Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5/2)-(3/6/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(1/4/6/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5/2)-(3/1/7/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(1/4/6/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/4/6/5/7)-(7/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (1/4/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5/7)-(7/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5/7)-(7/5/1)-(3/7/2/6/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-4   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(3/7/2/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(3/7/2/6/4)-(5/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/7/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6/4)-(3/7/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6/4)-(3/7/2/6/4)-(3/7/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6/4)-(5/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6/4)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (5/8/2/1)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/1)-(5/3/6)-(4/6/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/4/2)-(5/3/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(4/6/2/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/6/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1/8)-(4/6/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1/8)-(4/6/2/1/8)-(4/6/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLIES STAR Jan19 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov18 (dussette alvin)MELANCON G 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
2  T J'S FIRST Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul25 Jun21 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 ★    
3  PSEUDOSCIENCE Jan13 Dec23       (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 4.00 38% 1.60    
4  ZEEROCK Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Aug13 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
5  GUANAJUATO Dec18 Dec01 Nov03 Oct15 Apr28 (brinkman)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
6  DEBS PRAYER Dec01 Feb21 Jan16     (ladner herman)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  COME WHAT MAE Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 (delany sarah)PARKER L 122 6.00    
 
FG-2   01/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OGRE'S LION KING Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 Sep26 Sep10 (singh s)SINGH R 121 15.00 6% 16.00    
2  IRONMAN RICHIE Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Sep24 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 ★    
3  RONITHELIMODRIVER Jan06 Jul07 Jun02 May14 Mar13 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  EXCLAIM Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep25 Sep03 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
5  KEYS INCLUDED Jan06 Nov25 Jun11 May21 Apr23 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOSH PIT Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Aug14 Jul18 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 116 4.00    
7  COSTELLO'S KITTEN Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 Jan13   (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★    
 
FG-3   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR ELVIN Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 Jul27 Jul09 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  CIGAR VAN Jan08 Dec11 Oct19 Aug06   (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 120 12.00    
3  HALF MAGIC Dec11 Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 Jan29 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
4  BIG ACE Dec09 Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 Mar27 (richard russe)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jan05 Dec15 Oct19 Aug24 Aug10 (castille)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 8% 12.00    
6  CHROMPTON Jan08 Dec15 Jan20 Jan08   (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  RISKTAKER Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 Aug28 Aug09 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00 6% 14.80    
 
FG-4   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Aug19 Jul28 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SERIOUSLY SASSY Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Sep25 May07 (singh s)SINGH R 120 12.00    
3  BROKE FINANCING Aug19 Jul20 Jun18 Jan07   (jackson dwayne)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
4  CAVE CREEK Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Nov05 Sep18 (dussette a)ALBERT S 117 12.00 ★    
5  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Sep20 Aug01 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 117 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  MELODY ROSE Dec16 Sep25 Aug13 Jul05 Jun12 (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 9% 10.60    
7  LADY AVE Jan06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 Sep05 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 0.60 48% 1.10    
 
FG-5   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASQUERADE BALL Jan06 Dec17 Dec08 Nov25 Aug23 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 20.00    
2  SPECIAL OPERATOR Jan06 Dec16 Nov20 Jul10   (scherer t)CULP BRIANNE 107 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  DIALED A DAME Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 (santamaria carlo)PARKER L 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  KING TUFF Jan13 May19 Apr21 Mar03 Feb10 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 6% 16.80    
5  HOLY CITY Dec08 Oct22 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
6  PESO IN MY POCKET Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 Jul25 May24 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
7  PLANTERS PUNCH Dec23 Jan22       (bourgeois )ALBERT S 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
FG-6   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING CAT Dec29         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 5% 17.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AMERICAN KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  MO SMOKING Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Oct15 Aug28 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MO SMOKE by UNCLE MO)
2  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Jan05 Dec02 Nov18     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 6% 16.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
3  CAT B CAUSE         (modica osca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CITY GONE WILD by CITY ZIP)
4  SIKARA SIKARA Dec02 Oct15       (delhomme j)ALBERT S 115 10.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SIKARA by AUSSIE RULES)
5  CALLING Dec29         (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CARE by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  SMART IZZY Jan14 Sep18 Sep04 Jul19   (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
7  MIDNIGHT FLAME Dec29         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ANEA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  ENTITLEMENT Jan05 Dec09 Aug20     (david b)PARKER L 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of SPRING MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  TAP IRON FIST Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Aug10 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
SCR  TAKING PICTURES Dec10 Nov12 Jul23 Jul04   (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HUMBLE JANET by HUMBLE ELEVEN)
SCR  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Dec23 Nov18 Aug26 Aug10 Jul19 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 ★    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
SCR  MIA ANTONIA Jan13 Dec29 Dec02     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Oct07 Aug27 Jul08 Jun12 May15 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
2  HIGH CRUISE Dec26 Dec03 Nov11 Oct12 Aug13 (duhon jos)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 ★    
3  TULANE TRYST Dec26 May04 Mar19 Feb10   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  LONG WEEKEND Nov24 Nov02 Aug06 Jul02 May08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 ★    
5  STROBE Dec22 Nov12 Oct14 May07   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.80 34% 2.00    
6  READY TO POUNCE Nov24 Sep15 Jul03 May30 Mar10 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
FG-8   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACES Jan14 Nov25 Jun18 May06 Mar25 (ladner herman)MELANCON G 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  HOT PATOOTIE Dec29 Dec15 Nov25 Oct06 Aug11 (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 5.00 6% 16.40    
3  RE RE'S RAINBOW Dec29         (david b)CULP BRIANNE 112 5.00    
4  ONECALLTHATSALL Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Nov16 Oct21 (delahoussaye gl)LANERIE J 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  TAZZHER Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Sep17   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
6  ZIPPING MOLLY Jan13         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 112 8.00 18% 4.60    
7  ONE MO TO GO Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Aug20 Jul15 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00    
8  JIG TIME BANDIT Jan06 Nov25 Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 (williams kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BAD GAL RIRI Dec15 Nov25 Sep25 Sep06 Aug14 (singh s)SINGH R 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.