Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1/5)-(2/4/7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(6/3/5)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
RIL-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
RIL-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2/5/6)-(4/1/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
RIL-7   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/3/1/2/4)-(7/3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7)-(4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
RIL-8   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-4   03/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L'ARACHIDE Feb26         (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 119 5.00 ★    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of LIFE IS A STONE by GLOBALIZE)
2  PICK BYMY FRIEND Feb18 Jan20 Jan02 Dec10 Nov18 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 3.50 66% 0.50    
  (by TONALIST out of RAVE REVIEWS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  DYNAMIC WOMAN Feb25 Feb11 Aug06 Jul23 Jun27 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 121 4.50    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of RED PEACHES by GHOSTLY MOVES)
4  MISS MY MAMMA Feb26 Mar26       (hernandez dan)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 3.00 6% 16.80    
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of STONE JUSTICE by LIT DE JUSTICE)
5  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Feb26         (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00 ★    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
6  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Nov17 Oct29 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
7  IGO Feb26 Feb11 Jan31 Dec20 Nov30 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 124 2.50 5% 17.60    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of COCHINERO by COMIC STRIP)
 
RIL-5   03/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCLUDE HOO Feb19 Feb04 Dec26 Dec10 Nov29 (ortega fernando)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00    
2  BREXTON Feb25 Feb11 Feb05 Jan28 Jan03 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00 ★    
3  QUEEN OF LOVE Feb12 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Nov19 (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 2.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  ROLL OUT Feb26 Feb11 Aug13 Jul09 Apr23 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 ★    
5  HULA KING Feb19 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 Dec09 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 7% 12.90    
6  FOCUS FIRST Feb26 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Dec03 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
RIL-6   03/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA CARPE DIEM Feb12 Feb02 Jan13 Nov27 Nov11 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  DOUBLE THE GOLD Feb18 Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 ★    
3  CATHRYN VALENTINA Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 Feb19 Feb04 (bazurto ramon)GAMEZ M 121 10.00    
4  WHENUDON'T KNOW Feb11         (ortega jesus )BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  AWESOME GALAXY Feb26 Feb18 Jan17 Jan09 Nov21 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 6.00 ★    
6  NUMMY NUM Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 ★    
 
RIL-7   03/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT Feb05 Jan25 Jan12 Jan02 Dec15 (lavanway dayso)DEONAUTH P 126 10.00 ★    
2  ROYAL TAP Feb19 Feb11 Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 ★    
3  EL CHUMELITO Feb19 Feb04 Jan18 Dec19 Aug31 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 ★    
4  ALEX'S GIRL Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Apr16 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  AUTISM SAVANT Feb26 Feb19 Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 (torres-casas jesu)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
6  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Feb26 Feb19 Aug13 Jul23 May03 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 121 8.00    
7  TEXAS LONG BOW Feb18 Feb09 Jan14 Jan02 Dec20 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 74% 0.40    
 
RIL-8   03/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROUGE SUNSET Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  OUR EMPIRE Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 ★    
3  BAJA BRIDGE Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 Feb27 (ortega monic)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00    
4  READY TO FORGIVE Feb18 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec15 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  RETURN TO HARBOR Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Feb21 (kern david)FINN AISLINN 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  TENGAS MASTERPIECE Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 Jun27 Mar24 (magrady ronald)OSUNA MARTIN 126 5.00 6% 15.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.