Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(1/2/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(1/2/7/5)-(9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/5)-(9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/5)-(9/2)-(7/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/2)-(9/2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2)-(9/2/3/4)-(9/2/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/2)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/2)-(7/4/3)-(1/8/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(1/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(1/8/7/2)-(3/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/2)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/2)-(3/6/7)-(9/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(9/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(9/4/8)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8)-(9/4/8/3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/4/8)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8)-(2/6)-(1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/9/8)-(2/6/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10)-(1/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACE ESTATE Mar23 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07   (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
2  BANK CARD Apr13 Mar04 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 ★    
3  KEY TO THE CASTLE Mar02 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 ★    
4  NINETY PROOF Mar16 Sep10 Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 (groves )NUNEZ ANAHI 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  SUNSET QUEEN Mar04 Feb11 Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00    
6  ONLY ROMANCE Mar23 Mar02 Feb11 Jan26   (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
7  ODINA Apr07 Feb11 Feb04 Jan18 Jan06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
CT-2   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORANGEBURG Apr07 Mar02 Jan27 Jan12 Nov23 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Apr07 Mar18 Mar02 Jan27 Dec10 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Mar24 Mar04 Feb24 Nov16 Oct27 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 117 12.00    
4  DEVIL'S CANYON Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec09 (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
5  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Dec10 Nov18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 (jackson a)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00    
7  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Dec10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
 
CT-3   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKIN CHAIR Mar30 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
2  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Apr08 Mar09 Feb15     (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
3  DR RENDEZVOUS Mar31 Mar10 Jan27     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
4  O'RIGSBY Mar30 Mar10 Feb17     (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of SHE'S GRUMPY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  BAD LINEAGE         (perry e)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
SCR  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Apr08 Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 (boykins kevi)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
SCR  HE'S CLEVER Mar18 Feb15 Jan06     (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
8  TURTLE DOVE Mar30 Mar16       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SHE'S HAD ENOUGH by STAY THIRSTY)
9  LOVETHEBAND Mar30 Mar09 Feb15     (grams tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by BANDBOX out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CT-4   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMI CAT LADY Apr07 Feb26 Jan22 Dec30 Dec18 (libertini)HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50    
2  RAVIOLI MAMA Mar30 Jan21 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 (spriggs to)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
3  DECISIVE CAUSE Mar30 Feb16 Feb04 Jan19 Jan12 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 115 6.00 8% 12.20    
4  LOVE RAN RED Mar31 Aug12 Jul02 Jun05 May14 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  CHURCH KEY Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 Jan14 Dec01 (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME INCENTIVE Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  VILLAREGGIA Mar25 Mar02 Feb20 Jan29 Dec18 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  I B NASTY Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan26 Jan04 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT DAWN Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 0.80 32% 2.20    
2  GORUN Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 30.00 6% 14.60    
3  FEARNOUGHT Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
4  NO ME DIGAS Apr14 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan26 (davis samu)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
5  BOP MARLEY Aug11 Jul29 May26 May05 Jan15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 10.00    
6  ROCKY DICE Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
7  EISELE Mar16 Jan20 Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 11% 8.00    
8  BUBBA G Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Aug05 Jun29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
CT-6   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
2  STOPWATCHSONNY Apr06 Feb25 Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 ★    
3  SPUNKY ZOEY Mar30 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 Dec30 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
4  JESS FOR KICKS Feb23 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
5  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Apr07 Feb15 Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
6  ALL WORKED UP Mar30 Mar04 Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
7  TAKE CHARGE LISA Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Mar15 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
9  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 Dec14 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
10  FLAT OUT COOL Mar30 Mar05 Feb03 Jan11 Dec30 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
SCR  COWGIRL SHINE Mar31 Feb20 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKIN LADY Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
2  POLISH THE DIAMOND Mar31 Mar09 Jan26 Jan06   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
3  MARINA GRANDE Aug12         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 ★    
  (by UNIFIED out of ANY DAY NOW by OUT OF PLACE)
4  OUR GREAT NOTION Mar31 Mar09 Feb16     (grams c)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
5  GALLANT CREED Mar31         (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 ★    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
6  FLATTERING WAY         (barahona is)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of FLATTERING ANNIE by FLATTER)
7  JUGSY Mar31         (cecilia)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
8  WOODEN SHIPS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 5% 18.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAINT PENNY by STREET MAGICIAN)
9  MEGEEZER Mar31         (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
10  CARMELIZED Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
11  LIME STAR         (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
 
CT-8   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Apr13 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
2  TIZ THE REASON Mar24 Mar01 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 54% 0.80    
3  SALSA RITA Mar24 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
4  SHENANDOAH CAT Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 Jan20 Dec14 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
SCR  VALID REASON Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
6  COLLEGE KID Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
7  SISTER'S DUTY Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 Jan29 Dec08 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
8  FLAT DISCOUNT Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 ★    
9  DING DING Mar24 Jan12 Oct01 Jul07 May21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 ★    
 
CT-9   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT DEVOTION Mar30 Feb15 Jan04 Dec03 Oct21 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 1.00 47% 1.10    
2  PIPERINTHEPULPIT Mar30         (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
3  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Mar25 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
4  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Mar04 Feb09 Dec08 Aug20 Aug05 (covello)NUNEZ ANAHI 118 15.00    
5  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Mar30         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00    
6  NANNY'S MISSION Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec03 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
7  MORE TAJ Mar17 Feb25       (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 124 8.00    
8  T J STORM VISION Mar25 Feb04 Jan13     (shanley mark)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
9  MY BEST GIRL Mar09 Feb15 Dec16 Jul29 May11 (hamlin kat)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
10  RED LIL SHIPMENT Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (collins)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  FESSIN UP Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Dec03 Nov11 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 2.50 6% 14.80    
SCR  ESTILO AMOROSO Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 Feb08   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Apr08 Mar17       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PASS Mar09 Feb24 Jan25 Dec16 Dec03 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.