Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
FG-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/1/3/2)-(5/4/1/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (5)-(6/3/2/1/5)-(3/6) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/3/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1/5)-(3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1/5)-(3/6)-(6/3/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/1/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/1/2/5)-(3/6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/3/5)-(2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2)-(4) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
FG-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1/5/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/1/5/7/6)-(2/1/5/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4)-(6/7/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FG-7   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(6/7/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5/3)-(6/7/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALITOS Feb02 Jan14 Dec22 Dec02 Aug06 (savoie she)ALBERT S 109 8.00 13% 7.00    
2  MYLIES STAR Jan27 Jan19 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 (dussette alvin)MELANCON G 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  GUANAJUATO Jan27 Dec18 Dec01 Nov03 Oct15 (brinkman)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  B B GUN BULLSEYE Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Sep25 Sep06 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 ★    
5  DEBS PRAYER Jan27 Dec01 Feb21 Jan16   (ladner herman)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  ZEEROCK Feb05 Jan27 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 (carter ange)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 5.00    
 
FG-2   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGO CHARLIE Jan05 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 120 2.50 ★    
2  CRIME SPREE Jan12 Dec18 Sep15 Jul21 Jul06 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 ★    
3  MALIBU S S Jan26 Dec17 Oct17 Sep30 Aug20 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 ★    
4  HOORAY AUSTIN Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Sep20 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 119 3.00 ★    
5  KENNESAW Jan05 Oct30 Oct02 Aug12 Jul24 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 66% 0.50    
 
FG-3   02/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOCKPILER Feb12 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 Aug27 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 9% 10.70    
2  CARTIER CAT Feb03 Jan19 Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  ENDLESS SUNSET Dec29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct17 Sep17 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Nov02 Aug11 (scherer er)ALBERT S 113 4.50    
5  MAGAZINE STREET Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 Aug27 (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 121 4.50 6% 15.20    
6  GOLDEN PEGASUS Jan28 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Sep07 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
7  LIONS NOT SHEEP Dec02 Nov07 Oct19 Sep10 Sep02 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
8  UNCLE NICK Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Oct21 Sep23 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
 
FG-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY         (duhon o)MELANCON G 122 8.00 ★    
2  LUCKY'S LANE         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 ★    
3  RALLY BOARD Nov27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 57% 0.80    
4  FOE Feb03 Jan06       (rubley kelly)PARKER L 122 12.00    
5  WOLF HUNTER Feb12 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec23 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 5.00 ★    
6  CAMP GRAY         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  COTE D'IVOIRE Jan19 Dec26       (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
 
FG-5   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKEMEBELIEVE Nov26 Sep15 Aug27 Jun29 Jun05 (robertson h)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00 ★    
2  SIKUM Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Jun14 May12 (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
3  PRECURSORY Oct14 Aug25 Jul04 Jun09 May07 (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  CAVE CREEK Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 (dussette alvin)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
5  ROSE PALACE Jan19 Dec22 Nov27     (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
6  BRAGANZA Jan01 Nov16 Oct29 Sep28   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
FG-6   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIALHERUP         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 ★    
2  CINCO DE CUATRO Jan28         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
3  WAIT ON ME Feb04 Jan14 Dec19 Sep26 Aug29 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
4  OLDFIELDS Sep19         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
5  MYSTIC CREED         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★    
6  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Jan14 Sep22 Aug13     (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★    
7  MISS TAPPY TONE         (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 ★    
 
FG-7   02/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHERT Dec26 Sep27 Sep13     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CRYSTAL IMAGE by HALO'S IMAGE)
2  SIKARA SIKARA Jan27 Dec02 Oct15     (delhomme j)ALBERT S 110 5.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SIKARA by AUSSIE RULES)
3  AMERICAN DOLLARS Jan28 Dec04 Oct05 Sep07 Aug13 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SILKS AND TASSELS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  SLICK AND FAST Jan28 Jan12 Dec10     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  REGAL KINGDOM Jan28 Dec04 Oct14     (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 ★    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of STARINTHEMEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
6  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Feb02 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11   (fuselier )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  UP N GONE Jan12 Nov25       (camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
8  JOEY'S GAME Jan28         (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by JOE'S SON JOEY out of SEFAS LIGHT by SEFAPIANO)
SCR  DREWNANIMOUS Jan13 Dec26       (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SPANISH FLOWER by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  HARPES HILL Feb05 Dec31       (patt roland )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
SCR  APRIORITY ROCKET Feb01         (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 115 4.50 ★    
  (by APRIORITY out of SKYROCKET by SKYWALKER)
SCR  CAJUN CONNECTION Jan28 Jan12 Dec22 Dec04 Nov11 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
 
FG-8   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S VISION Jan11 Dec17 Nov17     (klanfer alan)LANERIE J 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  KAHAAL Feb11 Dec22 Nov17 Oct19 Aug16 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
3  TOTALLY ADDICTED Dec17 Aug20 Jul15 Jun08 Mar05 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 ★    
4  CHARLIE'S TOWN Jan08 Dec16 Mar11 Feb17 Jan05 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00    
5  FOOLISH DREAMS Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Aug03 Jul14 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
6  EASY RUNNER Feb02 Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 Aug24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  BIG SCULLY Feb11 Jan08 Dec17 Jul03 May31 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  MR ELVIN Jan27 Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 Jul27 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.