Handicappers' Racing Form

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Rillito
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

RIL-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
RIL-5   Win (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-6   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
RIL-7   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
RIL-8   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
RIL-4   02/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE CITY KITTY Oct11 Aug17 May20 Apr29 Apr03 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 116 8.00    
WITCHES DANCE Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 Nov27   (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 2.50    
GEBO Feb04 Dec17 Nov30 Nov16 Oct14 (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 5.00    
OJO FELIZ Feb07 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 (ortega monica)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 6.00    
MANY AMBITIONS Jan29 Jan20 Jan08 Dec03 Nov04 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 61% 0.60    
ANGRY EMMY Feb08 Dec04 Nov13 Oct07   (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
RIL-5   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Feb05 Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 10.00    
SCR  ROUGE SUNSET Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 20% 3.90    
OMACHE KID May15 May01 Apr11 Mar26 Feb25 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00 18% 4.40    
SHELBY R. Feb04 Dec21 Nov28 Jun24 Jun03 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 3.50    
RED HOT CAT Feb04 Jul18 Jul09 Feb27 Feb05 (hernandez d)JENSEN P 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
SWITCH BACK Feb12 Apr24 Mar26 Mar20 Mar05 (cruz omar)SALAZAR TERESA 126 6.00 10% 9.20    
TIZ A SPEED BOMB Feb05 Mar26 Mar19 Mar10 Jan18 (kern david)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
RIL-6   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME GALAXY Jan17 Jan09 Nov21 Nov05 Sep10 (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 3.50    
NIP NAP Jan07 Dec14 Sep14 Aug27   (perkinson cc)DEONAUTH P 126 6.00    
HAYNESPUN Jan24 Jan09       (warren kayla)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00    
SCR  CATHRYN VALENTINA Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 Feb19 Feb04 (bazurto ramon)GAMEZ M 126 4.50    
IT'S CURLIN TIME Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov15 Sep10 (toye joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 73% 0.40    
ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Feb04 Mar28 Jan07     (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 4.00 6% 15.70    
MEXICAN DREAM Feb11 Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 Mar08 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 8.00    
MY MEL MAR         (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
 
RIL-7   02/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURRENTLY KRAZY Nov25 Nov09 Sep17 Aug29 Aug15 (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00    
PICK BYMY FRIEND Jan20 Jan02 Dec10 Nov18 Nov06 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 6.00    
SHEZ A GRINDER Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Jan03 Dec21 (nunnally jenni)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50    
FOCUS FIRST Jan21 Dec26 Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 (gilmour jim)FINN AISLINN 126 5.00    
TEXAS LONG BOW Feb09 Jan14 Jan02 Dec20 Dec01 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 1.80 72% 0.40    
LIVE A GOOD LIFE Feb11 Feb02 Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
 
RIL-8   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE THE GOLD Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Oct07 (garcia jesus)SALAZAR TERESA 121 8.00    
ALPHABETICAL Feb04 Jan17 Jan03 Dec02 Nov20 (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 49% 1.00    
MUSICAL GEM Feb05 Jan17 Jan05 Dec08 Sep05 (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
STAN THE HOT MAN Feb11 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 Sep09 (torres-casas jesus)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
BRON AND THE BROW Jan17 Dec22 Nov04 Oct09 Sep30 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 5% 17.70    
GOLD STAR STUDENT Aug31 Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 May15 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.