Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(2/4/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(7/8)-(7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-3   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/8/4/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/8/4/3/2)-(7/8/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8)-(7/1/2)-(5/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(5/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-5   WIN (5/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/4)-(5/9/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4)-(5/9/4/1/8)-(5/9/4/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4)-(5/3/6)-(1/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/6/5/2)-(3/7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-7   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(3/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-8   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6/9)-(3/7/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAPPE VALLEY Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 Jul22 Jul01 (shirer a)ZIMMERMAN R 120 2.50 ★    
2  MR FROST Mar19 Sep25 Aug19 Jul22 Jul11 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
3  RYE HUMOR Mar05 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 Nov12 (morse l)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
4  NEWS BOX Feb26 Jan07 Dec10 Aug28 Aug13 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 1.60 57% 0.80    
5  BEND IN THE RIVER Mar19 Feb03 Jan07     (mcknight norman)BOWEN ROCCO 120 5.00 ★    
6  J'S LITTLE MAN Feb03 Jan08 Dec10 May30 May16 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 20.00    
7  WESLEYAN Mar11 Feb26 Jan21 Dec09 Oct19 (hewitt micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
OP-2   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXPASS Mar03 Feb19 Dec31 Sep25   (litfin nev)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00 8% 12.30    
2  DR. WOODS MIRACLE Mar16 Mar03 Jan29     (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  BRADLEY PINK Feb19 Jan14       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
4  REAUX BINA Mar16 Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec09 (dixon tim)TORRES A 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
5  TIZ A STRATEGY Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07   (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 3.00 10% 9.10    
6  PAT'S GAL Feb18 Jan08 Dec09     (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 15.00    
7  SHE BE SHEEHAN Feb25 Feb10       (prather h)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.00    
8  DRIVING Mar09 Feb18       (pish danny)BAZE C 120 20.00    
 
OP-3   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HILL Mar05 Feb24 Jan21 Jan07   (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 116 20.00    
1A  MRS. MACOMBER Mar10 Feb10 Sep14 Aug21   (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
2  SHESTHEBIGGAME Sep01 Aug19       (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 ★    
3  THORN CROWN Mar10 Feb10 Jan07 Dec11   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 ★    
4  HONEYCAMP Mar09 Feb18 Dec09     (cates al)DE CRUZ 116 4.50 ★    
5  SWEET HOLINESS Mar16 Feb24 Feb10 Jan29 Dec30 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
6  DIAMONDS R FOREVER Mar16         (hewitt michae)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
7  STREET PAINTER Feb19 Jan14       (diodoro r)TORRES A 116 2.00 40% 1.50    
8  LUNCH LADY Mar02 Jan21 Jun29 May29   (moquett rona)JORDAN R 125 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
OP-4   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI'S GIRL Feb26 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Dec10 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
2  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Feb26 Feb05 Dec30 Oct26 Sep28 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 10% 9.20    
3  SWEET DYNASTY Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00    
4  AIN'TNOSWEETIE Mar10 Feb20 Jan29 Jan01 Dec16 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 ★    
5  DIAL DISH Feb26 Jan29       (von hemel)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
6  ELEGANCE N TONIC Feb05 Jan14 Nov11 Oct28 Sep15 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
7  LADY ENVOY Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 (dixon tim)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  FLAG TO FLAG Feb20 Jan29 Aug10 Jul16   (haran john)MEDELLIN ERICK 109 30.00    
 
OP-5   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GUESS NOT Mar05 Feb10 Dec01 Oct02 Sep18 (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 115 3.50 ★    
2  ALTAR GIRL Mar05 Feb24 Jan28 Dec31   (fires h)COURT K 114 4.50    
3  WILD BIZNESS Mar02 Jan21 Jan30     (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 125 30.00    
4  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Mar19 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov11 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWEET TRUFFLES Feb17 Jan07 Nov17 Oct19 Sep16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  ELMO'S SECRET Mar09 Jan14 Nov11     (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 114 15.00    
7  BLUE COWGIRL Mar05 Feb24 Feb05 Dec16 Nov25 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00    
8  MAY DISCO Mar17 Mar03 Jan28 Jun22 Jun05 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 20.00 ★    
9  HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL Mar18 Feb18 Jan08     (prather j)TORRES A 114 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
OP-6   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Feb24 Jan21 Dec30 Oct08 Sep05 (puhich mike)BAZE C 122 12.00 ★    
2  LADY COMMANDER Mar04 Feb17 Jan22 Dec30 Nov06 (fires h)COURT K 122 10.00    
3  GHOSTLY GIRL Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  SANTANGELO Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 Nov02 Sep28 (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 113 8.00    
5  WATERWORKS Feb24 Feb03 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 (litfin nevada)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  POUT Feb17 Oct19 Aug12     (zito nich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00 9% 9.70    
7  I FEEL THE NEED Mar04 Feb17 Jan28 Dec18 Apr02 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 119 2.50    
 
OP-7   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO AGAIN Jan21 Dec17 Sep17 Aug20   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 114 1.80 51% 0.90    
2  GIROOVIN Feb28 Jan29 Dec17 Nov23 Nov03 (fincher todd)CASTILLO ISAAC 114 10.00 6% 16.50    
3  B MINOR Mar09 Nov26 Oct09 Sep16 Sep03 (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 117 6.00    
4  MAYFIELD STRONG Sep14 Jul24 Jul02     (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
5  EL TOMATE Mar09 Jan28 Dec14     (silva mig)TORRES A 114 5.00 10% 9.20    
6  TYLER'S TRIBE Dec09 Nov04 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 1.60 10% 9.00    
7  WESTERN GHENT Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 Nov26 Oct30 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 15.00    
 
OP-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARNING LABEL Mar19 Mar02 Jan21 Dec18 Jun30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
1A  RISKY SITUATION Mar03 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 Dec09 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
2  SUPER GEEK Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Jan29 Jan21 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
3  ALLO ENRY Mar11 Feb26 Jan20 Dec16 Nov06 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 1.40 26% 2.80    
SCR  BOTANY Mar16 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec18 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00    
5  TRAFFIC CONTROL Mar19 Feb11 Dec21 Jul16 Jun21 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  MR. COUGAR Mar19 Sep15 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 12.00 10% 8.80    
7  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 May07 Apr23 (hornsby tammy)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
8  VYING EDGE Mar11 Feb12       (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 8.00    
9  CAMPISI Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan13 Dec11 (jansen ke)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.