Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/7/6)-(4/3/2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(9/4/2)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/5)-(9/4/2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/4/2)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2)-(3/6/1)-(7/4/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4/8)-(3/6/1/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(7/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(7/4/6/9)-(7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/9)-(7/4/6/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/9)-(7/4/6/9/8)-(7/4/6/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/9)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/9)-(7)-(9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-5   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/9/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/9/3)-(7/9/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(9/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(9/2)-(9/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/2)-(9/2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2)-(9/2/8/4)-(9/2/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/2)-(9/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/2)-(9/4/8)-(8/5/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/8)-(9/4/8/2)-(9/4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/8)-(8/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8)-(8/5/1/6)-(8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6/3)-(8/5/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/1/6)-(8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTINE'S COSMO Mar09 Jan07 Nov30 Oct22 Sep28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
2  K K CAN Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Sep28 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 8% 11.40    
3  AT THE HALF Jan21 Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 126 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  MI YAYIS Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec09 Nov19 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  BALLYMENA (GB) Feb15 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
6  LADY LICIOUS Mar01 Jan11 Nov26 Nov03 Oct14 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 12.00 5% 17.30    
7  MIDNIGHT FLING Feb17 Jan26 Jun03 May12 Apr16 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 ★    
8  SHANIA SEA Mar01 Feb01 Dec20 Nov09 Oct24 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 124 6.00    
9  RIDE ON BEAUTY Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Nov26 Oct08 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00    
 
CT-2   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Mar02 Feb15 Dec10 Nov26 Sep09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
2  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Mar02 Dec10 Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 6% 16.00    
3  ROCKET J. Jan27 Dec08 Dec01 Nov16 Sep07 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
4  MACHEN'S RIDGE Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  MIO GRACELAND Mar02 Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 (sanderson wad)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00 ★    
6  MADDEYE MOODY Mar02 Jan27 Dec10     (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
7  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
8  AIR MEDAL Feb16 Jan19 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 ★    
9  FELICIAS CASTLE Mar02 Jan27 Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 4.00 47% 1.10    
10  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Mar02 Feb23 Jan12 Dec10 Nov30 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   03/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLEY SIOUX Jan28 Dec17 Nov26     (straughn will)ADAMS L 119 10.00 17% 4.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  TURTLE DOVE         (jones e)HO WESLEY 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SHE'S HAD ENOUGH by STAY THIRSTY)
3  CHASENJOHNATHAN         (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 116 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by JUBA out of SENSATIONALISM by TIGER RIDGE)
4  B. J. MOOSE Jan28 Nov09 Oct20 Jul23 Jun16 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 126 4.50 ★    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Sep03 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 12.00    
  (by THAT'S RICH out of BEAR'SLITTLEBEAUTY by COPELAN TOO)
6  OFFICER STONE Jan28         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 1.80 19% 4.30    
  (by VINYARDS DREAM out of STONESONG by STONESIDER)
7  LIEUTENANT BROWN         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 10.00    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
8  MEETMARYSMAN         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 ★    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
 
CT-4   03/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASTRAL RIDE Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 Oct16 Aug21 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
2  FIT BUT FAT Feb22 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 (bass w)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
3  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 (brooks e)VEGA L 118 8.00    
4  LION OF THE SEA Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
5  CHARITABLY GIFTED Feb18 Jan19 Dec16 Dec01 Oct12 (harrison n)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
6  ROLL DEM BONES Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec01 Nov07 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  SAAFEN Feb10 Jan27 Jan21 Dec01 Oct22 (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 39% 1.60    
8  HOPE HE'S FAST Feb19 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 (farrior an)RIVERA R 111 8.00 ★    
9  HE'S ON THE LINE         (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Jan27 Dec16 Nov16 Oct29 Oct01 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00    
 
CT-5   03/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GANGSTER Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  AMELIA'S DREAM Jan18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 (runco jeff)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  SHY BELLA Mar01 Jan18       (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 126 10.00 ★    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of WASHINGTONIAN by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
4  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Feb24 Jan21 Jan06     (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  A GIRL HAS A NAME Jan18         (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 126 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of MINT TO FLY by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
6  NINETY PROOF Sep10 Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Apr29 (groves )NUNEZ ANAHI 126 10.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MINNESOTA MAFIA by YONAGUSKA)
7  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Dec15 Nov04 Oct08 Sep23   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 30% 2.40    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Mar01 Jan11 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
9  PHANTOM QUEEN Jan18 Dec15       (greaves verno)THORPE DARIUS 126 8.00 ★    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-6   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CHARLIE Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 Sep16 Sep09 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
2  EISELE Jan20 Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 (hummer richa)LEWIS M 117 5.00 9% 9.70    
3  LOOKA LOOKA Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 Jul16 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 111 15.00    
4  STORMIN ROCKET Jan26 Jan07 Dec09 Nov22 Nov11 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 4.50 ★    
5  FEARNOUGHT Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
6  SIMILAR TASTE Jan19 Jan11 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 (gladden damon)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
SCR  BOSS E BOOGS Feb24 Feb02 Jan12     (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 126 10.00 ★    
8  BUBBA G Mar01 Feb02 Aug05 Jun29 Jun01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 ★    
9  FULL AHEAD Mar09 Jan15       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
 
CT-7   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUERTORICAN DIVA Feb24 Jan08       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 126 20.00    
2  TAKE CHARGE LISA Feb24 Feb15 Jan20     (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  CREDIT COMMITTEE Feb18 Jan27 Sep23     (runco c)LEWIS M 111 8.00 ★    
4  BREEZY CONNECTION Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 Dec15 Nov25 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  SUPER WICKED Jan18 Dec08 Nov16 Oct28 Oct06 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 118 20.00    
6  COWGIRL HOP Feb23 Feb09 Jan13     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 30.00    
7  SWEET FACTOR Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 Dec03 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
8  SUPER SWEETIE Mar01         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 5% 18.70    
9  YAZZERA (PER) Feb24         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
CT-8   03/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTAWAAFEQ Feb18 Jan06 Dec10 Oct28 Oct13 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
2  TARAASHOQ Mar06 Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 Oct27 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
3  BAAGY Feb08 Dec13 Nov18 Oct27 Sep26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
4  LIKE SEGAL Jan19 Jan07 Dec17 Nov03 May14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
5  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Feb18 Dec09 Nov04 Oct02 Sep09 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 20% 4.10    
6  BO'S BOURBON Feb19 Jan29 Jan14 Dec17 Nov19 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 4.50 9% 10.10    
7  OROCOVIX Mar03 Feb19 Feb11 Feb05 Jan21 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 111 15.00    
8  JUNGLE BEAST Feb18 Jan07 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-9   03/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIDGET FACTORY Jan14 Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
2  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Feb08 Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 (rangel ricardo)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
3  BE BE BOP Feb22 Oct28 Sep01 Jun17 May19 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  SHACKLED Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 May05 Apr08 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
5  FU MAN SUE Feb08 Jan06 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  NO FOOLING DUDE Feb02 Jan19 Nov23 Nov14 Oct22 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
7  SHACKLEFORDS STORM Feb08 Jan14 Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
8  BULL SHARK Jan27 Jan04 Oct21 Sep29 Aug20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SUGAR DADDY Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Oct27 Oct19 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BARNSTORM Apr22 Feb25 Feb02     (racanelli j)BAEZ M 117 8.00    
SCR  BUCKED TOOTH Feb22 Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
SCR  W W SPRINGTIME Nov03 Oct07 Aug31 Jun30 May30 (allen ferris)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Jan11 Jan04 (gallimore t)RAMGEET R 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.