Jun03 Apr23 Mar30 (foley p)BETHKE A 125 10.00 8% 11.80    
KEARNEY Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
RECKLESSNESS Apr28 Apr15 Apr08 Mar26 Mar07 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  JUSTA BUSTER Apr22 Feb23 Jan21 Dec27 Nov30 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
10  RUNNING JESSE Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 Feb19 Feb12 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATTIES JEWEL Apr21 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb19 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
JUST RIGHT MIKE Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 5.00 49% 1.00    
GIO SAMMY Apr15 Jan23 Jan03 Dec21 Nov19 (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 5% 17.20    
RUN FOR MATTY Apr21 Mar31 Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00    
GONE PREACHIN Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 (sorensen )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
ZCAT'S CHATAIN Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Oct01 Sep19 (coughlin chris)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
SPORTY FLYER Apr21 Apr01 Mar26 Feb09 Jan15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  FERRARI ROAD Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 Sep20 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50    
DRUM AND BASS Apr02 Mar24 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
10  LUCKENBACHER Mar24 Mar02 Dec18 Sep18 Aug08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
 
FON-8   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Al Swihart Memorial Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTASAPISTOL Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul28 May28 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 122 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ALACAZAR by DAYJUR)
JULIARD HONOR Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Dec14 Nov30 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
QUEEN CORDELIA Apr08 Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 Dec11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of A BETTER BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAGGIE MCSWAIN by FORT PRADO)
GURL YOU FINE Apr08 Feb25 Nov30 Oct19 Sep22 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
RAY AREWETHEREYET Apr22 Apr08 Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BERNIE'S GOLD by HUNTING HARD)
VIRTUALLY Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Sep16 Aug10 (rushton temple)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Apr22 Apr01 Mar05 Feb04 Jan13 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by TEXAS BLING out of IMMA BE A WILDCAT by D'WILDCAT)
 
FON-9   05/06/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE DOOR Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
G'S TURN Apr23 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb10 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAGER NO MO Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Mar04 Apr09 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 120 4.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  DALLAS GOLD Apr16 Apr08 Mar12 Feb22 Jan27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50    
FAKE SOLUTION Apr23 Apr16 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
SCOOTER'S BOY Apr30 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 5.00    
SHWEET PERSUASION Apr23 Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
YHA YHA Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Oct03 Apr06 (childs russell )GARNETT G 122 15.00    
SCR  GRAND DESIGN Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar12 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 124 5.00    
10  GAINER Mar25 Mar18 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.