Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(5/4/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/2)-(4/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6/2/3)-(4/1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4/3)-(1/7/8/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4)-(7/5/3)-(3/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESSNESS Mar07 Jan08 Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
2  GERDY'S BOY Jun17 Jun12 May21 Apr23 Apr09 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE GREATEST EAGLE Oct02 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Aug09 (ibanez alberto)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
4  LOOKIN FOR LARRY Feb26 Feb10 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
5  WAR REPORTER Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Dec20 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 ★    
6  STREET N SOUR Mar17 Mar04 Feb18 Aug27 Aug02 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  MAFIA DON Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Oct02 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 6.00 61% 0.60    
 
FON-2   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLHE LOVE Mar12 Feb25       (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
2  BUY NOW Mar12 Nov21       (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SCR  HAVANA JACK Mar12         (wise jason)RAMOS B 121 8.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUDZE by DAAHER)
4  LITTLEBIT DON Mar17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20   (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of JOANIE'S BLUFF by SILENT BLUFF)
5  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 Jun17   (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
6  SMILIN JOSIE Mar17 Feb10 Jun17 Jun12 May27 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 120 12.00 ★    
  (by WEST EXPRESS out of MARTHA MARTHA by IDE)
SCR  BER MIS BOY Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 May01 Apr16 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 8.00 ★    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
 
FON-3   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADMIRAL'S GARNET Feb25 Feb11 Dec11 Nov22 Nov01 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 ★    
2  AMERICAN REALITY Mar12 Oct27 Oct02 Sep20 Aug30 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 17% 4.90    
3  JAGGED ARROW Mar17 Feb10 Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
SCR  QUEENS GIFT Mar03 Feb17 Jun11 May27 Apr30 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  MAGIC IN A HAT Mar12 Sep29 Sep16 Aug29 Aug20 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  MIZZANNA Feb26 Aug28 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 ★    
 
FON-4   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun12 May22 (chavez juan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  HANDY BOY Mar03 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Apr08 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 6.00 ★    
3  SPRY CHARLIE Mar12 Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 ★    
4  MONTEREY PENINSULA Mar03 Feb12 Dec08 Sep09 Aug25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  NO LIMITATION Mar10 Feb26 Jan12 Dec21 Oct10 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50    
6  OREGON COUNTY Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Sep19 Aug15 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 ★    
 
FON-5   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT'S LADY Mar10 Feb28 Feb01 Jan12 Dec27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  DONNA'S HOPE Mar10 Feb25 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
3  BONNIE AND Jul02 Jun26 Jun18 Jun11   (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 ★    
4  ROLLIN BLACKOUT Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  GLAMOROUS LIFE Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
SCR  KARALINKA Nov26 Nov04 Sep03 Aug13 Jun15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
7  OLIVIAN Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  UNPLUCKED GEM Mar10 Oct03 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
FON-6   03/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITS A DEAL Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 7% 13.90    
2  NORTH SIDE Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
3  GETTINHOT'NHERE Feb17 Jan21 Dec07 Nov19 Nov10 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 12% 7.40    
4  GRAYDAR'S DREAM Feb25 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug02 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
5  THREE TIME CHARMER Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Nov04 Oct02 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
6  LOVER BOY Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Apr24 Apr03 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
7  SUBSCRIPTION Mar11 Feb19 Jun12 May28 May14 (thompson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 43% 1.30    
8  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Mar03 Feb11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug09 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
SCR  RAY'S ANGEL Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
10  SPORTY FLYER Feb09 Jan15 Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
 
FON-7   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Mar12 Feb24 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
2  SUE HAPPY Mar12 Feb25 Feb15 Jan28 Jan04 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 12% 7.70    
3  TRICKY MOM Mar05 Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 Nov16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 21% 3.90    
4  COLD AS YOU Mar14 Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  REINA DEL SUR Mar12 Feb17 Sep04 Aug24 Jul09 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  KNOCKON Mar10 Feb24 Dec01 Nov07 Sep19 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.50 12% 7.20    
7  CHERISH THE DAY Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Sep23 Sep07 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
8  HOT CAVIAR Mar05 Feb25 Feb10 Sep19 Sep09 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
9  ROSE OF EKITA Mar12 Feb18 Jul19 Jun27   (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.