Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-2   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-3   Win (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-4   Win (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-6   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-8   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-9   Win (8/4/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-10   Win (7/5/10/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-11   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-12   Win (9/8/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER FERNANDO Mar15 Feb19 Feb11 Jan28 Jan22 (nunn douglas)ALLEN D 123 20.00    
WOOTDAREITIS Mar11 Feb15 Jan28 Jan08 Dec24 (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00    
DUN RIGHT Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec31 Oct17 (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 123 20.00    
GUNMAN Mar12 Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 Jan06 (manchan bert)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00 14% 6.20    
RUNAWAY TOM Mar11 Feb15 Jan28 Jan08 Dec21 (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
EXCELLENT MARK Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec23 Dec07 (yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00    
AWESOME ENOUGH Mar11 Feb15 Jan29 Jan15 Oct02 (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Mar15 Feb11 Dec06 Nov13 Oct31 (robillard julie)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Mar11 Jan15 Apr16 Mar04 Feb13 (mustoe cindy)BATISTA A 123 10.00    
10  RUN LEA RUN Feb19 Oct25 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 (rarick lyn)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
 
TAM-2   03/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE IRONY Feb24 Jan21 Dec14 Nov12 Oct21 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
FIRST RULE Jan11 Nov18 Sep16 Jul10 May07 (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
HOLD THE SPICE Feb25 Jan15 Dec28 Nov25 Sep15 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
COMMODORE BARRY Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 (cooper thomas)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
BIG RED ROCKS Mar10 Feb19 Jan29 Dec10 Oct21 (wilson t)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.50    
UNLEVERAGED Feb25 Feb11 Jan15 Dec10 Aug20 (sweezey k)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 15% 5.90    
MISTA DONZELLA Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 Jan21 Jan04 (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 121 12.00    
LUCA DREW THE ACE Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 (hardesty n)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
MR. SARCASTIC Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 Jan15 Dec28 (gatis chris)ALICEA JEREMY 112 8.00    
SCR  SMASH FACTOR         (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
11  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Mar05 Feb12 Jan04 Dec10 Nov14 (klesaris steve)ARROYO S 119 4.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN Mar10 Dec02 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  WAR CROSS Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 Dec09 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00    
SCR  ARIES REIGNS Mar18 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan13 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
 
TAM-3   03/26/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVISIBLE WAR Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 Dec24 Nov25 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60    
HOKU Feb25 Feb03 Dec28     (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  DELTA RIDGE Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Sep15 Aug25 (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 123 15.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Feb22 Jan20 Dec02 Oct22 Oct02 (wright mich)RODRIGUEZ A 123 15.00 11% 8.20    
WALL STREET TRADER Feb02 Dec28 Oct16 Aug27 Aug13 (hernandez sandin)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec17 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
MY MAN VITO Mar15 Jan11 Dec30 Dec10 Nov02 (rigattieri)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
TAM-4   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOW DRAW Feb25 Feb12 Jan14 Dec30 Nov25 (mardif i)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00    
BEAUTY QUIST Feb25 Jan25 Dec30 Nov25 Oct29 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
SHE'S REDNECKER Feb25 Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 Oct20 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 4.50    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Sep24 Aug28 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 (arnett jon )RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
YANKEE AGATE Mar01 Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct23 (miller m)MARTIN MATTIE 115 3.50 30% 2.30    
BODE BY YOU Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Oct17 Sep20 (arnett g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
BAND SWEETHEART Feb25 Feb03 Dec31 Oct08 Sep17 (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
PRINCESS LIVIA Feb24 Feb03 Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
R FUNNY BIZNESS Feb11 Jan01 Oct29 Sep20 Aug08 (bennett gerald)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-5   03/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ocala Breeders' Sales Sophomor Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANGEROUS RIDE Mar04 Jan29 Jan01 Dec10 Nov19 (david carl)GALLARDO A 124 2.00    
LOOKIN' SUPER Feb10 Dec30 Nov27     (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 16% 5.30    
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Feb18 Jan21 Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
ZYDECEAUX Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec24 Dec04 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
DIAMOND COOL Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Nov12 Oct30 (biancone patri)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
AWESOME FLAY Feb26 Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 May20 (manning dennis)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Grey Goose Turf Classic Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME AND MR. C Jan21 Nov06 Sep05 Jul24 Jun12 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
LURE HIM IN Jan21 Nov20 Nov06 Sep24 Aug21 (hess b)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
JAIS'S SOLITUDE Mar09 Jan25 Dec11 Oct23 Sep10 (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
FIERCE WARRIOR Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 Jan21 Dec31 (nunn douglas)UNKNOWN JOCKEY 118 30.00    
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Feb26 Jan27 Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 (lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00    
SIR SAFFER Mar05 Feb05 Sep24 Sep04 Aug15 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
DRAMA CHORUS Mar01 Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Sep07 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
CASHIER CHECK Feb18 Nov05 Sep30 Sep09 Aug07 (barboza victor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
KING RAMOS Mar08 Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 (o'connell kathle)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   03/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Stonehedge Farm South Sophomor Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERLYN GO GO Mar12 Feb22 Dec18 Oct29 Oct01 (maker m)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00    
MUNNYS GOLD Jan25 Jun17       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 50% 1.00    
AWESOME PIC Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
JACKIE'S SPIRIT Sep28         (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
PRETTY'N AWESOME Mar08 Feb18 Jan22 Dec22   (bennett s)FERRER C 120 20.00    
DREAM CONCERT Mar11         (o'connell )GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
LYNX Mar04 Jan01 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (david a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.50 11% 8.30    
DREAMING OF SNOW Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-8   03/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Equistaff Sophomore Turf Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRD MOON Feb22 Dec03 Oct28     (poole a)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
ANAMNESTIC Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Oct02 (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
OTAGO Oct29 Oct01 Sep11 Aug22   (danner kel)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
BOLD MAJESTIC Mar10 Feb18 Feb04 Dec03 Oct29 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
SWAN LAKE Feb11 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct08 (dobles elizabeth)SUTHERLAND C 118 6.00    
RUDDER'S MEN Feb23 Jan08 Oct22     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
BOPPY O Mar04 Feb04 Oct30 Oct09 Aug31 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 1.00    
HEATHGUARD Mar16 Feb18       (lerman s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
 
TAM-9   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST NYRABETS Sprint Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATSBY Feb11 Jan14 Dec10 Oct01 Sep04 (david a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
HAMMER LANE Dec22 Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 Jul11 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 118 20.00    
HAPPY CAJUN Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec16 Jun09 (ubide max)FERRER C 118 20.00 10% 9.00    
OIL MONEY Feb26 Jul08 Jun10 May29 May21 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
LIGHTENING LARRY Feb25 Jan14 Nov26 Sep24 Aug06 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 122 2.50    
CYBERVIKING Aug24 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
MAGICAL WARRIOR Feb17 Jan07 Dec11 Oct15 Sep18 (bennett gerald)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
WILLY BOI Feb11 Dec10 Nov05 Jul30 Jul02 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
POWERFULLY BUILT Mar12 Sep28 Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 (abrams jack)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
TAM-10   03/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pleasant Acres Stallions Dista Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDY'S SONG Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Oct23 Oct02 (rondon-mora carlos)BRACHO A 124 30.00    
CRYSTAL COAST Feb24 Jan14 Dec09 Nov11 Sep16 (david carlo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 10.00    
PEACE SEEKER Mar05 Feb08 Nov19 Nov12 Oct22 (abreu fernando)CAMACHO SAMY 124 10.00    
SWEET DANI GIRL Mar04 Jan14 May06 Mar05   (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50    
FROSTED OATS Feb08 Jan06 Jun24 May27   (mott willi)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
LILY'S LEAD Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec10 Oct28 (barbazoniii le)UNKNOWN JOCKEY 124 30.00    
AVOW Feb26 Dec14 Nov04     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
PRUDENT SONG Mar11 Feb08 Jan01 Dec10 Sep17 (hunt donald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00 5% 18.40    
ALEXA'S DREAM Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 Jan15 Dec21 (bennett gerald)MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00    
10  ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK Feb03 Jul03 Jun03 May18 Apr24 (dini mike)CENTENO E 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  MOHAWK TRAIL Mar11 Feb10 Jan12 Dec04 Nov11 (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
12  MONA STELLA Feb26 Jan14 Dec18 Jun04 May06 (biancone patri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
13  DREAMSTER Feb26 Jan19 Dec14 Oct16   (lightner mary)MARIN SAMUEL 124 30.00    
 
TAM-11   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIP CODE ENVY Feb25 Oct05 Sep05 Aug16   (hamm timothy)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  THE MONSTER IRUS         (cascallares nes)LUGO D 120 30.00    
MS. BUCCHERO Mar11         (vinson g)BATISTA A 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Feb11 Oct12       (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 7% 14.30    
IMMORTALLOVE         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
RACING         (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
HAVANA HELEN         (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 20.00    
WILDHAWK Feb05         (albertrani thoma)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
MOONLIGHT VISION Feb15 Jan27 Dec28 Dec07 Nov18 (gonzalez javier )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
10  MYTHICAL STORM Dec09 Oct08 Sep10     (casse mark)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
 
TAM-12   03/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYLIKEABUTTERFLY (IRE)         (sweezey k)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
BET THE HOWES Dec22         (cibelli ja)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
SKYVIEW DRIVE Feb19 Jan04 Sep24     (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 6% 15.00    
DOMO ARIGATOU Mar12 Feb05 Jan14     (collins john)FERRER C 120 20.00    
ROMAN FLAME Feb25 Jan14 Nov10 Oct13   (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LA PACHANGA Jan29 Jan07       (mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
MACHIAVELLIQUE Mar04 Jan07       (albertrani thomas)CENTENO E 120 20.00    
MONEY BEETS         (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
PEAK POPULARITY Aug21         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
10  LA MAZEL Feb16 Sep04 Aug07     (dutrow anthony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  DRAGONERA Jan25 Dec28       (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.