Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3/2)-(7/4/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3)-(5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/3)-(5/1/2/4)-(2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4/6)-(5/1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(2/1)-(1/7/6/8/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/4/3)-(2/1/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/7/6/8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/7/6/8/5)-(4/5/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8/5)-(1/7/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8/5)-(1/7/6/8/5)-(1/7/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/8/5)-(4/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/8/5)-(4/5/6)-(7/8/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/7/3)-(4/5/6/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(7/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(7/8/5/1)-(7/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1/6)-(7/8/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/4)-(7/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4)-(7/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(7/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(7/9/4)-(5/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/4)-(7/9/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/4)-(7/9/4/5/3)-(7/9/4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/4)-(5/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/10)-(5/10/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Dec21 Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 Sep27 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 114 5.00    
GOLOVKIN Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 (guciardo kat)ALENCAR WALBER 121 12.00    
JACK LUVS NOVA Dec14 Oct13 Sep19 Aug02   (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.50 7% 12.40    
VINNIE VAN GO Dec09 Nov20 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11 (davis scooter)FERRER C 121 6.00 21% 3.90    
SIXTY ONE Dec09 Nov23 Nov18 Oct30 Sep10 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
ODDS ON Dec17 Oct01 Sep19 Jul19 Jun30 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
GUACO Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 Sep12 Aug15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-2   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PACHANGA         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Dec22 Dec03 Sep11 Aug20   (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DISCREET SENORITA by DISCREET CAT)
R TOOTSIE GLITTER         (bennett s)FERRER C 120 4.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GOLD CLUB by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SWEET DESANTIS Dec23 Nov08       (ferraro anth)COA J 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of SWEET REPENT by REPENT)
CHAMPAGNE CALLING Jun17         (wilkes i)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
PATIENCE WORTH Dec03 Oct07       (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HYSTERICALADY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TAM-3   01/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMAND POINT Sep01 Aug05       (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
MYSTIC DREAMS Dec10 Dec02 Sep17 Sep10 Aug06 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
LEMON TAFFY Dec01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep05 Aug17 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 30.00    
WASSER Dec24 Dec16 Nov23 Oct26 Oct07 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
CUPIDS DREAM Dec10 Apr13 Mar11 Feb16 Jan22 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
BALI KUTA Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 Jul29   (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 2.50    
MAGIC SURPRISE Nov23 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
C C'S FREEDOM Oct01 Aug26 Aug02 Jul01 May29 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  BROADWAY PEGGY Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug28 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
C'EST PARTI Oct21 Sep28 Sep09 Aug31 Aug17 (werneth rober)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
MS MAGGIE Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep22 (granitz anthon)GREEN AUBRIE 123 12.00    
EXPECT A CIRCUS Dec24 Nov25 Oct27 Oct19 Oct01 (werneth rober)MARTIN MATTIE 114 30.00    
BLUSHING KEYLEN Sep16 Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 Jun22 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 121 10.00 6% 14.60    
RAW HONEY Dec14 Nov25 Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 (brownlee dav)MENESES MARCOS 121 3.00 10% 8.60    
LIL ANNIE ROSE Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep18 Jul09 (wirth kenneth )MBATHA LUCKY 111 2.50 15% 5.60    
GLITTER BAY Jan01 Dec07       (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 114 10.00 7% 13.10    
DOLCISIMA Dec14 Jun12 May19 Apr30 Apr09 (amado enrique)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAGA'S BOY Dec17 Oct15       (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GOLD CELEBRITY by BERNSTEIN)
BOYS CODE Sep21 Aug23 Jul26     (dixon k)COA J 120 30.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of ENCRYPTION CODE by LEMON DROP KID)
ADIOS JOE Sep24         (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of VENEZUELAN SPIRIT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
GANADO         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ANGEL STAR by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Dec03         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAGIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PIKE PLACE Dec03 Oct15 Sep17     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 3.50 6% 15.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ALFRESCO by TAPIT)
FIRE BARON Dec24 Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 Aug13 (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SAPHIRIA by TOUCH GOLD)
MICROFIBER Oct23         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STEAMY WINDOWS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FUNNY MAN Dec17         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Dec10 Oct18 Sep10     (arnett g)FERRER C 120 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CHAPEL by PULPIT)
 
TAM-6   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANTUCKETER Oct22 Sep30 Aug20 Jul30 Jun15 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 121 15.00 5% 18.60    
COCO BRAVADO Dec21 Oct30 Oct08 Sep29 Sep18 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Dec14 Oct10 Sep18 Aug27 Aug08 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
THEJIGISUP Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 Oct04 Sep27 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 121 10.00    
MACHO REAL Apr08 Mar30 Mar16 Mar05 Jan28 (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 114 15.00 15% 5.70    
EPIC RUN Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 Aug28 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
CREATIVE CLOUD Dec09 Oct16 Aug26 Jul22 May20 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 1.40 39% 1.60    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Dec21 Oct27 Oct09 Sep11 Aug19 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00 16% 5.20    
THAT'S MY BOI TOY Dec22 Oct12 Sep08 Jul27 Jul07 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
 
TAM-7   01/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANOTTI Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Sep16 Aug21 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Dec07 Nov09 Oct09 Sep14 Jul19 (orseno)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00    
RED PIXIE Dec22 Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 Oct18 (connelly teresa)FERRER C 121 15.00    
DONYA'S MAGIC Nov25 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 5% 17.30    
CLASSY OF COURSE Dec22 Nov26 Oct14 Sep05 Aug15 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
SCR  SLIME QUEEN Nov26 Sep07 Jul10 Jun11 Mar06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
LEA RO Dec14 Nov25 Oct14 Sep22 Jul23 (arriagada)CAMACHO JR 121 4.50 12% 7.40    
LULLABY LAND Dec14 Nov26 Oct21 Sep23 Sep04 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 121 5.00 6% 15.60    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Dec14 Nov26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 (hayford )GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
SCR  DANCIN DEE Dec21 Dec09 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (potts g)FERRER C 121 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
TAM-8   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEXIS S Dec16 Nov27 Oct30 Sep18 Aug17 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
VICTORIOUS WAVE Nov27 Oct27 Sep23 Aug19 Jul17 (zwiesler tom)CENTENO E 121 15.00    
AIN'T WASTING TIME Dec09 Nov18 Sep30 Aug27 Jul29 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 2.50    
HAPPY CAJUN Dec16 Jun09 Apr01     (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCRUTINIZER Nov23 Oct16 Oct01 Sep12 Aug07 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Dec17 Oct08 Sep24 Jul23 Jun18 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
IN THE LOOP         (bennett s)FERRER C 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
BLAKENSTEIN Dec22 Dec09 Oct18 Oct03 Aug22 (guciardo kat)ALENCAR WALBER 123 12.00    
GRADE ONE Jan09         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-9   01/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAVONI Nov20         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOOTKA SOUND by LONHRO (AUS))
DYNAMIC STORM Oct17 Sep26       (dixon k)COA J 120 30.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
BEL AMI         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
ANTONOV Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Jul31 (ryan s)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOVELY DAUGHTER by BIG BROWN)
FAYETTE SPIRIT Sep30         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEEKEND PARTY by A.P. INDY)
DANUBE Dec17 Nov19 Sep11     (albertrani t)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DARNAVA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CLASSIC BOURBON Dec03 Sep18 Aug27     (antonucci m)FERRER C 120 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  GIOVANNINO Dec10 Oct15 Sep21     (davis christo)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROXY GAP by INDIAN CHARLIE)
E MINOR Dec03         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  CLASSIC CREATION Dec03 Sep03 Aug07     (terranov)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OUR PURE CREATION by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  SUERTE Dec02 Oct08 Sep09     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.