Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/3)-(5/1/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(2/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3/6/7)-(2/5/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/4)-(4/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6/3/5)-(1/4/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/1/2)-(4/6/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/4/1)-(9/7/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/7)-(3/8)-(4/9/2/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/3)-(4/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/3)-(4/9/2/3)-(4/9/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (2/9/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/4)-(2/9/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/4)-(2/9/1/4/8)-(2/9/1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/4)-(4/3/8/6/5)-(7/5/3/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (4/3/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/6/5)-(4/3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/6/5)-(4/3/8/6/5)-(4/3/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/8/6/5)-(7/5/3/8/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (7/5/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8/9)-(7/5/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8/9)-(7/5/3/8/9)-(7/5/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE PERFECTION Feb18 Dec07 Nov08 Sep24 Aug30 (black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 24% 3.30    
  (by CUPID out of ANNIES LAW by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  STREET RINGER Feb12 Oct02 Sep03 Aug01 Jun26 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREEDOM RINGS by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  MUCHO MACHO BABY Feb22 Feb12 Jan14 Dec02 Sep24 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 ★    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MAJESTIC FINALE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  PIE ALA MODE Jun11         (dolphu)FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of PIES JET by PIES PROSPECT)
5  TROUBLE IN RED Feb04 Jan11 Dec09 Nov26 Oct21 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MONDATTA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  DEVINE CANDY Feb18 Jul11 Jun28 Apr20 Mar30 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CANDY DANDY out of DOC'S HEARTBEAT by TACTICAL CAT)
 
FON-2   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BRINLEE RUN Feb18 Feb10 Jun12 May27 May13 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
2  SING CHARMER SING Feb18 Jun11 May29 May14 Mar27 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Feb18 Jun18 May27 May13 Apr24 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★    
4  JUST SEND HER Feb10 Jun17 Jun12 May27 May13 (krause bill)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
5  JULIE JEAN Jun18 May13 Apr24 Mar04   (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
6  FLYER'S SHADOW May21 Apr15       (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 4.50 ★    
7  MISS JUSTICE Feb18 May29 Feb25     (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 ★    
 
FON-3   03/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDENZA Feb10 Dec28 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  WEBCAM Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 Mar12 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
3  MYSTERIOUS TALE         (lemburg mark)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 ★    
4  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec21 Dec01 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
5  LAUNCHED Feb18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.00 ★    
6  KNIGHTED Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug09 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 5.00 ★    
 
FON-4   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW STRIPE Feb18 Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 Jul18 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 ★    
2  WILLIE THE MAN Feb24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.60 ★    
3  STREET N SOUR Feb18 Aug27 Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
4  BARSTOW Feb12 Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  BROADWAY Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 Jul18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Feb18 Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
FON-5   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADDIE BOY Feb19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul11 May07 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 ★    
2  RUBIGINOUS Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep25 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00    
3  PRAIRIE SQUALL Feb18 Feb11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
4  THORNISH Feb19 Aug07 Jul25 Jul05 May14 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 ★    
5  FINDING SILVER Feb11 Dec16 Dec03 Oct28 Oct12 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
6  DANCE FOR RANSOM Feb11 Sep09 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 (ecoffey gilber)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
7  HOLIDAY JOKE Jun10 May21 May07 Apr23 Mar19 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  POWERSHOT Feb19 Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 Nov19 (thomse)FLETCHER D 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
9  TALE OF A STORM Feb17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
FON-6   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ogataul Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr10 Mar26 (moss deb)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of LUVTHAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  L B GOLD Feb18 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr10 (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of MAGIC PLAYER by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
3  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Feb18 Jun11 May20 May14 Apr24 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of MORE RUN by MORE TO TELL)
SCR  CALEB ON THE GO Feb17 Jun17 May14 Apr24 Apr03 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
5  KENHEDOIT Feb18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 Jun11 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by EL CABALLO out of KACHINA RIVER by RIO VERDE)
6  FOR REEL Feb18 Aug08 Jul03 Jun17 May30 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
7  JOEY'S VALENTINE Feb18 Jun11 Apr09 Mar27 Feb20 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of JOEY'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  PHLASH DRIVE Feb18 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Mar12 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of BY THE SKY by SKY MESA)
 
FON-7   03/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER NO MO Apr09 Feb25       (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
2  PREACHER Feb11 Oct01 Sep20 Aug30 Aug01 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50 9% 10.00    
3  BLABIMIR Feb18 Jun10 May30 May20 Apr03 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 5.00 9% 10.20    
4  HIS GIANT Feb18 Jan18 Jan04 Nov19 Oct22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  LOVER BOY Feb18 Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 Jan21 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
SCR  MOST AMUSING Feb18 Oct01 Sep12 Aug01 Jul05 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAY'S ANGEL Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
8  SHIPMAN'S SONG Feb18 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
9  BETA CAPO SONG Feb18 Feb11 Aug09 Aug02 Jun19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
FON-8   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUEZ Feb12 Dec10 Nov05 Oct12 Sep12 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  SCOOTER'S BOY Feb18 Feb11 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  MORO CHARLIE Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
4  HANSENS MISCHIEF Feb17 Mar19 Mar06     (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 10% 9.50    
5  MACHO MADNESS Sep19 Sep05 Jun10 May29 May13 (fackle)FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
6  DISCREET INVASION Oct24 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
7  CAESARTHERULER Feb11 Oct02 Sep23 Aug21 Jul11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00    
8  THAT'S D 'CAT Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 Oct14 Sep27 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50 ★    
9  TIGER THE MAN Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul05 (roberts bria)BETHKE A 125 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
FON-9   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROME Dec27 Dec16 Sep14 Aug14 Jul30 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
2  BROADWAY PETE Feb18 Oct02 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
3  FLY TO THE BANK Feb18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 3.50 10% 9.30    
4  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Feb17 Jan25 Nov30 Nov19 Sep20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  SARCASTIC TONE Feb15 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Dec03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 6% 16.50    
6  RICKEY B Feb18 Aug20 Jul13 Jun18 Jun04 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 6% 14.60    
7  KID'S INHERITANCE Sep10 Aug27 Aug17 Jul02 May29 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00    
8  GUINESSEY Dec01 Nov07 Oct06 Sep23 Jul12 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
FON-10   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAGE DOOR Feb18 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 Sep25 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00    
2  JU JU GUY Oct04 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 (childs russel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
3  HULEN Feb11 Jan05 Dec17 Nov30 Nov05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 8% 11.90    
4  CAVE HILL Sep08 Aug20 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
5  WILSON TO LOCKETT Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Nov23 Oct28 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  SHWEET PERSUASION Feb18 Oct29 Oct14 Oct02 Sep23 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
7  MEDICINE TAIL Sep21 Aug09 Jul27 Jun10 May26 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
8  SAMS TIME Feb18 Aug13 Jul29 Jun05 May14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  CAPTAIN DON Feb18 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul18 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SMART BATTLE Feb11 Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 Sep24 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.