Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3/6)-(8/5/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3/6)-(8/5/7/3/6)-(8/5/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/7/3/6)-(6/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3/6)-(6/3/2/7)-(10/7/9/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/5/7)-(6/3/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(10/7/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7)-(10/7/9/3/5)-(7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/7/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/3/5)-(10/7/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/3/5)-(10/7/9/3/5)-(10/7/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/9/3/5)-(7/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/3/5)-(7/5/3)-(5/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(5/4/9)-(6/8/7/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(6/8/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(6/8/7/12)-(8/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/8/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/12)-(6/8/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/12)-(6/8/7/12)-(6/8/7/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/12)-(8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/12)-(8/3/6)-(1/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/6/5/1)-(8/3/6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(1/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6)-(1/3/9)-(4/5/2/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/11/2)-(1/3/9/11/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/9)-(4/5/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/5/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/11)-(4/5/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/11)-(4/5/2/11)-(4/5/2/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDMER'S COURAGE Nov10 Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
2  WIZARD OF ODDS Jan04 Nov30 Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
3  ATTUCK Jan04 Dec17 Dec07 Nov19 Oct13 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GAMING JACK Jan04 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
5  KUKULKAN (MEX) Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 Oct21 Sep22 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
6  IMPETUOUS Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 Aug12 Jul15 (santillana )RAMGEET R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  STAR LUCK Jan13 Dec17 Nov29 Nov03 Oct17 (volpe john)LEWIS M 113 8.00 17% 5.00    
8  BULL SHARK Jan04 Oct21 Sep29 Aug20 Jul28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
CT-2   01/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP IT Dec17 Dec09 Oct30 Sep30 Sep18 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
2  ASTRAL RIDE Jan05 Oct16 Aug21 Jun11 May12 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 117 10.00 15% 5.70    
3  HEARNS Dec07 Nov25 Oct30 Oct16 Aug29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  RIDUNCULOUS Jan05 Nov04       (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
5  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Dec16 Nov29 Nov07 Oct07 Sep05 (zerpa gil)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 ★    
6  ASHARA Nov13 Oct29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 (doran carl)ACOSTA D 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
7  FLASH OF DAY Dec09 Apr29 Apr08 Apr02 Mar11 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POWER OF AQUARIUS Jan02 Nov25 Nov08 Oct26 Jun15 (taylor jose)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
9  MY SLICK NICK Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 Aug31 (sandoval michael)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
 
CT-3   01/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREST FROST Jan21 Dec09 Oct28 Sep14 Aug05 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
2  ROCKET SOUND Dec01 Nov10 Oct05 Sep23 Aug19 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
3  ROLL DEM BONES Jan06 Dec01 Nov07 Oct14 Aug16 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TREAT ME SPECIAL Jan04 Dec03 Nov11 Nov04   (allard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 15.00    
5  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct08 Sep18 (frock charle)LEWIS M 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Dec16 Nov16 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
7  SAAFEN Jan21 Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Sep07 (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Jan20 Dec09 Nov10 Oct20 Sep08 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
9  FIT BUT FAT Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep02 (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  PRIMETIME JET Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Sep12 Aug27 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
CT-4   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jan07 Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
2  MAKE WAY Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 Sep29 Aug27 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
3  MONGOLIAN HERO Jan12 Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 Nov10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
4  SPRING THE BEAST Jan16 Dec02 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
5  TWEET THIS Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 Nov10 Oct12 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
6  TOP HAT TREASON Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
7  BUTTONED UP Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CHARITABLE SPENNY Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 Jul14 Jun04 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 9% 10.10    
9  STALKING Jan07 Dec11 Oct06 Sep14 Aug27 (garibay a)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM OF GOLD Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06   (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  CREDIT COMMITTEE Sep23         (runco c)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
3  IN GOOD TROUBLE Dec11 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Aug24 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 2.50    
4  PARISIAN SUMMER Jan18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 7% 13.80    
5  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jan15 Dec29 Dec02 Oct21   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  BUTTERMILK GIRLZ Dec31 Dec02       (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00    
SCR  REPLICATED Oct07 Sep11 Aug30 Aug03 Jul02 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
8  SARATOGA CENTS Jan18 Dec13 Nov07 Oct12   (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00    
9  CONCERT HALL (IRE) Jan15 Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 (davis g)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   01/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep24 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of DARKE ICE by FANTASTICAT)
SCR  LOVETHEBAND         (grams t)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 4.50 6% 15.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  ROCKIN CHAIR Jan06 Dec09       (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
4  COURT TUDOR         (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  DR RENDEZVOUS         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
6  BROAD IMAGINATION         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by IMAGINING out of BROAD BUT NICE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
7  EL LUCERITO         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
8  RUNALDO         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BOOZIN' SUSAN by FRENCH DEPUTY)
SCR  CALYPSO JOHN         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jan04 Dec14 Dec08     (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
11  BORN TO SIN         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
  (by OXBOW out of ROCKY'S ANGEL by ROCK SLIDE)
12  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LONGWALK FREEDOM by JOHANNESBURG)
 
CT-7   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER DEEKS Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00 ★    
2  ORANGEBURG Jan12 Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 Oct15 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
3  GET OFF MY CLOUD Dec08 Nov17 Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  ROCKET J. Dec08 Dec01 Nov16 Sep07 Aug05 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
5  MADDEYE MOODY Dec10         (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 ★    
6  FELICIAS CASTLE Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 Sep21 Aug27 (pennella m)BAEZ M 113 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Jan12 Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
8  MACHEN'S RIDGE Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep19 Aug28 (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
9  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Dec10 Nov30 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
 
CT-8   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
2  NOID Jan06 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 ★    
3  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  TIZBIT Jan19 Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 119 50.00    
SCR  STEAL THE CASH Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 Aug26 Aug16 (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY CHARLIE Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 Mar10 Feb24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
7  ALLEN CAN DO IT Jan06 Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 (casey a)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
8  SPUNMAN Jan06 Nov19 Sep08 Aug06 Jul16 (runco c)LOPEZ DERECK 114 15.00    
9  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 5.00 9% 9.60    
10  WITH SECRET ENERGY Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 Oct26 Sep29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
11  MONAASIB May21 Apr01 Feb23 Jan29   (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 2.50 ★    
 
CT-9   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY MONSTER Jan13 Jan06 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
2  MISS COREY Jan07 Dec19 Dec03 Nov23 Nov09 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
3  AWESOME INCENTIVE Jan06 Nov30 Oct29 Oct19 Sep22 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
4  MIZZEN Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 Oct12 Sep17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  HEIDI T Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  SARAH BELLUM Jan06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 Aug18 (geris j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
7  DIXIE SUNRISE Dec03 Oct22 Sep28 Sep08 Aug05 (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00    
SCR  HELLUVA LADY Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug13 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
9  SWEET ANNABELLA Jan06 Nov30 Nov17 Sep30 Aug08 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICALLY THERE Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
11  GOLDEN SWEETS Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Sep14 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEBS WEB Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 May19 Apr22 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
SCR  SALAMINA Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Oct27 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
SCR  IMAGINE VICTORY Dec31 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct27 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.