Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - December 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   12/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY DANCER Nov27 Nov15 Sep28 Aug26 Jul28 (march willi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00    
A I INITIATIVE Nov27 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 (ceccat)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
LEVANTO (ARG) Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Oct16 Oct03 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
AREYOUTALKINGTOME Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
SCR  SUPER VISION Nov23 Nov08 Oct27 Sep12 Aug29 (weymes v)CCAMAQUE M 123 3.50 8% 11.80    
SMOOTH PAPA Nov21 Nov08 Nov01 Oct05 Sep26 (jimenez migu)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  KING RICHIE Oct13 Sep29 Aug10 Jul21 Jun11 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 115 1.40 31% 2.20    
SCR  DYNAFORM Nov13 Oct19 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 (lopez e)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-2   12/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST VIRGINIA BOY Oct20 Sep29 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 (rawling)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
WHY WINCHILL WHY Nov30 Nov06 Oct17 Jun13   (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 12.00    
WICKED CHANCE Jul10 Mar15       (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 0.60 71% 0.40    
PETITE N' SMITTY Nov30 Oct17 Oct04 Apr25 Apr09 (meeks karl)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
FAST RIDE Nov05 Oct17 Oct04 Sep02 Aug11 (rawlings amand)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
S S SPARTAN ENERGY Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep07   (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
IT'S ONLY MONEY Oct15 Sep03       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 123 5.00    
 
MNR-3   12/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Oct13 Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 Jun18 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 2.00 12% 7.60    
OFFTHEROADAGAIN Oct18 Sep25 Sep05 Aug09 Jul03 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 8.00    
GRAY FASHION Oct18 Oct04 Aug16 Aug06 Jul19 (ewell sr)RAMGEET R 118 6.00    
PASSO A FRENTE Oct18 Aug28 Jul19 Jun13 May16 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
CONTENT (IRE) Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 61% 0.70    
TIMEISGOLDEN Nov26 Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 6.00    
 
MNR-4   12/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMJAY Oct25 Oct16 Aug24 Jul25 Jul12 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
CLEVELAND POWER Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 Sep18 Sep05 (radosevic)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 15.00    
INDIAN EMPIRE Nov22 Nov09 Oct02 Sep19 Aug23 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 121 3.00 65% 0.50    
SULEMAN Nov22 Nov09 Oct28 Oct12 Oct02 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
QUICK MASTER Sep10 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 Mar19 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.60    
SANTO Nov03 Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.50    
BLUEBANK Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Sep25 Sep13 (gomez )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-5   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASSIE'S RAINBOW Nov30 Oct17 Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 (gomez a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
BETTABE SWIFT Nov27 Nov13 Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00    
ERV'S WENCH Nov23 Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 Sep02 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Nov30 Jun13 May23 Apr06 Mar10 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
FLASH TOWN Nov09 Oct22 Oct13 Aug29 Aug01 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60    
BOURBON SOCIAL Nov06 Oct30 Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
ACCOLADES GALORE Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug30 Jul19 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
MNR-6   12/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHY GUY Nov23 Nov06 Oct04 Sep13 Aug26 (sauer j)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
SO DIALED IN Nov12 Oct10 Sep27 Sep05 Aug06 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 115 1.20    
SCR  ESCAPE VELOCITY Nov23 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOUND OFF Nov23 Nov17 Nov07 Oct04 Aug26 (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
ENERGIZER Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Oct04 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHELL FIRE Nov28 Nov10 Oct24 Oct14 Oct05 (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
FRANCO (MEX) Nov23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
MNR-7   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN WILL Nov13 Oct03 Aug17 Jul28 Jan23 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
PERJURY Nov14 Oct28 Oct06 May06 Apr16 (cross kenny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 30.00    
SCR  QUESTION AUTHORITY Jul18 Jun26 May29 May07 Apr13 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
SCR  TOO LEGIT Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct17 Oct09 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
SCR  CAPE LOOKOUT Nov02 Oct22 Sep27 Aug27 Jul16 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
SILVER G T O Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep06 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 5% 18.00    
HONOR LIFE Nov13 Oct09 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 20.00    
SILENT TIGER Nov21 Jul20 Jun20 May02 Apr24 (fairm)MONSERRATE A 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  POTENTIAL GRIZZLY Nov27 Mar11 Feb17     (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 8.00    
10  JAMMING CAMERON Nov15 Oct30 Aug30 Jul20 Jun20 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  SAVAGE NATION Nov27 Oct26 Jul03     (davidovich an)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 8% 11.80    
 
MNR-8   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BISHI Nov23 Nov07 Oct26 Oct20 Oct12 (fiesman l)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
ON TILT Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 Sep25 Sep12 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 15.00    
SALT MINE TEDDY Nov02 Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (weymes v)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
BAHAMIAN BEAT Oct12 Oct05 Sep20 Jun22 Jun14 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00 16% 5.30    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Oct04 Sep02 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
VERRAZANO LEGACY Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 Sep27 Sep12 (ceccato sharon)PAUCAR E 120 12.00    
WAR DOCTOR Nov22 Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 Oct04 (bell br)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
PAYSTER Nov23 Nov07 Oct16 Oct11 May08 (larue steve)HOUGHTON D 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
NO MORE Nov23 Nov09 Oct31 Oct17 Oct10 (ceccato sha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 3.50    
SCR  EVEN MONEY Nov23 Nov16 Oct06 Sep20 Sep12 (sanchez emma )CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00    
11  GOLDEN OAK Nov28 Nov13 Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
12  VAPORIZED Jul11 Jun22       (montano w)CORREA L 120 20.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.