Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4/5)-(4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/7/1)-(8/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(8/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(8/7/5)-(4/2/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(4/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(4/2/3/9)-(7/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/9)-(4/2/3/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/9)-(4/2/3/9/1)-(4/2/3/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/3/9)-(7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/9)-(7/5/8)-(10/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/8)-(10/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8)-(10/8)-(5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/8)-(10/8/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/8)-(10/8/5/6)-(10/8/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/8)-(5/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (10/8)-(5/8)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/1/4/3)-(5/8/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/7/6)-(2/3/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Mar10 Feb08 Jan28 Jan11 Dec10 (kintz matthew)FELICIANO R 120 15.00    
2  SMASH FACTOR         (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.40 35% 1.90    
3  ROYAL SQUEEZE Mar29 Feb17 Jan22 Dec26 Dec09 (jackson )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  KENYA SUN Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 Jan11 Dec23 (cascallares )BATISTA A 115 10.00 6% 15.90    
5  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 Jan29 Jan20 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
SCR  SIXTY ONE Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Jan07 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
7  SHED A TEAR Dec17 Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CLOUD Mar18 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Oct16 (delgado jo)ORDONEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-2   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($31.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME ICE MAN Mar15 Feb18 Feb02 Dec21 Sep06 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.00 35% 1.80    
2  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Feb18 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug20 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
3  GALAXY MUSIC Feb12 Jan21 Aug17     (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
4  LOOKIN' SUPER Mar26 Feb10 Dec30 Nov27   (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  BRIGHT FORECAST Mar15 Feb18 Dec21 Nov05 Oct20 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  TIZ A BEAST Mar15 Dec07 Nov14 Oct19 Sep22 (nations keith)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-3   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINI'S AMICA Mar22 Feb18 Jan05 Dec07 Nov18 (romero rafa)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
2  TEA'S DREAM Mar08 Jan08 Dec21 Nov25 Jun30 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 30.00    
3  FROSTY SECRET Mar10 Feb18 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 122 3.50 ★    
4  PLANE JANE Mar25 Jan15 Dec21 Oct21   (bennett s)FERRER C 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  FAMILY BAND Dec29 Nov17       (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00    
6  AMORE MOON Mar15 Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 Dec02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
7  AFTER A FEW         (smith cr)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
8  SYLLABUS Apr01 Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan22 (dominguez luis)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00    
9  BLACK KARMA Mar19 Mar04 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
10  NO MORE FIRE Mar10 Mar01 Nov06 Sep17 Jul21 (barrett grant)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Mar01 Feb08 Feb01 Dec30   (ubide max)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN DE LA CREME Feb09 Jul30 Jul02 Jun09   (rice kevin)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-4   04/08/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY WARRIOR Mar05 Feb16 Dec17 Jan22   (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 126 15.00    
2  KANEM Mar29 Mar10       (machado a)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
3  UNXPECTED TIGER Mar22 Feb26 Feb05 Dec23 Dec04 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 8.00 ★    
4  HEAVY WEIGHT Mar29 Mar04 Feb18 Feb08 Jan18 (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 12.00    
5  RAGING WHIRLWIND Mar24 Feb22 Feb12 Dec14 Nov26 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 126 2.50 14% 6.40    
6  KALINBA Mar12 Feb26 Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 126 8.00    
7  O ROMEO Mar09         (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 17% 4.70    
8  BARAK Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 Dec10 Nov26 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 39% 1.50    
 
TAM-5   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGOODFELLA Jan20 Dec28 Nov25 Oct07 Sep18 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 ★    
2  CORE FACTOR Mar08 Feb15 Jan27 Jan11   (cruz jesus)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  GO GREEN Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 Dec09   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  BRAMBLE BLAZE Mar12 Feb17 Feb04 Dec07 Oct02 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  DENYING Mar19 Mar08 Feb22 Feb10   (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
6  NIKOLAS ARTHUR Mar16 Feb10 Jan08 Nov09   (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
7  GODS GLORY Mar19 Feb26 Jan20 Jan13 Dec28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
8  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 Dec22 Dec16 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
9  THIRD MOON Mar26 Feb22 Dec03 Oct28   (poole a)CENTENO E 118 5.00 8% 11.00    
 
TAM-6   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND MACALLAN Feb26 Jan18 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
2  COCO SHELL Jan20 Dec28 Dec03 Oct20 Aug29 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 8.00    
3  MR MURGO Mar29 Mar15 Oct30 Oct07 Sep11 (amado enriqu)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
4  COX CANYON Mar29 Feb26 Feb05 Jan28 Dec23 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
5  AZTEC LEGEND Mar15 Feb24 Jan04 Oct17 Sep28 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
6  WISHIN N KISSIN Feb26 Feb08 Jan29     (ubide max)FERRER C 117 12.00 ★    
7  ROAD MINISTER Mar17         (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 4.50 54% 0.90    
8  AWESOME FLAY Mar26 Feb26 Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 (manning )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   04/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SARCASTIC Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 Jan15 (richards ren)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
2  ALBIE Mar10 Feb25 Jan04 Jun02 Mar30 (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 20.00    
3  CHESS'S DREAM Mar26 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
4  MISTA DONZELLA Mar26 Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 Jan21 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 8.00    
5  SAVVY LAYLA Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan20 Dec22 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 ★    
6  GO MIKE Feb26 Jan28 Dec28 Oct15 Sep10 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 2.00 ★    
7  KUHL STAR Mar19 Mar05 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
8  SMILE BRYAN Mar10 Dec02 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 32% 2.20    
9  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec17 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 112 10.00    
10  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Mar10 Feb11 Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 6.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  WAR CROSS Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 Dec09 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BUGGY Mar01 Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
2  TRUE ATKA Mar08 Mar01 Feb10 Feb03 Jan13 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
3  CHARGE IT JENN Mar05 Feb17 Dec22 Nov25 Oct15 (rhone bernell)CENTENO E 118 15.00 ★    
4  TOWERING GAZE Mar10 Mar01 Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 (carmichael mi)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00 ★    
5  ALIZEE Mar22 Mar01 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  WOODS HOLE Mar10 Feb19 Feb10 Jan20 Dec10 (wismer s)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
7  EXPECT TO BE READY Mar19 Feb19 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 10.00    
8  OUR FANTASY Mar19 Mar08 Feb17 Dec11 Nov04 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.00    
9  MARYNMIKE         (lusk r)BUSH V 118 12.00    
10  HUSH Y'ALL Mar19 Mar08 Dec23 Nov25 Nov04 (pimental)RODRIGUEZ L 108 30.00    
 
TAM-9   04/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Mar26 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31 Dec09 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Mar10 Feb26 Feb04 Jan21 Dec24 (delgado jose )SOSA LAUREANO 112 5.00 46% 1.20    
3  GREAT BRITAIN Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Jan14 Dec24 (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
4  DROPPED ANCHOR         (nations keith)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
5  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Mar18 Dec30 Nov14 Oct18 Aug09 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
6  DAMIR Mar18 Feb04 Dec28 Dec10 Sep14 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 10.00 ★    
7  BATTLE SCARS Feb26 Feb04 Dec30 Nov11 Aug10 (gulick j)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 ★    
8  VINTNER Mar18 Feb26 Jan28 Jan11 Dec21 (yanez r)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
9  BARREL OF QUESTS Sep04 Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May13 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
10  CHINA BEACH Mar17 Feb22 Feb05 Dec21 Dec02 (brown donald)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
SCR  FAST PAYDAY Mar22 Mar03 Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.